@alz_zyd_ Thing is, the "rate" is an abstraction. The market price dictates the ratio, then one can wonder what constant rate of compounding would give that ratio.
@szymongus@martinmbauer "Solved" as in AI are better at math than mathematicians. The same way chess engines never (and never will) truly solved chess.
@t0tientqu0tient Imagine the counter-factual where you spent the last two years writing a master's thesis and building your identity around being a grad student, and then Fable comes along and one-shots your thesis.
@KevinTFrazier "while policymakers and civil society are screaming that they don’t know what to think of this new AI thing, four years in."
What would knowing what to think look like? I don't think many people know or ought to feel like they know what to think about this accelerating tech.
@Imderekearnhart The water allows us to gauge the acceleration, but then one needs to make inference on the speed based on the base rate and the likelihood of accelerating/constant/decelerating at different speed.