Zach Erma

I build models. #MLB #CFB #NFL

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

@BallparkPal Took the Over at Coors. GL! https://t.co/0ic9kyetLE

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

Positive edges for today's #mlb model run. Took the Over at Coors. Mainly pitching/ballpark correlation driven, I have Sugano especially to get rocked. Cashed the Over in Arizona yesterday, let's stay hot!

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

Positive edges for today's #mlb model run. Took the Over at Coors. Mainly pitching/ballpark correlation driven, I have Sugano especially to get rocked. Cashed the Over in Arizona yesterday, let's stay hot!

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

@BookitWithTrent It's ball season, Trent.. https://t.co/QZDIhZtNlw

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

Few positive edges for today's #mlb, game at Kauffman the biggest. But I have few reservations there. BAL BP is kinda overworked and you'd say that's another over signal, but extensive backtesting recreating exactly these BP situations actually reveals the opposite. Managers navigate smart around BP fatigue and compensate FULLY.
If Carroll is playing for the Dbacks today - edge goes to +0.28 there and is a clear play for me, taking in mind the other triggers that fired in that game.
TOR/LAA positive edge is almost entirely pitcher driven.

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

Few positive edges for today's #mlb, game at Kauffman the biggest. But I have few reservations there. BAL BP is kinda overworked and you'd say that's another over signal, but extensive backtesting recreating exactly these BP situations actually reveals the opposite. Managers navigate smart around BP fatigue and compensate FULLY.
If Carroll is playing for the Dbacks today - edge goes to +0.28 there and is a clear play for me, taking in mind the other triggers that fired in that game.
TOR/LAA positive edge is almost entirely pitcher driven.

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

Monday #mlb ⚾
I almost never bet Mondays, big turnover day with many new series starting and incomplete data
Model direction is rightly determined, but the precise edges are computed with several data points missing.

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

@SharksNSports88 Way to go, Shark!

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

@MLB @Braves What a disastrous start of the season for PHI..

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

@SportsDogma Strong opinion on the under too.

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

@BookitWithTrent @pikkitsports It's ball season, Trent.

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

@GetBettorOdds @CorbieBO Biggest edge at COORS too..

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

Sunday #mlb. Not much of a fun day, though..
#Gambling𝕏

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

The low confidence tag is a bit deceiving. Today all the tagged games had not even one of the signals pointing meaningfully to the OVER. This doesn't make the projection less valid. Will fix the tag for next run.

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

Saturday's #mlb ⚾
#Gambling𝕏

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

Updated sim on open air games with Angels v Yankees game included now! #mlb ⚾

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

Currently working on the model expansion to closed-roof games, so not running the sim on those yet.

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

Projections for today's #mlb. Angels/Yankees has potential, but no LAA starter yet, so not projected.
#Gambling𝕏

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

@robpizzola This is so important and if I am not wrong this ain't the first time you explain it so well! Certain outlets make a business of pushing this useless and polluted "data".

[NCAAF Nation @NCAAFNation247]

College Football returns in 137 days

WR Cooper Kupp - Eastern Washington

🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

[Pete Thamel @PeteThamel]

Prayers with the great Dick Vitale.

[Zach Erma @ErmaZach]

The early slot sims for today. #mlb