KALSHI TRADERS PUSH HORMUZ RECOVERY TO LATE SUMMER
Traders on Kalshi now expect shipping in the Strait of Hormuz to normalize no earlier than August or September.
Current odds:
🔸 57% chance normal traffic returns by September 1
🔸 ~52% chance by August
🔸 75% chance by January 2027
Uncertainty remains as Iran has not signaled reopening plans and the U.S. blockade continues, despite a ceasefire.
Recent tensions and conflicting military claims have pushed expectations back—just a week ago, traders saw a July reopening as most likely.
https://t.co/bX6mPHs19I
So thrilled to finally see this out! 🎉 Really proud of this one.
"An Integral Part of Our Lives": WhatsApp Groups as Socio-Technical Gathering Spaces in Somali Drought Relief — with @Nauja_Kleist & @karutikk
https://t.co/vgolnM2lSa
#DigitalHumanitarianism#Somalia#WhatsApp
🆕 How do communities organise aid during crisis?
@Fatimaa_dm, @Nauja_Kleist and @karutikk examine how Somali WhatsApp groups function as spaces for coordinating drought relief, extending kinship-based support into digital humanitarian action.
🔗 https://t.co/hAJvYkV3bQ
Very pleased be part of the #Diaspora#humanitarism in complex emergencies crisis and policy dialogue discussion at the University of Nairobi jointly convened by @IDS_UONBI, @uonbi, Danish Institute for International Studies, RAKO and Rift Valley Forum. Nice meeting @NimoJirdeh@sahro et al.
Fatima Dahir on kinship Network and social media in times of crisis. #Socialmedia has been crucial in transforming social interaction, it has helped in creating online links that has never been there before to share information in real time
@IDS_UONBI#DHUM2024#WeareUoN
So after a months away from home, craving for Somali food, we go to a African restaurant with the entire #DHUM team. I order hilib iyo baris and the first thing they bring is a banana! I laughed so hard🤣. #Sasaa restaurant. #Somalifood. #HilibIyoBaris#Somaliculture
We started together in Janaury of 2020 as PhD students at @Diaspora_Hum! Here we are today 2 years later halfway. Please meet my wonderful colleagues, friends and fellow PhD Candidates!
@AbdirahmanEdle@Fatimaa_dm
Don't miss the first of four state-of-the-art webinars on infrastructure beginning next Tuesday 29th! Brian Larkin kicks the series off, exploring how generators shape the technologized, ambient milieu of urban Nigeria @diisdk@Nauja_Kleist https://t.co/lZKLUVHrdv
Webinars series on analytical approaches to #infrastructure with top-notch scholars! Next week Brian Larkin on generators in urban Nigeria. Sept. 29, 3pm CEST at zoom. https://t.co/03nhmta8wu @diisdk, @Jethro0, @PeterAlAlbrecht, @BjarnesenJesper, @FranziscaZ, @BusaSays