EQ-Analytics

In-depth research and line work for sports and prediction markets. One standard of evidence. It’s a game, have fun. If it’s a bet, have evidence!

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

Drew Lock: 16 of 22, 187 yards, and the touchdown went to Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

Some things you can look up before the game.

@SNFonNBC #NEvsSEA #EvidenceGrade

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

Drew Lock has won a big game in this building before. December 2023, Monday night, against an Eagles team headed to the playoffs: he drove Seattle 92 yards in the final two minutes and won it with 28 seconds left.

The touchdown catch? Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Same quarterback, same receiver, same stadium tonight.

@SNFonNBC #NEvsSEA #EvidenceGrade

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

@PaulPabst “Hail! Hail!"

It's in the fight song twice for a reason.

#GoBlue #HailMary #CFB #CollegeFootball #BigTen #WMU

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

Drew Lock has won a big game in this building before. December 2023, Monday night, against an Eagles team headed to the playoffs: he drove Seattle 92 yards in the final two minutes and won it with 28 seconds left.

The touchdown catch? Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Same quarterback, same receiver, same stadium tonight.

@SNFonNBC #NEvsSEA #EvidenceGrade

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

LSU spent a week in federal court over two roster spots. The betting question underneath got almost no attention: what kind of roster build is that?

Teams rebuild two ways.

1. Fill the holes: a few transfers added around a returning core. Those teams play like themselves in September.

2. Rescue the roster: most of the lineup replaced in one offseason. Those teams are talented players who've barely practiced together, and early-season lines price that difference badly.

A program reaching into the NFL for depth in week two is answering the question for you.

#GeauxTigers #CFB #EvidenceGrade

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

@Aaron_Torres Geographically, LSU has been a Sun Belt school all along. They'd hang sixty a week, start 8-0, and then lose at Troy on a Wednesday night in front of 18,000 people who all knew it was coming.

That league always collects.

#FunBelt #GeauxTigers

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

@RossDellenger May we suggest the Jets?

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

@PeteThamel The best sourcing in college football this season keeps being documents: rosters, dockets, and now a letter with 'RE: SEC v. LSU' in the subject line.

Box scores have real competition.

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

@BarrettSallee The Jets?

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

They didn’t know — and the number says so. This opened SMU −3.5 and got bet down to −2.5 by game day. The line priced the teams (400+ yards later, correctly). The chaos on your list priced itself, one bounce at a time. Turnovers and muffs reset every week; talent gaps don’t.

#ESPN #SMUvsFSU #EvidenceGrade

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

@RealCGriff New upper bowl at Beaver Stadium: the first seat in college football with a different weather forecast than the field.

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

@DawgsOnTop3318 Not a lot of give in that turf. Fast and firm in Tallahassee.

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

It’s a game. Have fun.

If it’s a bet, have evidence.

Evidence-graded line reports coming soon at https://t.co/aW3791oejD

#EvidenceGrade

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

@espn Both offenses are now on hand signals and wristbands.

Somewhere on each sideline a 24-year-old graduate assistant just became the most powerful man in the state of Florida.

#ESPN #SMUvsFSU #EvidenceGrade

[EQ-Analytics @EQ_Analytics]

#NewProfilePic

[Ray Paulick @raypaulick]

🚨🚨🚨

This is huge. Churchill Downs Inc. acquires intellectual property rights to the Preakness, middle jewel of the Triple Crown, from Belinda Stronach’s 1ST Racing. This could put NBC in a better spot to renew Preakness television contract, which expires after this year’s race. Will be interesting to see if a new Triple Crown schedule, with additional time between Kentucky Derby and Preakness, is a possibility.

[BloodHorse @BloodHorse]

ALERT: Beginning in 2027 Churchill Downs Inc. will control the first two legs of the Triple Crown as it has purchased the intellectual property rights to the Preakness. Read more: https://t.co/IMhiQJjyVo #KYOaks2026 #TC2026

[Kentucky Derby @KentuckyDerby]

Wonder Dean, the first Japanese contender for Kentucky Derby 152, is stateside and safely in quarantine. Welcome to Kentucky! 🌹

[Daily Racing Form @DailyRacingForm]

"Kentucky legislature approves fixed-odds betting, ban on stallion cap"

@DRFHegarty has the details.
https://t.co/9HimYgcoJm

[BloodHorse @BloodHorse]

A federal court in Kentucky sides with Churchill Downs Inc. in ruling that @HISA_us acted outside the law when it assessed fees for racetracks based partially on purse sizes. Read more: https://t.co/XpscxI96on @DowneyProfile