Fegitek Hana

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@OTregub Maybe Ge is being though of here under "largely disarmed"
That is arguably true and Ge is a member state of EU.
But EU as a whole is we would need to analyze in a different light and even Ge can ream just as fast as it has after WW1.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@OTregub Largely disarmed har har har 😂
You know that France and the UK is also in the EU? Poland?
Finland?
SWE?
Greece largely disarmed?!?

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@OTregub Such statements would fit nicely into the interwar period next to the argument that nations that have industrialized and do a lot of trade together will never go to war with each other anymore... because its too costly.
Yes that was an widely accepted argument back then.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@ju_ri_22 @IAPonomarenko Well if all of Russia has to reunite I guess historical revisionism necessitates that Kiev annexes Muscovy and its historical descendants.
We know Ru is all about historical revisionism so necessarily it agrees.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@steve_hanke Same situation since 2022: When Ru invaded UA and started a major land war on the fields themselves along supply liens and blockading the ports UA has already started rerouting agricultural shipments via the EU.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@steve_hanke Dry-bulk vessels carry much more than grain, including coal, iron ore and other commodities.
They cover vessels from all Black Sea countries, not just Ru and UA.
EU Commission reported that Ukraine continued exporting agricultural products through alternative routes.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@Glenn_Diesen Now if someone is a future convict and saying there is a war then I have bad news as it seems even the most basic fact check eliminates the referenced article as a realistic argument. But yes Ru propaganda was allowed to be spread more back then something changed in 2022...

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@Glenn_Diesen What war?
Saying there is a war is a crime in Ru so you should not be discrediting the Ru gov and military like this:
https://t.co/RGcnwH9pd0
There is no war Ru invading was just "Western Propaganda" so you know Ru info ops are telling you the truth ;)

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@McFaul Every thing else is just WW2 style landgrab like the USSR and Ge has done at the time: something obviously directly eliminating the purpose and sense of the UN which is kind of bad for all nations that exist if they wish to keep existing as nations.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@McFaul Even worse:
1. Putin himself declared that NATO ascension of Ukraine would be completely a topic that UA decides on its own and not something that can sour relationship with Ru
https://t.co/TeVfkA1wzk
2. Signed current international borders of UA on the UN
https://t.co/HeceuNZkO5

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@McFaul Everything else beyond this is nonsense: Same PM opposite stance and the entire basis of UN is that you cannot alter the borders and security stance of another sovereign nation you have accepted already without their willing consent.
UA didn't consent so thats that.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@IAPonomarenko Also: I believe this is already like the 4th or 5th US peace negotiation around UA war - who is counting they were all nonsense :)

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@IAPonomarenko This is correct: All parties have been in constant contact as is always the case even between the most unlikely parties such as US and NK.
The will of any one party to "negotiate peace" is meaningless nonsense.
Negotiations over an end to a war is done by participating parties.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@IAPonomarenko e.g: We have yet to see a loosing party in a war simply admitting to the fact and communicating its inevitable loss more then a couple of months before they throw in the towel.
Up till that threshold they are completely sure about victory which is normal.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@IAPonomarenko Negotiating any of these facts is not a thing: This is pretty much just data and individual perception not even those of high ranking politicians is irrelevant.
Real wolrds gone do its thing regardless of meaningless political rhetoric.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@IAPonomarenko The end result we know already after the first month of the 2022 invasion: Ru will loose.
But the question is for how long it can draw out the conflict burning off accumulated wealth and how much cost it can inflict on UA.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@IAPonomarenko EU (and also US still) support UA as it reduces their geopolitical risk and in case of EU it is trying to integrate UA and thus trying to make sure its losses are minimized.
Support is not about sustaining the war effort nor about its end result.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@IAPonomarenko Now the US is a powerful party involved in nearly all matters around the world yes.
But active US participation is not what keeps UA going: UA would win the war no matter if US supports it or not not even EU is critical for the end result.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@michaelxpettis Yes any nation can stop using USD at any time: The argument that Ru China or any other nation would replace the USD was not a threat but a favor to US economy and hence no-one has done it: reliance on US continues until US cuts the cord (arguably ongoing).

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@michaelxpettis And indeed this is a cost for the US: Having to accommodate for such capital reserves is not something that is boosting US economy.
Yes it can in theory get cheaper bonds but even that is not the case anyone.

[Fegitek Hana @FegitekH85276]

@michaelxpettis On the contrary US gov arguable needed to pile on gov debt to offset the long term negative effects of a historically notable balance of trade deficit: Refinancing the cost of globalization cheaper as a benefit for globalization is not an „exorbitante Privileg“