GEOARSENAL

Geopolitics & Military Intel. Analyzing global shifts through a Global South lens. Just an Indian perspective on a multipolar world.🇮🇳

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

The Strait of Hormuz is no longer free—and Beijing is getting the VIP pass.

Following a devastating four-month conflict that crashed Hormuz shipping traffic by 95%, Tehran is attempting to unilaterally rewrite international maritime law. Despite Washington’s strict demands for open waters, Iran’s envoy to China just announced "special considerations" for Beijing on upcoming transit tolls. It’s a bold display of asymmetric deterrence: Iran is leveraging the world's most critical oil chokepoint to bleed US strategic focus away from the Indo-Pacific, forcing global powers to play by Tehran's new rules.

If Washington cannot prevent a toll-gate from being erected in the Strait of Hormuz, is the era of US-enforced global freedom of navigation officially over?

#StraitOfHormuz #Geopolitics #Iran #MaritimeLaw #EnergySecurity

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

@MarioNawfal staring at the dead sites while the real supply chain just adapted and moved under deeper granite is peak western hubris logistics always wins

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

Strait of Hormuz commercial shipping capitulates to Tehran's routing, collapsing the US-backed Omani safety corridor following explicit strike threats from Iran's Khatam ol Anbia HQ.

Tehran is successfully weaponizing post-war mine risks and drone strikes to overwrite international maritime law in a critical energy choke point. Forcing vessels into the northern scheme normalizes the "Tehran toll booth" and erodes US naval hegemony.
#HormuzSecurity #MaritimeChokepoints #AISData

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

@NOELreports If the trend continues, it could signal mounting pressure on occupied territories, not just military assets.

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

@DzisMaksym just basic survival logic driving the hardware loop. you cant run a 3 year DARPA study on EW shielding when Lancet strikes are systematically degrading your mechanized reserves.... its iterate or die

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

@MarioNawfal The Versailles MoU guarantees nothing if Washington can't control its own client state's defense ministry.

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

@IranIntl_En Most of Nations wants peace and opening of hormuz but their is high doubt regarding the negotiations between trump and regime

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

@Osinttechnical Western defense firms finally realizing that high-tech multi-million interceptors are unsustainable against mass-produced swarm tech in a war of industrial attrition, long overdue shift back to barrel-based kinetic systems for point defense

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

@Osinttechnical cost-to-kill ratio is favorable compared to Patriot interceptors but look at the geography, you are protecting a single grid node while the rest of the sector is wide open to FAB-3000 gliders outside the 4km engagement envelope

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

@alpha_defense @KotakBankLtd No nation hands over the crown jewels of their defense industrial base. The idea that Washington or Moscow will transfer stealth coating formulas or single-crystal turbine blade tech out of sheer geopolitical goodwill is pure delusion.

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

@CryptoZoulouii @willlywonka0498 @NOELreports Let's see

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

Water and blood can no longer flow together.

Despite reaping 80% of the Indus Waters Treaty’s benefits, Pakistan constantly stokes anti-India sentiment to mask its own catastrophic water mismanagement. For decades, India underutilized its share of the Western tributaries, but the Modi government is finally rectifying this strategic generosity with the Chenab-Beas Tunnel to penalize Pakistan's relentless export of terror. In a panic, Pakistan's military establishment is resorting to extreme provocations, Pakistan's Climate Change Minister, Musadik Malik, issued a direct threat to India, stating in Hindi/Urdu, "jo hamare pani par hath dalega, hum woh hath hi kaat denge" (whoever touches our water, we will cut off that hand).

As India ties water-sharing directly to national security, will this aggressive infrastructure strategy finally force Islamabad to choose between funding terror and securing its own water survival?

#IndusWatersTreaty #ChenabBeasLink #Geopolitics #IndiaPakistan #WaterSecurity

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

Look at the Russia's increased use of jet powered Shahed around 40 citizen are dead in Ukraine, do you think Ukraine can wait for total domestic fuel collapse in Russia it needs to target the shadow tanker fleets because those tankers fleets can bring refined Diesel from abroad if required...

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

europe is finally building weapons that washington cant control

france just locked in its FLP-T long-range strike program (they picked the indigenous thundart system) bypassin US tech entirely. massive shift for the multipolar reality tbh... a 100% ITAR-free 150km ballistic missile that could eventually hit ukraines frontlines without the pentagon geofencing targets. the US defense monopoly is slowly fracturing, and it kinda proves u dont need american strings attached to get top tier strike tech anymore.

if paris starts exporting restriction-free deep strike, who lines up first?

#StrategicAutonomy #Multipolarity #DefenseTech #Geopolitics

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

@Maks_NAFO_FELLA Striking 1000km deep into the Baltic littoral means Pantsir and S-400 coverage around the northern fleet is degraded or getting spoofed by low-RCS drones.

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

@SavunmaSanayiST neither side has the fiscal space for a kinetic war anyway purely posturing for washington

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

@NOELreports Breaking that mechanized assault confirms it. Logistical starvation works faster than direct kinetic engagement.

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

Ukraine’s drone campaign has moved beyond simple disruption, forcing Russia into an impossible logistics trap: they cannot repair critical refinery nodes while simultaneously securing regional supply. With a third of refining capacity offline, the Kremlin is now sacrificing fuel quality—authorizing high-sulfur blends—just to keep the domestic economy from stalling.
#EnergySecurity #StPetersburg #GeopoliticalRisk

[Clash Report @clashreport]

Ukrainian drones struck an oil terminal at the Port of St. Petersburg overnight, causing major explosions and a large fire.

[GEOARSENAL @GEOARSENAL]

Russian domestic gasoline production is already down 17% and rolling fuel rationing is hitting multiple regions. The continuous degradation of these Baltic terminal nodes means Moscow can't patch the infrastructure overnight without bypassing sanctions for critical replacement components.