EuroAsiaSecurityForum

[EuroAsiaSecurityForum @EuroAsiaSecFor]

As defence industry cooperation moves to the centre of the UK-Japan quasi alliance, is it time to deepen our intelligence relationship? https://t.co/1mF8uqov7W

[Philip Shetler-Jones @shetlerjones]

One feels for Prof FENG Zhongping #CASS tasked to make the case that 🇪🇺 can rely on 🇨🇳not to politicise trade when his country is blocking flows of dual-use items to 🇯🇵 (based on 'militarisation' and a made-up nuclear program) while supplying 🇷🇺's invasion of a European country.

[Philip Shetler-Jones @shetlerjones]

Impressed 🇬🇧Parliamentary Committee drawing lessons on resilience made time for the representative of 🇹🇼 in UK. Lots to be gained from closer collaboration on evolving and shared security threats.
Bravo @TanDhesi @Taiwan_in_UK

[EuroAsiaSecurityForum @EuroAsiaSecFor]

@CollinSLKoh @DzirhanDefence Supply chain security?

[Collin Koh 🇸🇬🇺🇦 @CollinSLKoh]

Later this year, ASEAN and Japan will do up something that amounts to a rebuff at Beijing. As to what exactly that something is, I shall be obliged to keep it on the ice until official announcement transpires.

[Philip Shetler-Jones @shetlerjones]

‘’A country that has operated without a foreign intelligence service, without an anti-espionage law and with a chronically siloed intelligence community … is not remilitarizing when it takes modest steps to remedy those deficiencies.”
https://t.co/TnwupF5Bz2

[EuroAsiaSecurityForum @EuroAsiaSecFor]

@alessionaval Sad to say, I have to agree with you.

[EuroAsiaSecurityForum @EuroAsiaSecFor]

Isn’t it ironic how the PRC is committed to recreating the Qing Empire?

[Shashank Mattoo @MattooShashank]

China claims Arunachal Pradesh is Chinese territory

"China does not recognize the so-called “Arunachal Pradesh” illegally set up by India. It is fully within China’s sovereign rights for the Chinese government to issue standard names for some of the places in Zangnan"

[Euan Graham @graham_euan]

🇧🇳 exports petroleum products and fertiliser to 🇦🇺 . 🇦🇺 exports food and LNG to 🇸🇬 . 🇸🇬 exports refined products to 🇦🇺.
It’s remarkable how many people still don’t understand how dependent on maritime communications this country is. But with every crisis it’s becoming clearer.

[Euan Graham @graham_euan]

3 weeks in, and the US’s key Asian ally is negotiating with Washington’s enemy to secure safe transit of SoH because the US Navy can’t ensure passage for Japan’s merchant ships trapped in the Gulf. Tokyo has always maintained relations with Tehran, but still extraordinary.

[Jennifer Parker @JAParker29]

I joined @CNN to discuss what it would take to get commercial shipping flowing more confidently through the Strait of Hormuz.

It will need to be phased: first reduce Iran’s ability to threaten shipping by degrading C2, radar & strike systems. Then reassure industry through patrols, escorts, information-sharing & strategic communications — ideally as a coalition effort.

Full segment available here https://t.co/WTRBXWlKqx

@DefenceUwa @LowyInstitute @NSC_ANU

[Dr. James W.E. Smith @James_WE_Smith]

62 years of destroying British national strategy, weak education of decision-makers, rise in popular history that focuses on sentimental nostalgic tosh, effective seablindness and the shattering of the relationship of the services to nation, and one another; what did you expect?

[WarTranslated @wartranslated]

Russia's main TV channel is airing songs about how great life is without the internet. Getting even closer to North Korea.

[Jennifer Parker @JAParker29]

🧵 Naval escorts through the Strait of Hormuz are often discussed as a solution to tanker attacks — but in practice they are difficult to execute at scale. A short thread 1/

[Philip Shetler-Jones @shetlerjones]

@globaltimesnews CCP media now classifies how sovereign states deploy their resources for defence within their own borders as ‘military expansion’.
Beijing sounds more like Moscow every day.

[中山泰秀🇯🇵Yasuhide NAKAYAMA 大阪4区＝大阪市北区,福島区,都島区,城東区 @iloveyatchan]

🇯🇵 Japan has upheld peace for 80 years.But peace must not mean silence in the face of deliberate danger.
🇨🇳 A Chinese J-15 fighter locked its fire-control radar on a 🇯🇵 Japanese F-15J over international waters southeast of Okinawa.This is not “routine.”
In global military doctrine, a radar lock is not a signal — it’s a prelude to firing.From the U.S. to Israel, every professional armed force knows:You never lock on unless you're ready to shoot.
China now calls Japan’s reaction “slander.”
But radar locks are provable facts, not narratives.
And facts carry weight.
🇯🇵 Japan will not provoke.But Japan will not ignore.
Deterrence means being prepared — in the air, in diplomacy, and in the eyes of the world.
🔗 Reuters: https://t.co/WkdUh9kUEh
🔗 MOFA Statement: https://t.co/um7x63oNxW
#F15J #J15 #RadarLock #PLA #China #Japan
#MilitaryCommonSense #IndoPacific #Deterrence #PeaceThroughStrength #RulesBasedOrder

[中山泰秀🇯🇵Yasuhide NAKAYAMA 大阪4区＝大阪市北区,福島区,都島区,城東区 @iloveyatchan]

Japan🇯🇵must never lose the ability to decide its own security policy.
That future must be prevented at all costs.

NHK reported this morning that the Japan–China Director-General–level talks ended in a complete stalemate.
Based on my experience as Japan’s State Minister for Foreign Affairs and Defense, and as Special Advisor to PM Sanae Takaichi when she chaired the LDP Policy Research Council (Foreign Affairs, Defense, and the Game-Changer field), I would like to offer a clear view of the situation.

⸻

1️⃣ Japan will not accept China’s demand for a “retraction.”

PM Takaichi’s Diet statement was a standard, legally grounded assessment under Japan’s existing security laws.
Japan rightly rejected Beijing’s demand for a withdrawal, while affirming that dialogue will continue.
This is a calm and responsible stance for a sovereign nation.
There is no need for unnecessary fear or panic. Japan is responding with composure.

⸻

2️⃣ The trigger for this escalation was the post by the Chinese Consul-General in Osaka.

This is where the situation began.

● The Consul-General’s post on X did not name PM Takaichi,
but was unmistakably directed at her,containing extremely
unsettling language that many interpreted as alluding to beheading.

● Such wording is unacceptable for any diplomat,and many regarded it as a de facto threat.

● It was, quite literally, an
attempt to
“set off a firecracker to stir chaos,”
far outside normal diplomatic conduct.

From there, China escalated step by step:

(1) Urging Chinese citizens to avoid travel to or study in Japan
(2) Delaying Japanese film releases
(3) Canceling Japan-related cultural events
(4) Expanding economic pressure—including a ban on Japanese seafood imports

→ These are not isolated incidents.
They form a coordinated political warfare package aimed at pressuring Japan and shaping public perception.

The Guardian’s analysis also highlights this pattern:
👉 https://t.co/xpzPup4c80

⸻

3️⃣ China is targeting the “person,” not the argument.

Beijing stayed restrained when President Trump used far stronger language toward China.
Yet it overreacted to PM Takaichi’s measured and legally grounded statement.

Why?
Because China seeks to target
“Sanae Takaichi as a symbol,”
attempting to unsettle Japan’s domestic security debate.

⸻

4️⃣ The core issue: Can Japan continue to decide its own security policy?

This is not merely a diplomatic dispute.
It goes to the heart of Japan’s sovereignty:

Can Japan continue to make its own security decisions—free from foreign pressure and influence operations?

Attempts to shape or distort Japan’s security debate from outside violate the fundamental Principle of Non-Interference in international law.

Japan must retain the sovereign right to determine its own future.

⸻

5️⃣ In closing

Speaking truthfully about security realities is not provocation.
Refusing coercion is not escalation.

Japan must continue to discuss its security calmly, responsibly, and with confidence.

And together with the nations committed to a Free and Open Indo-Pacific, I strongly hope Japan will remain a country that decides its own future with clarity and sovereignty.

ARIGATO❤️ m(_ _)m

Yasuhide Nakayama

#Japan #China #Taiwan #Takaichi #Security #Diplomacy #PoliticalWarfare
#IndoPacific #FOIP #NHK #Sovereignty #Democracy #JapanSeafoodBan
#YasuhideNakayama

[EuroAsiaSecurityForum @EuroAsiaSecFor]

@iloveyatchan https://t.co/gsmFOhUqK0

[Philip Shetler-Jones @shetlerjones]

緊張を高める可能性のある「無謀な」約束をするどころか、北京の傲慢な傾向を抑制することで、日本の高市早苗首相は私たち全員のためになったのかもしれない。https://t.co/3wYwCaUE3I

[EuroAsiaSecurityForum @EuroAsiaSecFor]

The only way PRC could think of to punish Japan is to isolate its own citizens.

[Arnaud Bertrand @RnaudBertrand]

China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs now tells all Chinese citizens to "avoid" travelling to Japan. Which is the strongest possible travel advisory (normally it'd be telling tourists to merely "exercise caution").

Quite a heavy blow to the Japanese economy as the Chinese make up 1/3rd of their tourists (https://t.co/ebhei1FSjG)

[EuroAsiaSecurityForum @EuroAsiaSecFor]

The main thing standing in the way of cross strait relations is the CCP’s ugliness. Who’d want to be in one country with these guys?

[Sari Arho Havrén @SariArhoHavren]

In its choice of words, amplified by inept wumao campaigners on X, this is by far one of the worst PR campaigns ever. (If it is intended for the internal audience, then keep it internal.)

[EuroAsiaSecurityForum @EuroAsiaSecFor]

@CollinSLKoh