Edward Paice

Director of @AfricaResearch, author of ‘Youthquake: Why African Demography Matters’ ‘Tip & Run’ and others

[Edward Paice @EdPaiceARI]

As the world's population reached 8 billion (or thereabouts) it is astonishing, amid all the talk of ageing' how little attention was paid to the demography of #Africa. Which is very different. And fascinating. And very, very important.

[Izabella Kaminska @izakaminska]

Interesting signal

[Rashid Abdi @RAbdiAnalyst]

"The militarisation of politics and elite fragmentation over the electoral process have shattered a core assumption: that Somali leaders will ultimately step back from the brink to negotiate a way forward."

The Somali Wire on the June 3-4 violence in Mogadishu and implications for country's future.

[Vincent Foucher @VincentFoucher]

A courageous attempt at mapping the jihadist galaxy at the Benin-Niger-Nigeria border...

[Foreign Affairs @ForeignAffairs]

“Growing friction between Ethiopia and its neighbors has added to the volatile mix as diplomatic disputes threaten to escalate into proxy fights or even open confrontation,” writes @HilaryMatfess.
https://t.co/zqbImRXr09

[Yinka Adegoke @YinkaWrites]

Africa’s tax push is clashing with the reality of its informal economies https://t.co/6XgzyEtRmu via @SemaforAfrica

[Max Roser @MaxCRoser]

How will your country's demographics change this century?

At Our World in Data we built a tool to let you see for yourself.

The UN's assumptions are the starting point.

But then you can adjust the three drivers of change — births, deaths, and migration — to what you expect.

[Edward Paice @EdPaiceARI]

As of 2023, these countries were: Angola, CAR, Chad, DRC, Mali, Mozambique and Somalia. I highlighted five of these in ‘Youthquake’ chapter ‘The Doubling Dozen’.

[Edward Paice @EdPaiceARI]

For followers of Africa’s demography, @VSkirbekk and Thomas Spoorenberg show that when mortality is taken into account several countries have not begun fertility transition. Important. https://t.co/YT4bWca0oq

[Edward Paice @EdPaiceARI]

For followers of Africa’s demography, @VSkirbekk and Thomas Spoorenberg show that when mortality is taken into account several countries have not begun fertility transition. Important. https://t.co/YT4bWca0oq

[W. Gyude Moore @gyude_moore]

Cocoa exporters should ship more butter, liquor, and powder rather than raw beans, while Kenyan tea and Ethiopian or Ugandan coffee should leave the continent branded and semi-processed rather than as bulk commodities. https://t.co/4Puqu9Ebcd

[Africa Research Inst @AfricaResearch]

As Ebola resurfaces, take a look at the pertinent experience and advice from OB Sisay, Director of the Situation Room at Sierra Leone’s National Ebola Response Centre (NERC) during the outbreak 12 years ago https://t.co/7esY3EeJ4v

[Ellen Milligan @EllenAMilligan]

Scoop: The Foreign Office is undertaking job cuts so severe that it’s about to halve its Iran crisis team

Officials have been offered voluntary redundancy - half are expected to apply - as part of the UK's drive to cut 25% of its diplomats

w/@alexwickham https://t.co/QQ4lcgjvfD

[Simon Kuestenmacher @simongerman600]

Dependency ratio doesn’t sound very interesting but it changes your country massively. Italy's demographic decline can be described by this measure. In 1950 there were 8 workers for each retiree. By 2050 there will only be 1.5 workers for each retiree. There is no economic model to make this work as of now. HT @WorldEconomics

[IEA Kenya @IEAKenya]

#NewBlogpost! Fuel prices didn’t just rise because oil became expensive, the shilling’s purchasing power also fell. But even after adjusting for inflation, Kenyans now work nearly 80% longer to afford a litre of petrol than in 2019.

Read: https://t.co/hgPt79Z1hd

[Edward Paice @EdPaiceARI]

https://t.co/Xwk8kwyfRS

[Edward Paice @EdPaiceARI]

@iGaddo Outstanding image!

[Edward Paice @EdPaiceARI]

@ShippersUnbound @adwooldridge Name and shame the vicious ringleaders

[Carlos Lopes @LopesInsights]

Africa and China's growth!
It is a shocking yet powerful comparison. You can look at these maps and despair, or you can wake up to what is possible in just two generations.

[Peter Sarris @peter_sarris]

When I first arrived at Trinity in 2000, there were two splendid ‘Life Fellows’ who had hated one another since the early 1940s. Every dinner was like this.

[Razia Khan @raziakkhan]

The importance of keeping inflation low and stable, consistently

[Edward Paice @EdPaiceARI]

@IEAKenya @vivian_ochola Too true! As in the old adage ‘you can’t eat GDP’!