$KOSPI ~33% pullback and bounce off February high
After serious correction, the risk/reward for memory stocks now more favourable. Looking to increase exposure to AI stocks.
$MU Holy Shit.
Morgan Stanley projects Micron will generate ~$400B in combined operating income across 2026 & 2027. That's nearly 40% of the entire market cap. That's fucking ridiculous.
2026 → 2027
Revenue: $172.9B → $285.9B (+65%)
Operating Income: $140.7B → $248.7B (+77%)
$MU $SKHY $DRAM Just Remember
86% operating margins projected to hold through 2027.
Volatility is psychologically driven. The investment thesis is data driven.
Hedge funds are piling into US semiconductor stocks:
Last week, hedge funds purchased the most US semiconductor stocks in at least 3.5 years.
This follows the 2 largest consecutive weekly sales since June 2024.
As a result, semiconductor stocks now account for 10% of total hedge fund exposure.
This percentage is twice as high as during the same period last year.
However, this remains below the peak of 14% recorded in May.
Hedge funds are betting the semiconductor selloff is already over.
$MU $SKHY $DRAM Just Remember
HBM pricing is expected to nearly TRIPLE by Q4 2027. Not stabilize. Not hold. Triple.
Volatility is driven by fear. The thesis is driven by data.
If you guys are loving the volatility already, you’ll love this… $RAM a 2x leveraged on $DRAM. Just launched a few weeks ago.
$17.50 per share.
As the memory sector continues to take flight, $DRAM will only grow and that means that $RAM will have some violent moves higher as well.
Be careful with this one as it is a leveraged ETF.
I tend to stay away from these kinds of stocks besides $TSLL but this one could be very promising.
Holyshit...
Another 20-30% increase in DRAM contract prices for Q3, and for NAND even 35-40%.
Simply insane. And people were selling absolute beasts like $SNDK, SK hynix $SKHY and Kioxia on some cheap FUD?
$MU $SNDK $KXIAY $SKHY $DRAM $EWY
Samsung’s earnings triggered a “sell the news” reaction …
1) $DRAM down -8%
2) $DISK down -9%
3) $SMH down -5%
Samsung’s quarterly profit now exceeds NVIDIA $NVDA & Apple $AAPL …
The sell off spilled into: Micron $MU + Sandisk $SNDK down around 8-10% today
Are we in memory exhaustion?
The fundamentals across the memory & semi industry are still solid & remain bullish.
Gartner says that global memory chip revenue is forecast to more than 3x from $216 billion in 2025 to $758 billion in 2027.
$DISK is the diversified memory play + actively managed by a semiconductor focused team identifying opportunities beyond just headline names (Tema + SemiAnalysis)
$DRAM is the OG Vanilla Memory ETF
$SMH is the all in 1 memory + semi ETF
Overall… short-term bearish sentiment DOES NOT OVERPOWER long-term sentiment.
$MU $DRAM $SNDK $SKHY
"Memory makers have notified customers of another 20%-30% increase in DRAM contract prices for Q3, while NAND Flash contract prices are set to climb 35%-40%."
-ADATA Chairman Simon Chen
$DRAM is one of the most concentrated ways to own the memory trade: three stocks make up roughly 75% of the whole fund 👇
Roundhill packages the DRAM, NAND, and HBM makers that AI servers depend on into a 20-stock basket weighted heavily toward the giants
$MU: 26.0% - makes DRAM and NAND flash memory chips
Samsung: 25.4% - South Korean electronics maker and the world's largest producer of memory chips
SK Hynix: 23.5% - South Korean chipmaker known for DRAM and the high bandwidth memory used in AI servers
$SNDK: 4.6% - makes NAND flash memory and solid state drives
Kioxia: 4.5% - Japanese maker of NAND flash memory and SSDs
$WDC: 4.3% - makes hard drives and flash storage for PCs and data centers
$STX: 4.2% - makes hard disk drives and large scale storage systems
Tom Lee sees the memory trade having a new cycle & not slowing down anytime soon…
$DRAM is seen as being buyable with the dips & pullbacks …
However, $DISK by Tema ETFs (in partnership with SemiAnalysis) could be a better memory ETF that is:
1) More Diversified than DRAM by RoundHill
2) Higher concentration NAND
3) Actively managed by a semiconductor-focused team in SemiAnalysis
If $DRAM is a $200 ETF …
Then $DISK is a $150 ETF…
Robots, Humanoids, & autonomous cars need memory…
You can’t call the end of the cycle….
I’d also argue that Sandisk $SNDK deserves an overweight position in a memory ETF like DISK.