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Prices are the result of socialized highly leveraged financing, where losses are socialized, and gains are privatized... Corporate RE investors are free riders on a system for life-necessities, exploiting the commons and the socialized pricing mechanisms. END all government intervention in housing finance!
@KarelMercx Why does the decrease of backing (or implied security) for futures contracts, as a percentage of the open interest, necessitate higher ATH prices for physical?
In theory, underwriting is predicting forward 3 years. So AI should tell itself now it's going to eliminate a staggering number of jobs in the economy, and perhaps not to make loans today in advance of pending job and income losses. There should be a predictive score for that risk...
But, in practice, underwriting is mostly BS compliance for fast gain on sale, that doesn't itself predict or prevent defaults at all. Historically credit scores are the #1 single most accurate predictor of future loan performance (payment history), and accumulated personal savings is number #2 (skin in the game).
@KarelMercx@adam702989@KarelMercxTA one Contrathesis is a War-path to Re-dollarization through increased control of Oil; death-spiral of the Dollar exaggerated (or reversing) after acute war issues resolve.
@KarelMercx Yes, generally, but Else: Silver-lease rates are down, gold-lease to silver-lease spread is down, GSR around 60 is low, SO at what point or level may the relative lease rates indicate relative future performance+/-. Why not 70 GSR?