+EVtimothy

Sports betting info and takes from a dumb guy that might help another dumb guy, Skol Vikings @+EVtimothy on TikTok

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

This is another data point proving the KOC game plan: don't turn it over when you have a great defense, will win you a ton of games. Broncos had 168 yards of offense, Seahawks 350yards, Seahawks 3 TOs Broncos 0

[Warren Sharp @SharpFootball]

Sam Darnold’s 2 completely awful INTs vs Bo Nix gaining 25 *total yards* on 7 drives in the 2nd half

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

I had to hear all fucking offseason how the Minnesota Vikings were the dumbest franchise ever for letting go of Sam Darnold because he finally showed up in 1 big moment and balled out on a garbage Rams defense at the time, but the truth is the Seahawks hid Darnold well behind a great run game and amazing DEF/ST, they can't hide him now and this is the result, he's basically less fun to watch Jameis Winston

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

Seahawks vs Broncos TNF recap
AJ Barner over 2.5 receptions ✅

Evan Engram under 12.5 long reception ✅

It's only 2-0, but in a game like this, that's basically like hitting a twelve-leg parlay😆

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

TNF Seahawks vs Broncos i have a few plays i like

AJ Barner over 2.5 Recptions
-130 DK

Evan Engram
under 12.5 Long reception -115 Rivers

Barner has been getting targets especially vs the blitz but his ADOT is just 3.56 so I went with Recptions, his ATD might be the only 1 worth playing since he has the most Redzone targets on the team since Darnold came back

On Engram Seattle is giving up the fewest YPR to TEs just 5.83 and Bo Nix throws to TEs less than anyone in the NFL this year when pressured, he's facing the number 2 pressure team so i don't think Engram will have many opportunities, and when he does the Seahawks should be able to hold him under 12.5 Yards, well hopefully

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

He can't keep getting away with it

[Ian Hartitz @Ihartitz]

Goes in the books as a game-winning drive for Bo Nix lmao

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

AJ Barner over 2.5 catches ✅️ and he's got a whole 16yds, this is why ADOT is important kids

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

TNF Seahawks vs Broncos i have a few plays i like

AJ Barner over 2.5 Recptions
-130 DK

Evan Engram
under 12.5 Long reception -115 Rivers

Barner has been getting targets especially vs the blitz but his ADOT is just 3.56 so I went with Recptions, his ATD might be the only 1 worth playing since he has the most Redzone targets on the team since Darnold came back

On Engram Seattle is giving up the fewest YPR to TEs just 5.83 and Bo Nix throws to TEs less than anyone in the NFL this year when pressured, he's facing the number 2 pressure team so i don't think Engram will have many opportunities, and when he does the Seahawks should be able to hold him under 12.5 Yards, well hopefully

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

Bo Nix and Sam Darnold both have money on the other team

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

Darnold just looks for JSN, looks for him again, and then at the last second throws it at someone's feet if he can't force it to him

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

AJ Barner out there doing cardio😮‍💨

[Nathan Jahnke @FFNateJahnke]

Seahawks halftime TE snap ocunt

AJ Barner 29
Nick Kallerup 8
Eric Saubert 6
Elijah Arroyo 5

Out of 30 plays

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

@TimmyHardy True

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

That 49ers win vs the Seahawks doesn't look as impressive all of a sudden, Sam Darnold looking rough

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

Mike Evens out there half dead still balling 😄

[Underdog NFL @UnderdogNFL]

Mike Evans won't practice Thursday due to Achilles soreness and rib injury.

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

TNF Seahawks vs Broncos 1st TD Scorer will...... AJ Barner of course

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

TNF Seahawks vs Broncos i have a few plays i like

AJ Barner over 2.5 Recptions
-130 DK

Evan Engram
under 12.5 Long reception -115 Rivers

Barner has been getting targets especially vs the blitz but his ADOT is just 3.56 so I went with Recptions, his ATD might be the only 1 worth playing since he has the most Redzone targets on the team since Darnold came back

On Engram Seattle is giving up the fewest YPR to TEs just 5.83 and Bo Nix throws to TEs less than anyone in the NFL this year when pressured, he's facing the number 2 pressure team so i don't think Engram will have many opportunities, and when he does the Seahawks should be able to hold him under 12.5 Yards, well hopefully

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

TNF Seahawks vs Broncos isn't set up for an offensive explosion but there's a couple interesting spots,

We all know JSN is the clear 1st look in this offense but in the 3 full games Darnold has played Barner has been number 2

Per @FantasyPtsData Weeks 3,4,5 AJ Barner

73.1% RTE 17.5% TGT, both 2nd on the team,

And Barner actually has JSN beat in a couple spots since Darnold came back

TGT% vs the blitz since week 3
Barner 25% TGT% JSN 22%

Redzone targets since week 3
Barner 5 JSN 4

Broncos blitz at the 7th highest rate so far this season and are bottom 10 in Redzone TD% allowed

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

@RyanJ_Heath Numbers might sometimes mislead you but Ryan never will

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

It's just lazy at this point to claim Minnesota Vikings are a bad team, yet all the ESPN and FS1 shows refuse to talk about them, 3rd in margin of victory, 2nd in overall EPA and coming out of the bye week healthy 🤷‍♂️ Like i get yall don't wanna admit you were wrong but damn

[SFdata9ers🏈📊 @sfdata9ers]

NET EPA/Play Rankings

1. SF (OFF #2, DEF #4, ST #26)
2. MIN (OFF #28, DEF #1, ST #1)
3. KC (OFF #5, DEF #10, ST #11)
4. JAX (OFF #7, DEF #3, ST #15)
5. SEA (OFF #26, DEF #2, ST #2)

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

Shout-out to Mbappe and Haaland for paying for my hotel room on the trip to Detroit 💰💰 these dudes are unbelievable and if you aren't betting soccer in America ( especially these 2 ) you're missing out

[+EVtimothy @EV__Timothy]

@Shemars_shooter @jtoll17 And like I said Kyler has played 3 games 1 with Jefferson and they had the largest luck adjusted margin of victory in the NFL that week, if you wanna say, lol but your offensive DVOA with Carson Wentz you can, but we all know that's cope,