Dustin

🏀🏈⚾️ Sports on the screen, gas in the air 💨

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

At the end of the day real situations expose fake people, so pay attention

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@VenomPropz Free discord doesn’t show it tried joining

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@NFL_Convo What do you think of rashee rice this weekend?

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@RotoLegends This is my team this week and I’m struggling between starting both the Jets receivers or swapping out cooper for Harrison Jr. Please let me know what you think.

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@DrezyPlays DONE

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@DrezyPlays 🐐

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@DrezyPlays 🐐

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@DrezyPlays 🐐

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

Kid N Play 🔥

[Kyle Ingram @SnapshotKyle]

Which nickname are we officially going to call LaMelo Ball & Anthony Edwards?

1. Fast & Furious
2. Killer & Thriller
3. Ant-Man & The Wasp
4. 2020 Vision
5. Splash Niggas

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@NFL_Convo @PPRFantasyTips Kendre miller or Keenan Allen? For my flex spot

[Sal Bets @salbets_]

This might sound crazy but...

The NFL continues tomorrow and Week 6 might be the easiest week to exploit all year.

Here are your official 10 best bets for Sunday's games:

[The Professor @TheProfessor305]

NFL KEY MATCHUPS 🏈

QB, RB, WR & TE with favorable matchups this week

Keep these in mind when building slips and setting your fantasy lineups this Sunday👇

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@IAMMBIGPLAY 🐐

[Shaan @ShaanS7_]

15 Key Stats to Know Before Betting on the Week 6 NFL Slate 🏈

1. The Texans are going to be without star NB Jalen Pitre this week, which sets up Parker Washington to dominate in this spot. Additionally, last week with DeMeco Ryans taking over play-calling duties, the Texans ran 1-high on 59% of their defensive snaps. Versus Cover 1/Cover 3 this season, Parker Washington is averaging 3.57 YPRR with a 0.31 TPRR. With the Texans’ rush defense being dominant and Anton Harrison out for the Jaguars, Liam Coen should emphasize quick passes in the middle of the field for Parker in this game.

2. Zay Flowers is set up for success against a Browns defense that’s running 1-high at a 74.9% rate this year. Flowers is averaging 4.62 YPRR with a 0.36 TPRR versus 1-high this season.

3. James Cook is set to dominate against a Raiders defense that’s currently allowing 2.59 YBC/ATT this season. Additionally, the Raiders have been mediocre at defending man/gap rush concepts, allowing a 50.8% success rate against the concept along with an average of 4.49 YPC. Why is that significant in this matchup? 63.2% of James Cook’s rushes this season have come on man/gap concepts, and Cook is averaging 5.88 YPC on that concept.

4. Rico Dowdle has been super inefficient as a rusher this season, owning just a 27.3% success rate with an explosive run rate of 0%. With Jaylen Warren likely handling a bellcow role, I don’t see Rico Dowdle having much success against a Bucs rush defense that ranks 3rd in stuff percentage, 2nd in EPA, and 5th in success rate.

5. Caleb Williams is finally back from his hamstring injury, and he gets a great matchup against a Falcons defense that’s allowing the 6th-most passing yards per game. With Caleb Williams less likely to scramble in this game, I really like him to air it out in this matchup.

6. Luther Burden gets a great matchup against a Falcons defense that’s running 1-high at a 60.5% rate on the season. Why does that matter in this matchup? Going back to last year, Burden is averaging 3.21 YPRR with a 0.28 TPRR versus 1-high. Additionally, Burden owns a 33.3% first-read share on the season against Cover 3.

7. Over the past two weeks with Jameis Winston at quarterback, Malik Nabers owns a 39% first-read share and is averaging 2.71 YPRR. He now faces a Saints secondary that’s struggled this season, ranking 26th in EPA and 30th in success rate. If you dive deeper into the numbers, versus Cover 3 this year Nabers is averaging a 0.26 TPRR. With the Saints running Cover 3 at the highest rate in the league, I like Nabers to cook in this matchup.

8. Blake Corum has been one of the more efficient running backs in the NFL this season, averaging 3.18 YBC/ATT with an explosive run rate of 16.2%. He now faces a mediocre Cardinals rush defense that ranks 21st in YPC allowed (4.4) and 23rd in stuff percentage (18.1%). In a game where I expect the Rams to win by double digits, I like Corum to dominate in the second half of this matchup.

9. Brock Bowers gets a great matchup this week against a Bills passing defense that’s been atrocious this season. Through five games, the Bills’ passing defense ranks 29th in success rate and 27th in EPA. Now let’s dive into the coverage matchup. Jim Leonard’s defense has primarily been operating in Cover 3 and 4 this year at a 62.5% rate. Versus those coverages this season, Bowers is averaging 3.19 YPRR with a 0.29 TPRR. With the Raiders’ inability to run the football in trailing game scripts, Bowers should continue to dominate in this matchup.

10. With Rashee Rice and Tyquan Thornton out this week, Cyrus Allen is set to step into a starting wide receiver role. I’m expecting Allen to get around 20 snaps in this game. I also wouldn’t be shocked if we see Allen get some designed targets in this matchup, as Cyrus is great after the catch. Here’s a quote from Andy Reid talking about Cyrus Allen potentially getting more snaps this week: “Yeah, I think he would probably work into the mix there a little bit more. He’s a good football player, and even though he’s young, he’s got good ability.” Additionally, through five weeks the Chargers defense has allowed 38 targets through the slot. Typically you see rookies thrive after a bye week, and in this spot I’m expecting Allen to deliver in his slot role.

11. CeeDee Lamb is set to have himself a day against a Packers defense that’s running zone coverage at an 80.2% rate. Versus zone coverage this year, Lamb is averaging a 36.4% first-read share along with a 0.32 TPRR. Specifically versus 2-high this season, Lamb is averaging a 0.31 TPRR, which leads all Cowboys pass-catchers. With both teams ranking top 8 in pace, I’m expecting Lamb to haul in a ton of targets in this matchup.

12. Wan’Dale Robinson gets a sneaky matchup against a Colts defense that has struggled through the slot this year. Through five games, the Colts defense has allowed 52 targets and 565 receiving yards through the slot. (Wan’Dale has run 78.1% of his routes from the slot this year.) Now let’s dive into the coverage matchup. The Colts defense has run man coverage on 30.2% of their defensive snaps this year. Versus man coverage this season, Wan’Dale is averaging 2.0 YPRR with a 0.3 TPRR. In a trailing game script, Wan’Dale should thrive in this matchup.

13. With the acquisition of Marvin Harrison Jr. earlier this week, Kayshon Boutte’s role as an outside WR is going to decrease in this offense. I’m expecting Boutte’s routes to go from roughly 25 routes a game to 13–17 going forward. Additionally, Boutte is averaging just 1.25 YPRR with a 0.16 TPRR versus Cover 3/4 this season. (The Jaguars have operated in Cover 3/4 on 50.5% of their defensive snaps this season.) In a game where I expect Nico Collins to dominate, Kayshon shouldn’t perform well in this matchup. Additionally, the Jaguars’ pass defense ranks 7th in EPA.

14. Dallas Goedert gets a sneaky matchup this week against a Panthers defense that runs a ton of Cover 3 (44% rate). Versus Cover 3 over the past two seasons, Goedert is averaging 1.86 YPRR with a 0.23 TPRR. Additionally, in his first game back from injury last week, Goedert owned a 4.0 aDOT. With Tanner McKee likely having to get the football out quickly in this game, Dallas Goedert should fare well in this matchup. Also, Goedert played 34.2% of his snaps last week in the slot.

15. The Cowboys earlier this week hired Mike Pettine to be a consultant on Christian Parker’s defensive staff. I’m expecting the Cowboys defense to play less complex coverages and instead play more 2-high to prevent explosive passes. So who on the Packers should cook in this matchup? Matthew Golden is averaging 3.07 YPRR with a 0.26 TPRR versus 2-high this year. With Joey Porter Jr. likely shadowing Christian Watson, Golden should lead all Packers WRs in yards in this matchup

Thanks for reading my notes. I appreciate the support as always ❤️

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@DrezyPlays Thanks for all you do 🐐

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@grok What are the odds he goes over or under 22.5 yards

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@DrezyPlays LFG!! 🐐🐐

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@SkohtyDFS $Dfelsheim

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@DrezyPlays 1000 but anything helps me currently fighting for custody

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@DrezyPlays 🐐💪

[Dustin @FadedByHalftime]

@DrezyPlays 🐐🙏