Positive edges for today's #mlb model run. Took the Over at Coors. Mainly pitching/ballpark correlation driven, I have Sugano especially to get rocked. Cashed the Over in Arizona yesterday, let's stay hot!
Positive edges for today's #mlb model run. Took the Over at Coors. Mainly pitching/ballpark correlation driven, I have Sugano especially to get rocked. Cashed the Over in Arizona yesterday, let's stay hot!
Few positive edges for today's #mlb, game at Kauffman the biggest. But I have few reservations there. BAL BP is kinda overworked and you'd say that's another over signal, but extensive backtesting recreating exactly these BP situations actually reveals the opposite. Managers navigate smart around BP fatigue and compensate FULLY.
If Carroll is playing for the Dbacks today - edge goes to +0.28 there and is a clear play for me, taking in mind the other triggers that fired in that game.
TOR/LAA positive edge is almost entirely pitcher driven.
Few positive edges for today's #mlb, game at Kauffman the biggest. But I have few reservations there. BAL BP is kinda overworked and you'd say that's another over signal, but extensive backtesting recreating exactly these BP situations actually reveals the opposite. Managers navigate smart around BP fatigue and compensate FULLY.
If Carroll is playing for the Dbacks today - edge goes to +0.28 there and is a clear play for me, taking in mind the other triggers that fired in that game.
TOR/LAA positive edge is almost entirely pitcher driven.
Monday #mlb ⚾
I almost never bet Mondays, big turnover day with many new series starting and incomplete data
Model direction is rightly determined, but the precise edges are computed with several data points missing.
The low confidence tag is a bit deceiving. Today all the tagged games had not even one of the signals pointing meaningfully to the OVER. This doesn't make the projection less valid. Will fix the tag for next run.
@robpizzola This is so important and if I am not wrong this ain't the first time you explain it so well! Certain outlets make a business of pushing this useless and polluted "data".