It’s one thing to insider trade on NPI (I guess we just accept politicians can do this legally now?), but it’s quite another to also create the news from a government position. The latter seems fairly illegal but what do I know.
20 year old student Edith Berryman at the #RejoinEU rally in parliament square calling for the UK to rejoin the European Union @MarchForRejoin
"10 years since the Brexit referendum. I am 20 years old. I have grown up living with the consequences of that decision. I have a simple question. Did Brexit deliver what we were promised? My argument is simple."
"Brexit has had a real measurable economic cost. Not just in political arguments, but in productivity, investment and living standards, not just one opinion or one forecast."
"This is the conclusion we keep seeing across UK institutions and independent research. The question is not what people believed in 2016. The question is what can we learn from the evidence shown in 2026?"
"And the evidence is clear. Firstly, in productivity, this again doesn't come from one political campaign or one think tank. This comes from the UK government, government's own Office for Budget Responsibility. Their estimate is that Brexit reduces long term, UK productivity by around 4% compared to staying in the EU."
"And more recent academic work shows that figure even higher to around 6 to 8%. To put it simply, a smaller economy than we otherwise would have had. Secondly, investment. Because countries don't just grow by accident, they grow because business."
"This creates, invests and builds for the future. Business investment in the UK fell sharply after the referendum and has remained weaker than expected ever since. Independent studies estimate it is around 10 to 15% lower than it would have been without Brexit."
"And that matters because investment means jobs, it means wages, it means opportunities for the next generation, the younger generation, my generation, alph."
"They estimate this loss in productivity translates into around 470 pounds per worker per year in lower wages over time, not just for today, but for years ahead. Thirdly, living standards."
"Because this is where the debate stops being about statistics and it becomes real people's everyday lives. Research from institutions like the London School of Economics has found that Brexit related trade barriers increased costs in everyday goods, including food, contributing to higher household bills."
"And some estimates suggest it could amount to around 250 pounds a year for the average household. And the Resolution foundation has found over, the long term, real wages are lower than they otherwise would have been expected to be. So when you put all three together, products, investment, living standards, you do not get one political slogan, you do not get one isolated focus."
"You get a consistent picture from official institutions and independent research. And the question then becomes, how did we get here from what we were promised? Because this isn't just about numbers on a spreadsheet."
"Behind every percentage point is a real life. It's about whether young people can afford a home, whether your business can grow, whether families feel like their wages are, going further. I think the biggest issue here is Trust."
"In 2016, people were asked to make one of the biggest decisions in modern British history. They were promised that leaving would mean more control, more money and a stronger future. People were told, on the side of a bus, that leaving the EU would free up 350 million pounds a week for the NHS."
"But now, 10 years on, we have to be honest about the gap between what was promised and what actually happened. Because democracy, it doesn't depend on everyone getting every decision right. Democracy depends on us being willing to look at the evidence afterwards and ask, did this work?"
"What can we learn and what should we do next? Ten years ago, Britain chose a new direction. Today, we have the chance to choose what comes next. Not based on nostalgia, not based on slogans, not based on fear."
"Based on reality. And, the future isn't built on ignoring the evidence, is built by facing it. So the question for 2026 is, now that we know the cost, what should we do next? Thank you very much."
The $60k level continues to be strong.
There isn't another period in Bitcoins history similar to where we are now.
Bitcoin has always played with ranges...
But every single time it has been in a strong downtrend, it has always sliced through lows very quickly.
It is highly uncommon for a level to be defended like this if it is not in fact a strong low.
In addition, Bitcoin has been in HTF oversold conditions since Feb, and never in its history has it held a level like this in oversold conditions that hasn't marked its bottom within 15%.
In addition we have:
- Most amount of coins in a loss ever
- ETF capitulation
- Saylor and STRC FUD
- Hovvering around the 200sma
- Largest whale accumulation ever
- The 300SMA at $54,000
All of these things are happening at the same time as Bitcoin continues to hold $60k.
And has now put in 2W, 1W, 5D, 3D, 1D & 4H bullish divergences.
After all of this I do not see the case for much more than another drive into the $54k's to clear out the funding, remaining longs and provide another opportunity for the big boys to load up again.
I personally think the worst of the STRC FUD is behind us, and after the lowest RSI since COVID, we could still hold our bull divs on a drop to $54k.
If/when we get that we would want to see some decent volume come in.
Three very key metrics here add the main confluence:
1. The Bitcoins in a loss are at the highest level ever of any bear market
2. Bitcoin has never dropped below the 300SMA, which sits at $54,000
3. $54,000 is Quantile 3 which is almost the lowest reading ever
If we get back above $65,000 I think the low is in.
If we are to get $54,000 it should happen this coming week.
Let's see how it goes :)
The RWA industry, in its current form (ie too many platforms, not enough real assets), is too fragmented with every player having their own gated walls, and nobody wanting to collaborate freely with the hopes of being the one to dominate the entire market. This set up doesn't, and won't, work long term.
Did you know the Freehold RWA Tokenization Studio is powered by Realio Network's native blockchain and the Freehold multi-chain wallet infrastructure? Check it out: https://t.co/PcLihF6EM5
There are so many amazing opportunities out there right now.
Imo we have now reached peak opportunity in the market.
This happens whilst everyone has totally given up.
From here, I will be starting to share more projects, some of which will be micro caps.
Many of my new followers over the last 7 months won't know this(because the market hasnt permitted it), but I have made the vast majority of my money in Crypto trading micro caps(Under $10m).
And there are two times when this trading behaviour becomes the most sensical.
1 - At major bottoms when really solid projects are 85%+ oversold whilst having stayed extremely active
2 - The moment the momentum shifts HTF into weekly bullish structure and you can allocate heavier
Right now, we are at number 1.
The logic is this, and it has worked time and time again.
Any micro cap team that has endured this market and stayed the course, is insanely committed.
You know that they will not give up.
On top of that, the charts are very oversold and its only hardcore holders left.
The room to fall lower has grown extremely thin.
Because of this, and the level of quality that some of these unknown projects have, many of these will 300% move in a day as momentum shifts again.
Contrary to what the majority believe, you are SO much safer positioning within these type of market conditions because the drops have already very largely happened.
Anyway, i just want to give you a heads up that I will be starting to share these kinds of opportunities and discuss the best micro caps I can find.
Last year I hit many 20x + trades publicly, and I fully intend to do that again.
If these aren't for you, just scroll on, fair enough.
If they are, ensure to DYOR and invest comfortably.
If you want more help, join my discord which is free, and the community will help you in there(I'll leave the link below).
Time to start running some things up again!
If you are cheering for the 4-year cycle to play out again, you are cheering against Bitcoin.
The 4-year cycle is one of the worst things long-term for Bitcoin's adoption and reaching its true potential as a global asset.
If Bitcoin is perceived as a speculative asset that follows some magical 4-year cycle, it will remain a sideshow speculative asset.
For Bitcoin to remain something that everyone sells or trades every 4 years for no reason other than that 4 years have passed is a horrible narrative.
Open Letter
To the President of the Russian Federation
From the President of Ukraine
When you came to power in Russia more than 26 years ago, many people in Ukraine viewed you positively. That is how it was. But that is now in the past.
Now, the overwhelming majority of Ukrainians view it positively that our long-range drones paid a visit to the opening of your forum in St. Petersburg, covering a distance of more than 1,000 kilometers. As you know very well, that distance is not the limit of our capabilities.
@verasitytech Translation: We will impress you with our tech babble while we figure out ways to exploit your trust and naivety for our own financial gain.
The business cycle just hit 54.0
A level that only ever happens within the periods of overall expansion.
At the exact same time as COPPER/GOLD has broken into a HTF uptrend, and above is 1W 50EMA.
These are both absolutely fundamental macro charts that precede and mark every form on overall expansion.
Without fail, every time these conditions arrive it has lead to a massive bull cycle for Bitcoin.
Right now, Bitcoin is not showing us this...
But it doesn't change what is happening within the overall foundations.
These things do not mean nothing.
There is a reason this has been 100% correlated to bitcoin, forever.
We are in the position that Bitcoin needs to start responding to this...
Otherwise how we have always viewed Bitcoin, as a macro liquidity asset...
Will be no more, and everything will have changed.
#Altcoin Dominance has pumped into its prior two Golden Crosses in 2016 and 2020
The next Golden Cross is currently on pace for September
Based on prior history and the current year long+ consolidation reaching its finality it points to Altcoin Dominance pumping into September