FullPort

Capital Allocator
Owner of StrikerInvesting YTD

[FullPort @FullPort1]

@FriendlyJulio8 @aleabitoreddit Don't use a pe multiple at peak earnings to value a business. I know the question is on me.

[FullPort @FullPort1]

@aintkris2 @aleabitoreddit Stop looking at the share price, what do you mean?

[FullPort @FullPort1]

@desmondknows NBIS business model is 10x what CRWV is. No one knows how long this demand lasts for, monitor your indicators and know when it slows down, as of today, we are only getting started.

[FullPort @FullPort1]

$NBIS reported a second GPU price hike, 20% on average starting Oct 1.

This is the pricing power thesis I had built when I first looked into the business.

No company hikes prices into weak demand, any narrative you see on the AI trade slowing haven't a clue

LONG $NBIS

[FullPort @FullPort1]

@Jason Because none of the options you mentioned benefit them!

[FullPort @FullPort1]

@desmondknows Yikes, naked short??

[FullPort @FullPort1]

@desmondknows Did you try to short this name 😅

[FullPort @FullPort1]

Warsh hiked 25bp, first hike since 2023 and 16 out of 18 want another this year. Not one and done which I originally thought.

Headwind for growth assets, higher discount rates.

Most likely an opportunity to add to some names if they get re rated in the next 3-6 months.

[FullPort @FullPort1]

This is getting out of control, 10 year at 5.029%

Fed announces rates tomorrow and I don't think anyone has a clue where we head.

Let inflation rip or increase the interest on 40t of debt?

Warsh is in a corner here, all thanks to @realDonaldTrump

[FullPort @FullPort1]

I got a decent position I'm going relatively heavy in soon.

Nearly a 4x potential.

If anyone wants in, hmu.

FYI it's either $MU, $SKHY, $SNDK or $LITE

No, they aren't being bought via regular shares.

[FullPort @FullPort1]

Made a small play on $CAT recently.

Manufacturer trading at a 30x+ multiple was to easy to see what was wrong.

Entered the short at $1000, exited at $800

You can make a buck off small moves, you don't need a 10x to make good money in markets.

AU$6500 gain within a month.

[FullPort @FullPort1]

@Bigcatfi1m I'm referring to the people who don't know what they're doing.

[FullPort @FullPort1]

High betas like $MU, $SNDK, $BE, $NBIS will rip to astronomical highs after the fake-out tomorrow.

Retail never learn, don't read headlines and trade on sentiment.

Understand what you own, why you own it, and what would cause you to sell the name.

Altman and Dario are clowns.

[FullPort @FullPort1]

@DavidSacks Fuck I love this guy.

[FullPort @FullPort1]

Nothing to do with AI safety, it's about no one willing to pay $1T for OpenAI. Altman said it would be ill advised to IPO due to safety concerns, they filed an S-1 with three major banks and suddenly step out.

Private won't even pay.

This is about regulatory capture.

[FullPort @FullPort1]

Everyone's still asking "when does the fed cut", it's an 85% chance they hike Wednesday.

While semis being the most crowded trade on record + cash at all time lows.

Nobody is positioned for this.

[FullPort @FullPort1]

@lockintrade Axel doesn't know shit.

[FullPort @FullPort1]

Leopold back in the game, but with options instead of margin. Maybe he's learned his lesson.

His new holdings include
$BE
$AMD
$SNDK

Hopefully he can hold the line this time.

[FullPort @FullPort1]

@LeveragingTIME You think so? I see a leg down before one up, I'm a DRAM/NAND bull myself. I prefer $MU