Frederic Formont777

Beginner in the Stock Market and Cryptocurrencies. I have no knowledge in economic or finance. But I try to educate myself and learn from others

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

Jesse Felder "it's obvious to me that the market is pricing a future that is over the next years. It's clear that it's impossible to achieve what analysts are kind of pricing out over the next 2-3 years (.) analyst estimates are going to have to come down"https://t.co/YOLx9PnAn2

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

Malek : "when yields go up (.) growth stocks sell off (.) Higher yields lower a company's intrinsic value (.) the real skill being tested right now is not prediction, but noise filtration (.) noise filtration is the only alpha that is free on WS" : https://t.co/5292Z1UI3R

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

https://t.co/2qM8TE0KkW

[Lance Roberts @LanceRoberts]

Bank of America’s research shows that elevated long-term earnings growth expectations have historically been associated with weaker subsequent equity returns, suggesting today’s exceptionally optimistic forecasts may leave the market vulnerable to disappointment.

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

From Dean Baker. PE Ratios: "Magnificent Seven" and Other Tech Companies vs. Long-Term Average : https://t.co/IDYbHrm13z

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

Dean Baker : "The US has had two major bubbles (.) There are signs that we are in the midst of a third (.) it is possible to track the bubble, looking at (.) changes in their PE. This is what the AI Bubble Monitor will do on a weekly basis" : https://t.co/xeFcvEu0xT

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

When interest rates were close to zero (.) future earnings were discounted at relatively low rates. Today, investors have to balance high growth stories with rising bond yields. In a market valued for perfection, even a slight fracture may start to matter https://t.co/wlMvPNm8ot

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

A perfect example of why 'cleverness' isn't enough in investing. Reflecting on the book "When Genius Failed", Phil Rosen points out that : "they exposed themselves too much to leverage and they blew up" : https://t.co/1AgAOj9Uec

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

Malek:"The bond market (.) is telling you that the resolution is not coming (.) and demand higher yields. The 10-year US Treasury yield is the most important benchmark in global finance (.) Corporate debt is priced off of it. Equity valuation models use it https://t.co/mRgjyihGMX

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

"We don't read other people's opinions. We want to get the facts, and then think. You need to be critical and always thinking. You need to do the mental work (.) to hold an opinion. Neither (.) is smart enough to make the decisions with no time to think" : https://t.co/5JFteeqFQ1

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

Warren Buffett's words are enlightening : "To invest successfully (.) does not require a stratospheric IQ (.) insights, or inside information (.) but a (.) framework (.) and the ability to keep emotions from corroding that framework" : https://t.co/JbsEACtrx2

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

https://t.co/qyE8EHoMg8

[Special Situations 🌐 Research Newsletter (Jay) @SpecialSitsNews]

BofA Red Flags Composite Chart

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

According to Hartnett, adding SpaceX, OpenAI and (.) pushes concentration "past the 48% peak that defined every major bubble of the past century (.) Markets that have reached that level (.) have eventually given a chunk of it back, sometimes violently" : https://t.co/pRmMWmSmhr

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

Mark Malek : 3 scenarios on May CPI and Core CPI : https://t.co/H24mV4wIza

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

https://t.co/cCvWvdE8wF

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

Done With Bonaparte : https://t.co/G3Aqc7HMtO

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

Good advice, but very difficult indeed : https://t.co/MmmqBgprwa

[Anthony Scaramucci @Scaramucci]

The best piece of advice I ever got came from my grandmother.

What other people think about you is none of your business.

It sounds simple, but it is genuinely hard to live by because we're social creatures and we want to be liked.

The moment you start caring about that less, you become your actual self.

And those other people you're so worried about are mostly thinking about themselves anyway.

So relax. Be yourself.

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

Michael Hartnett : "Warsh too dovish and long-end heads toward 6%; Warsh too hawkish and S&P 500 pullback toward 7,000," : https://t.co/Ib5g4N85xy

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

Simon Ree: To fund CAPEX, Google "priced the largest equity raise in US corporate history" at "just under $85B". So even the most profitable companies are passing "the hat", raising the question of "whether the cash flow can actually cover it" : https://t.co/bmWg7K7cs1

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

Simon Ree : Hyperscalers plunge "$725B (.) into AI infrastructure in 2026" while generating only "$35B" in revenue. About 20$ of spend for every 1$ of revenue. "Maybe it’s (.) the most important build-out of our lifetimes ? It can also be railway mania (."https://t.co/bmWg7K7cs1

[Frederic Formont777 @FormontFre69498]

Simon Ree : "The synchronized drop in stocks, gold, silver, and Bitcoin indicates that this was "not a (.) rush to safety, it’s deleveraging". Thus, safe havens stop acting as protection: "the diversification (.) is revealed (.) an illusion" : https://t.co/bmWg7K7cs1