Fred's Intelligent Bear

Focus on investment strategies. I share my personal investment strategies to give people ideas for their own strategies. This is not investment advice.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@LanceRoberts I love closed end muni bond funds. They usually have around d 30% leverage and usually trade at a discount to NAV. I post a list of recommended CEFs on my feed every 2 months.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@Sophiezjo45 Thanks for following. Singapore looks so cool. I would love to go sometime.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@GoldForecast Look at Soma. It is flat over the last 1 year while gold is up 38%. Management has never even come close to meeting any goals they have set.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@LanceRoberts If colleges actually taught kids anything that they would use in their careers, the grades might matter.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@LizAnnSonders Real retail sales cannot grow unless real earnings grow. Real earnings cannot grow unless productivity grows. Productivity cannot grow if people do not get off their phones and do something productive.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@GoldForecast Perhaps the stock is such a "value" since management has proven to be either incompetent or liars. They have not even come close to meeting any goal they have set in the last 2 years.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

Muni Bond CEF Strategy
This model finds the muni bond closed end funds with the best relative value based on discount to NAV, dividend, 5 year return, etc.
These are my top tier value funds right now out of the 43 on my list.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

Leading Indicator Strategy
This model uses leading economic indicators to time markets with buy and sell signals.
A signal is generated once per month, and there is roughly 1 buy or sell signal per year.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

World Value Strategy
This model finds the countries with the best relative value based on my metrics.
This list shows the top 17 countries out of 34 on my list. Countries higher on the list are given a greater investment allocation.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@ClownWorld Cows are evidence that God exists. They are wonderful animals. They give us delicious meat as well as milk that is used to make yogurt, cheese, butter and ice cream.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@GoldForecast I still think gold is headed to $3500 before the rally resumes.
https://t.co/YkJ8vCsLC0

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

I still think gold could correct to around $3,500.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@LanceRoberts Works a lot better than that useless seasonality!

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@GoldForecast I like Michael Pento. He is a real money manager with a good economic model. However, he tends to be a little too doom and gloom.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@GoldForecast Thanks for posting this. I was wondering how they are doing with the carbonaceous ore.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@LanceRoberts Exactly right. That is why I use good leading economic indicators (not the useless Conference Board) to determine when it is safe to be long.
https://t.co/zufCwkreAO

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

Leading Indicator Strategy This model uses leading economic indicators to time markets with buy and sell signals. A signal is generated once per month, and there is roughly 1 buy or sell signal per year.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@GPs_capital_ @FredKosters @Silver__Santa They have promised so much and delivered so little. I am not calling them liars only because they are covered by forward looking statements.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@GoldForecast Oh yes, El Creston has molybdenum also.

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@GPs_capital_ @GoldForecast List of never ending failures and management excuses.
https://t.co/IJwg2fGfee

[Fred's Intelligent Bear @FredIntelBear]

@GPs_capital_ @GoldForecast Strikes are a sign of bad management. And it is not just the strike. They have excuses quarter after quarter. They never meet production goals.