Andrew Kuhn

Markets, capital allocation & American energy

[Andrew Kuhn @FocusedCompound]

New pod is up!

Continuing on with going A-Z in $IGV

$FICO, $FIVN, $FRSH $FTNT $GTLB $GWRE $HUBS $HUT $IDCC $INTA $INTU $IOT $KVYO $LIF $LSPD $MAHN $MARA $MSFT $MSTR

[Lawrence Hamtil @lhamtil]

In 2021, Celsius had revenues of $314M. They did $818M just this past Q alone. Yet the stock is flat over the same period.

Investing is hard, sure, but at 466x earnings in 2021, people must have been thinking Celsius would subsume the entire beverage category.

[Andrew Kuhn @FocusedCompound]

@steve2bacon @trustmebroclown

[Andrew Kuhn @FocusedCompound]

SpaceX insiders rushing to sell as soon as their shares unlock

[Investing Addict @InvestingAddict]

RIP to Celsius.

Costco brand over everything.

[Deep Sail Capital @DeepSailCapital]

It’s wild that Leopold Aschenbrenner worked at FTX, witnessed a company implode under excessive leverage, insider dealing, and poor risk management, seemingly learned nothing from it, and then nearly blew up Situational Awareness with excessive leverage and poor risk management

[Za @ZaStocks]

Still can’t believe Citadel warned that the risk of rate hikes was high, triggered a selloff, bought the Situational Awareness portfolio after it was forced to unwind, then turned around and said the bull market remains healthy and intact.

You couldn’t make this up if you tried.

[Josh Young @JoshYoung]

Never fails

[John Arnold @johnarnold]

March 23: Postponed announced attacks on Iran’s power grid, citing “very good and productive” negotiations
March 26: Extended deadline by another 10 days; negotiations were “going very well.”
April 7: Two week ceasefire to give time to conclude a proposed 10-point plan
April 21: Extended ceasefire indefinitely after mediators requested more time
May 18: Held off a major strike because “serious negotiations” were underway
June 11: Canceled strikes hours after threatening to hit Iran “very hard,” claiming a negotiating breakthrough
June 17: Signed an interim ceasefire agreement ending hostilities and beginning a 60-day period to negotiate a final agreement
July 27: Paused bombing campaign to give diplomacy another chance
August 1: Canceled planned attack after claiming that Iran had agreed on parameters of a deal

[HFI Research @HFI_Research]

This is the 5th time Trump has TACOed on his own strike.

Iran knows this, which means they can just shove the leverage all the way.

- demand payment
- demand Israel to withdraw from Lebanon
- demand SOH to be under Iran’s control

So unless Israel pulls out of Lebanon, this is already dead on arrival.

[Andrew Kuhn @FocusedCompound]

He's giving his new Truth Social subscribers a chance to buy oil first before the missiles start flying

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: President Trump says he has cancelled the US attack on Iran and that the “perimeters of a deal” have been agreed to.

Trump says this deal will include “a total reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.”

[Andrew Kuhn @FocusedCompound]

“Why am i seeing this”

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🚨🇺🇸 A camera caught Bessent's Camp David notepad reading "Buy Japanese Yen $5-10 bil."

-The photo was taken over the Treasury Secretary's shoulder at 11:33 a.m. during the on-the-record portion of Trump's cabinet meeting, showing an underscored "To Do" followed by "Buy Japanese Yen (JPY) $5-10 bil"

-It surfaced after Reuters reported Treasury had told a number of banks, through the New York Fed, that it might step into the yen market that day and should "stand ready for future action"

-The yen had been scraping four-decade lows, trading as weak as 163.65 to the dollar Thursday before Japanese authorities intervened, then strengthening to 159.09 and jumping again late Friday to around 157.6

-Bessent said this week the yen "seems very undervalued to me" and that "excess volatility in the yen isn't healthy," while Japan's top currency official said the American support "goes beyond psychological support"

The last time Treasury propped up the yen was 2011, a coordinated G7 rescue after Japan's earthquake and tsunami.

Source: Reuters / Writer: Daniel

[HFI Research @HFI_Research]

Come on guys, intervene harder.

[HFI Research @HFI_Research]

Like clockwork, 9 PM EST everyday.

[Peter St Onge, Ph.D. @profstonge]

What's mind-blowing is Starship is the size of a 35-story high-rise.

Imagine the tallest building in your city literally landing on the ocean 🤯

[Brandon Beylo @marketplunger1]

Now it makes sense why oil is down 4% today.

[Andrew Kuhn @FocusedCompound]

"I used to be a trillionaire"

"Okay Grandpa, let's get you to bed"

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

Oil dumping even as Hormuz physical flows have stopped completely, with algos taking over again.

JMIC: DATA INDICATES ZERO TANKERS IN EITHER DIRECTION OF HORMUZ

[Brandon Beylo @marketplunger1]

Another reminder that days like these are why I love investing in commodities.

When the market goes up, commodities go down.

When the market goes down, commodities go down.

Can't beat it, honestly.

[Tracy Shuchart (𝒞𝒽𝒾 ) @chigrl]

Oil may be down but 321 crack spreads up 3.12% today