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#Election2026
https://t.co/nyyKdBeNM8
Los Angeles County Late Mail
Candidate – Votes (Percent, Difference from 6/2 Votes)
🔵 Xavier Becerra – 26,434 (35.4%, +6.5%)
🔵 Tom Steyer – 22,025 (29.5%, +7.2%)
🔴 Steve Hilton – 12,759 (17.1%, -6.1%)
🔴 Chad Bianco – 3,449 (4.6%, -2.9%)
This is slightly lower than the benchmark for steyer but with these dumps you’re likely to get a margin of error. Either way still a great dump for him and it’s looking like the later the mail, the better for steyer they will be.
Los Angeles County Late Mail
Candidate – Votes (Percent, Difference from 6/2 Votes)
🔵 Xavier Becerra – 26,434 (35.4%, +6.5%)
🔵 Tom Steyer – 22,025 (29.5%, +7.2%)
🔴 Steve Hilton – 12,759 (17.1%, -6.1%)
🔴 Chad Bianco – 3,449 (4.6%, -2.9%)
Here’s the likely timeline for Platner oppo dumps:
Dem dump tomorrow—last ditch effort to impact primary.
Depending on primary results, Tuesday or Wednesday evening. Try to get him to drop out. Maybe also small bits from Collins.
Rs start dropping nukes July 14th. Biggest first
The Los Angeles, California mayor’s election has added 33,000 votes for Karen Bass and 40,000 votes for Spencer Pratt in the last 14 hours.
14 hours and 73,000 votes added .
Everyone can see the steal.
I agree with @SteveKornacki current trend forecasted using a simple linear regression looks like a nail biter for team @nithyavr
Note: there's no runoff here, whoever gets second place, even by 1 vote, advances to November.
CA Gov Primary (Party Vote Share)
2018 62.6-36.2 🔵+26.4 (6.864 m)
2022 57.8-34.3 🔵+23.5 (7.064 m)
2026 57.8-40.6 🔵+17.2 (4.998 m)
The ballot count is only 54% in with roughly ~4 mil votes left to count
👀
As I just posted, Mejia won so much of the late outstanding vote with margins we always use when we say “possible but unlikely.” And polling showed that Steyer was winning overwhelmingly the late deciders.
If you want an idea of how possibly pro steyer these late votes could be, remember the lead Tom Malinowski had in the special primary in #NJ11 was so big that Mejia had to win almost all the remaining vote, and she did just that. Progressives tend to do extremely well in these late ballots.
Went on @CNNTheStoryIs with my guy @Elex_Michaelson late last night to talk CA-GOV takes and more. TL;DR: I think the writing is on the wall for a Becerra/Hilton general and we’ll know a lot more by 5pm PT today.
Conspiracy theory: Maybe California counts votes slowly because the count is run by election geeks who can’t bear to rush past the subtle beauty of each few hundred votes from Siskiyou County. To them it would be like eating rich food too fast to savor it.