Chris Takes Profits

Stock trading rookie, making all the mistakes. Still making decent profits. Need to hodl more. Not here for the lambos, but for my family. Learning Daily.

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

@Fibonacci_TA

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

@Fibonacci_TA Finally! What took you so long?! - got blocked by him a year ago 😜 Welcome to the club, we have cookies. #TeamblockedbyMikeAlfred

[Jim Liu @jiahanjimliu]

$IREN: Performance Target for CEO RSU Compensation - Calling All Retail

I support @neel_epochal's call that we need to attach a performance target for each of @danroberts0101's and Will's 9.1m share compensation package.

I believe in $IREN hitting $150, shouldn't Dan and Will? If Dan and Will do what they claim, then $150 is a nothing burger. Even by 2027 when their first tranche vests. Can Dan and Will please consider adding a $150 stock price target as a performance metric for their RSU compensation package? This will instill confidence in retail that has supported them for years.

I am a small retailer with 37.2k shares. I can confirm @neel_epochal has 703k shares. There are significant retail whales with one person at 3m+ common shares. Can we get @leopoldasch whose fund owns 11m shares to support this?

Poll in quoted post since X didn't let me attach poll to long post.

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

This.

[Black Panther Capital @BlackPantherCap]

People sometimes ask me what my motivation and drive is.

My answer:

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

@StockSavvyShay Really useful illustration, thank you!

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

@BullTheoryio It’s not a peace deal. It’s a prolongation of the ceasefire - again - with the aim of discussing the actual core issues within that time. So nothing of substance has been resolved, once again. But let’s party anyhow 🤷‍♂️

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

@calvinfroedge Interesting? 🤔 Not sth you’d expect?

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

@optionscjp I … noticed 😬

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

@calvinfroedge Yeah, but let’s be honest: Barnacles don’t even seem that crazy at first glance. It’s easy to underestimate them. Rookie mistake. 🤷‍♂️🐚

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

@KobeissiLetter Muted. Lazy engagement farming 🙄

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

@jiahanjimliu Excellent, thank you for this well-founded read! Have a great week.

[Jim Liu @jiahanjimliu]

$INV: Morpheus Research Short Report

My conclusion is:
1. Accelsius two phase liquid cooling has real potential.
2. DarkNX is most likely a fraud, at best a fake it till you make it smoke and mirrors.

Acceptance for datacenter components has a very high bar. No want ones to take a risk on multi-billion dollar datacenter buildout delayed by picking the wrong 500m cooling supplier. Accelsius is under going qualification and reviews right now. This means two things:
1. No established datacenter lead will risk their career before qualifications.
2. There are many other conservative but subar solutions. If innovative solution gets qualified, it has a chance to disrupting an establish market.

This makes $INV a very binary stock based upon qualification. I will explain both why DarkNX is most likely a fraud and why Accelsius' two phase cooling has potential.

DarkNX
The team at DarkNX does not have much of a career to risk. If they fail the datacenter project then they start back right at where they were. If succeed the datacenter project then this is a huge breakthrough for their careers.

Before DarkNX's website conveniently removed their Seattle office address, I had Googled it. I know that part of Seattle. It's mostly warehouses and abandoned industrial buildings. I'll keep it simple and say this: based on the founders LinkedIn experience, most datacenters wouldn't hire them to even be a technician or manage an receivables account.

Accelsius
Accelsius's two phase cooling is a commercialization attempt of technology that had been in the works at Nokia Bell Labs for over 10 years (1). Accelsius had been the IP from Nokia Bell Labs which came from Alcatel-Lucent <- Lucent Technologies <- AT&T / Bell System. Bell Labs had invented the transistor, Unix, C programming language, cellular networking, fiber optics, lasers. Nokia holds some legacy but valuable IP, just look at their stock price. But this is no guarantee does not guarantee all their IP can be commercialized.

Here are how far along they are in their commercialization:
1. Will be at Nvidia GTC this year debuting their two phase cooling for a 150kW rack (2). This is sufficient for first generation of Vera Rubin NVL72 but not NVL144. For qualification process, it's not useful to be ambitions. Get your foot in the door first then you will have many opportunities.
2. Accelsius is in Nvidia's incubation program (3).
3. Universities are more likely to try out prototypes. Texas Advanced Computing Center (TACC) has used some of their prototypes in the 2024 (4). TACC isn't upgrading to every new generation of GPUs so their H100 build using Accelsius 2 stage cooling. I know TACC is legit since I went to University of Texas and TACC is affliated with University of Texas. I'm a had college classmates work part time jobs at TACC and there were professors with projects there.

In contrast to DarkNX's nothing to risk career starters, Accelsius has:
1. CTO Richard Bonner had worked 18 years at Advanced Cooling Technologies and rose to VP of R&D (7). Advanced Cooling Technologies is a $2.6B private company under Blackstone's private equity holdings (6).
2. CEO Josh Claman was previously VP of Corporate Development at Dell and has been in hardware industry for 30 years working sales (5).
3. COO, Matthew Cruce, worked 12 years at Dell to become the Director of Server Supply Chain (8).
4. SVP of Engineering Jeff Taus, worked at Dell for 13 years to become a Distinguished Engineer or equivalent to Principal Engineer in Silicon Valley lingo.
These people have worked at Accelsius for 4 years and are not brewing a scam for 4 years of their lives.

Why Did Accelsius Work with DarkNX
Accelsius is in the qualification phase, Microsoft is not knocking on their door on day 1. Are they going to say no to a startup datacenter builder like DarkNX? No because Accelsius doesn't pay DarkNX or anything, there's no risk besides making a publicity announcement which has now backfired. However, $CRWV pivoted out as a failed ETH miner. As another startup, you generally give other startups a chance.

Short Term Negative Implications
$INV may face some pain from this short report because there's no questioning that DarkNX is a fraud. Anywhere from 2.84 to 5.67 are possible drops, it's already 5.15 at time of this writing.

Long Term Outlook
There's no guarantee that Accelcius owned 43.2% by $INV will succeed at commercialization, and I am sizing my $INV as a small 0.05% position accordingly. I might DCA a little during dips but it will be controlled to a max of 0.15%. $INV still has binary risk but it's commercialization process is not set back by Morpheus Research's short report centered around DarkNX which was a tail chance for them anyways

Now, $INV is not a Silicon Valley move fast culture startup but compared to it's competitors like Vertiv, it moves faster. There's no two stage cooling startup in Silicon Valley with much traction so the corresponding competition moves slower. You can read my original take on the liquid cooling industry: https://t.co/i6ELQ9G3dB

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

@BeardoTrader Based on what …?

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

$SPY $IWM $QQQ $DIA At this point, this all feels like a giant pump and dump. The markets ripping on the same non-news for 10 weeks is absolutely ridiculous.

[Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives]

$SPY up 9 straight weeks

$IWM up 9 of last 10 weeks

$QQQ up 8 of last 9 weeks

$DIA up 7 of last 9 weeks

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

@RemoteNavigator Yup! 😀🤩

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

@Mr_Derivatives https://t.co/5bDnzmVtst 😉🤪

[OddStats @OddStats]

If on:
▶ January 3, 2000
▶ You put you and your wife's $250,000 life savings
▶ Into $NVDA stock

You'd have:
▶ Gotten divorced in August 2002
▶ When it was down 88%

[TrendSpider @TrendSpider]

What's going on here?

Overall market participation has been roughly cut in half since late March.

In the 34 trading days since the market bottom, $SPY has not once traded more shares than its previous 20-day average.

This is now the longest streak of low relative-volume trading in the S&P 500 since at least 2008.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

This is unusual:

The S&P 500 has now seen 29 trading days where the index moved opposite to overall market breadth, the most through the first 93 trading sessions of any year on record.

In other words, on many days when the S&P 500 closed higher, more stocks actually finished lower than higher, and vice versa when the index closed down.

This is also the 2nd year on record with more than 20 such sessions through this point in the year.

This comes as only 10 stocks have accounted for ~70% of the S&P 500’s 16% gain since the March 30th bottom.

At this pace, the market will experience 79 sessions like this until the year ends, setting an all-time high.

By comparison, the current full-year record is 57 trading days seen in 2024 and 2025.

A handful of tech stocks are driving the entire market.

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

@Mr_Derivatives

[Chris Takes Profits @FinanzDecd]

@rickjeff78 „Will delete if I’m wrong“ or not? ;)