Endure Network

The risk intelligence network.

Built on Bittensor $TAO SN30.

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

Endure, $TAO SN30, is live on mainnet!

Risk intelligence that is competitive, outcome-scored, and auditable is here.

Read the full picture: https://t.co/4FJOoJEDHA

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

https://t.co/9GHjSvn8nq

[Forge @ForgeLending]

Forge is partnering with @Bitcast_network ($TAO SN93).

Bitcast is a decentralized content marketing protocol on Bittensor. They will help us bring Forge to every user in the ecosystem ahead of mainnet.

Glad to have a Bittensor-native distribution partner in our corner.

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

The Oct 25 to 31 rounds averaged 93.7%, the lowest week since Oct 4 and the steadiest: every round landed between 93.2% and 94.3%, where earlier weeks swung by 2 to 3 points.

It was the first full week with 32 to 42 miners per round.

The score tops out at 100%, and closing that gap is the work.

[tomy hay ⚡️ @TomyVE1]

This is huge for the Bittensor community!!

No economy grows without lending. Period.

Leverage and liquidity are what turn holders into builders, traders and believers into an actual economy.

Until now, your Alpha just sat there.

@ForgeLending changes that.

Most are not aware of it yet.... LFGGG https://t.co/HfvU4MCblA

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

The first product built to run on Endure’s risk intelligence is coming to mainnet.

[Forge @ForgeLending]

Heat’s rising.

Bittensor is about to get liquid.

Mid-November.

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

Glad to see Forge get here with security first. @taodotcom took the same care with the wstAlpha wrappers and the BittensorEVM stack Forge builds on.

The countdown to mainnet is next, and we’re looking forward to it.

[Forge @ForgeLending]

Mainnet update:

We have been working towards mainnet for quite some time, and we want to be transparent about what was happening behind the scenes.

Getting this right was always more important than getting it done fast. Forge is built to handle real capital, and that requires a strong foundation that has been fully reviewed and secured.

We worked closely with @taodotcom throughout this process. While Forge was being audited, https://t.co/qsLIXsAJqn conducted a broader audit on their wstAlpha wrappers and the underlying BittensorEVM stack, providing solid ground to build DeFi in the Bittensor ecosystem.

The audits flagged specific items, all of which were addressed before moving forward.

None of this would have been possible without the excellent work of the https://t.co/qsLIXsAJqn team. We’re glad to have them as partners.

Now, Forge is ready to start the countdown to mainnet.

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

The top 10 miners on the Endure scoreboard are within 0.011 of each other, from 0.894 for first to 0.883 for tenth. Number 41 sits at 0.491.

The median is 0.863. From first place down to 39th, the score drops only 0.122, so rank says less about the gap between miners than you’d expect. Two miners fall well outside that range.

Scores are each miner’s blended outcome EMA, from 0 to 1, with recent rounds counting most.

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

Miners with published forecasts fell from 235 to 43 between the Oct 21 and Oct 22 rounds, following a protocol update on our side.

The consensus score dipped to 94.4% from 96.0%, still inside the 93.6% to 97.1% range it has held since Oct 4.

Oct 18 to 24 averaged 95.1% over 420 scored values, with no missing consensus in any round. Three rounds in, a much smaller miner set is producing results in the same range.

It’s the first big swing in miner count since the early rounds, so we’ll see how the score settles.

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

Not every outcome on Endure gets scored.

Some are voided on purpose.

A coordinate needs 20 market data snapshots, spanning at least 80% of its window, to count. Once a horizon closes, the validator checks the data behind the result. Fewer snapshots than that, or data that covers less of the window, and the outcome is voided.

If the data’s broken, nobody should be graded against it.

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

The typical miss on Endure’s 5-day TWAP price forecast was 1.5%, ranging from 0.5% on SN56 to 6.5% on SN53.

Each forecast targets the TWAP, the time-weighted average Alpha price over the next 5 days, and the miss is how far the consensus landed from what the average turned out to be. These are medians across 15 subnets and 18 rounds (Oct 4 to 21), 270 forecasts in all.

SN64 was almost as tight as SN56 at 0.6%, and the largest single miss, 12.9%, was on SN53.

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

On Oct 21, 235 forecasts went in for SN107’s pool. Five days later, the consensus was 0.1% away from the pool’s actual average $TAO reserve: about 19,883 forecast, 19,858 realized.

The TWAP price forecast (the time-weighted average Alpha price) was 1.8% off. That’s how every round works on Endure: forecasts go in first, and the outcome decides the score.

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

The median score across Endure’s 245 historic miners is 0.85 on a scale from 0 to 1, and 186 of them are at 0.80 or higher.

Historic here means every miner with an accepted forecast in the last 7 days, not only the ones still forecasting. The score measures how close each forecast lands to what actually happened, smoothed over recent rounds.

Miner by miner on the dashboard: https://t.co/cPZmEis2hT

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

14 rounds since Oct 4, and every one scored between 93.6% and 97.1%. This week’s average consensus score, Oct 11 to 17: 95.7%.

It’s still a short record, but a steady one. Over the week, miners with published forecasts went from 208 to 245, and every round had a published consensus for every coordinate.

Risk, with receipts: https://t.co/gewWNuPkn4

[Prosper Alpha @ProsperTicker]

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Trading Competition: Round 1 is officially OPEN!
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💚 Ends: Oct 29 (10:00 UTC)

🏁 Trade Now: https://t.co/JZtJ8DWa1H

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

A forecast can’t be wrong until reality has had time to answer.

That’s why Pending and a dash on the dashboard never count against the score. Missing consensus is the only empty state that does.

Pending means the outcome isn’t known yet: a 5-day forecast needs its 5 days to play out before it can be scored. A dash means a horizon has no resolved results yet, so the dashboard leaves it empty instead of inventing a number.

Missing consensus is different. If a coordinate resolved but no consensus was published for it, it goes into the average as a zero. Voided outcomes, the ones the validator marks void, are excluded from scoring.

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

Under 1%. That’s the typical gap between Endure’s liquidity depth forecast and what actually happened.

It’s the median across 15 subnets and 12 rounds (Oct 4 to 15), on the 5-day horizon. Liquidity depth is the time-weighted average $TAO reserve of a pool.

On Oct 15, the SN107 forecast was about 20,639 $TAO and the realized value about 20,354 $TAO, a 1.4% miss.

Every round’s forecasts and outcomes are public.

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

Every position has a risk number behind it: a credit line, a derivatives book, a portfolio, a treasury. That number mostly comes from a model or a committee, and its track record is rarely public.

Endure turns it into a competition: forecasters put risk estimates on the line, a network scores them against reality, and the best forecasters earn the weight. Today that runs on 15 subnets, every day, and it’s where we start.

The loop is built for exposures that can be written down as numbers and checked later.

[Forge @ForgeLending]

Bittensor has one of the most active token economies in crypto. Emissions flow, Alpha accumulates, and validators and miners earn. But most of that capital still has nowhere to go without selling.

Forge is being built to change that. Alpha will become collateral, $TAO suppliers will earn more than root yield, and protocol revenue will flow back to @EndureNet, the risk intelligence network that will gradually inform how Forge parameters are set over time.

The capital is already in Bittensor. Forge will put it to work. Mainnet coming.

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

To get on the board, start with the miner docs: https://t.co/edgnC9jq5z

Scoreboard: https://t.co/tTQ3oMMwwE

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

One miner leads the SN30 scoreboard at 0.80 out of 1. The next 22 sit at 0.72, within 0.0001 of each other.

248 active miners are ranked, and every hotkey and score is public. Everyone on the board started from zero.

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

95.5% is a 0 to 100 protocol score across 420 consensus values, not a hit rate. Each value is compared with what actually happened over the next 5 days, and a missing consensus counts as zero. None were missing.

Round by round: https://t.co/H80yNsoO33

[Endure Network @EndureNet]

Endure is live on mainnet, and the first week we’re reporting is in: seven rounds, Oct 4 to 10, with an average score of 95.5%.

Scores climbed from Oct 4 to 6, then held just under that peak through Oct 10. Four rounds are too few to call it a plateau, and every new round adds to the picture.

This week shows the loop working end-to-end for the network: forecasts published, outcomes arrived, and every one of the 420 values scored against what actually happened.