Probably an unpopular view but a lot of CEOs are too active in the conference circuit. Would much rather see them focused on their business than investor communication where the marginal value dwindles rapidly after the first fireside.
@pmje73 ๐ฏ. Iโm saying Iโve observed many times where PMโs โloving their bookโ was largely a function of how it recently performed which is dangerous.
Don't get me wrong I really like $CLH, but if any software company guided the way they did, it would've been met with bloodshed. One of those rare market moments where being an asset-intensive, manufacturing-sensitive industrial is actually the place to hide.
Iโm sure tons of junior programmers are feeling anxious right now. But millions of SMBs with no engineers will need dedicated technical help to harness AI. This isnโt just displacement, itโs a new necessity for many.
If AI makes coding cheap and features copyable overnight, isnโt this actually a good setup for fast-following incumbents with high switching costs, regulatory moats, and products deeply embedded in mission-critical workflows?
$CHRW a pretty good early case study on an enterprise w/ troves of data using AI to gain market share and generate operational efficiencies/margin expansion.
I donโt know who actually reads our quarterly letters front to back but Iโm highly confident that I get the greatest value from writing them. It forces me to revisit prior beliefs, provides structure and coherence to months of random and incomplete thoughts, and enables the team to better understand ideas and concerns that I may have poorly communicated previously in more informal settings.
Fundsmith is on track for its 5th year of underperformance.
In a recent interview, Terry Smith explains the reasons whyโand what he thinks is wrong with the market today.
Key insights: ๐งต
@michaeljburry Your framing is inconsistent. You canโt effectively mark SBC dilution to market but value share repurchases (at far lower prices) at historical cost.
@TihoBrkan No one owns these stocks based on 2010s-era theses anymore. The opportunity set has evolved dramatically and the TAM theyโre pursuing is vastly larger. Nothing wrong with an evolving thesis as the facts change.