Gav Coates

Grumpy northern bloke who spends too much time on a river

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

@thinkdefence Don’t tell me he took umbrage to threads about pallets or bridges!

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

@neilpoynter As much as we all love taking the piss out of the Rockapes, it was a catastrophic error removing their GBAD role and successive governments neglecting GBAD in its entirety.

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

If only we still had a dedicated force which used to defend airfields against attack, and if only we hadn’t been aware that drone strikes were a thing… oh wait 🤔

[Deborah Haynes @haynesdeborah]

The expansion of Donald Trump’s war against Iran to a British base in Cyprus is a nightmare for the UK, which lacks adequate air defences and only has a limited capacity to fight back.
Sir Keir Starmer talks reassuringly about how his military has bolstered its forces in the Middle East, including with the deployment of Typhoon warplanes to Qatar, while F-35 fighter jets are operating out of RAF Akrotiri in Cyprus.
But these aircraft have very limited stockpiles of munitions and neither of model is the sort of thing that should be used for shooting down drones – they are far more sophisticated, designed for much more capable enemies and their air-to-air missiles are vastly more expensive that the contraption they’re up against.
The jets can take down cruise missiles but a much more effective piece of equipment for that task is the army’s Sky Sabre air defence system.
It is unclear whether one of these has been deployed.
The Ministry of Defence by contrast has confirmed that ground troops specialised in countering drones are in the region – though they failed to take out the single attack drone that crashed into a runway at RAF Akrotiri on Sunday night.
Then there is the threat posed by Iran’s ballistic missiles.
The regime does not any capable of reaching the UK mainland, but they could fly as far as Cyprus as well as across the Middle East.
Yet, the only piece of UK kit capable of blasting this kind of weapon out of the sky is the Type 45 destroyer.
The Royal Navy has six of these warships but only three are available for deployment and it is not thought any were in the region.
If you rewind a decade, Britain had a much bigger naval presence in the Gulf, with one, if not two warships operating out of Bahrain, along with four minehunters and a vast support ship.
Today there are none.
Instead, when it comes to Cyprus and other British Middle East interests, the UK is relying on the US President’s “armada” of aircraft carriers and other warships to deal with the ballistic missile threat.
With Iran lashing out in response to the American attacks, Mr Starmer on Sunday U-turned on a decision not to allow US planes to strike Iran from British bases. He justified his change of heart by saying he now thought it was a legitimate request in self-defence provided the Americans only go after Iran’s ballistic missile capabilities.
He said Britain was not taking part in these strikes – but clearly this could also change, especially if more UK interests are hit.
Though, that too raises awkward questions about the UK’s ability to launch strikes.
The Typhoon jets and the F-35 warplanes carry bombs that could destroy Iranian missile launchers.
If fitted with Storm Shadow cruise missiles, the Typhoon jets could also blast the entrance of heavily protected storage depots where the Iranian military keeps its missile stocks, well protected underground. This would make it impossible for them to be used.
But a larger weapon would be far better for that kind of offensive operation.
The best option for the UK would be a Tomahawk cruise missile launched from one of the navy’s attack submarines.
Yet, problems with the maintenance of the five Astute-class boats in the fleet and a shortage of crews mean there have been chunks of time when none of these submarines were at sea.
The situation has improved slightly and earlier this year the government made a rare announcement about the deployment of one of the boats, which is usually kept secret.
It said HMS Anson was visiting Australia - not particularly useful for a war in the Middle East.
Defence insiders say the sorry state of the UK armed forces is the hard reality of a failure by successive governments over decades to invest in more weapons to blast missiles and drones out of the sky as well as the munitions to strike back.
It is now all looking a bit too late

https://t.co/9nZlKXWabx

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

@thinkdefence the pesky PRC has been reading your tweets again! 😂

[Tyler Rogoway @Aviation_Intel]

Chinese Cargo Ship Packed Full Of Modular Missile Launchers Emerges

China has packed a deck of a medium-sized cargo ship with 60 containerized vertical launch cells, radar, and close-in weapons.

Story: https://t.co/VR8Z1HMTcX

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

@MilitaryBanter

[Jamais Vu 🏉 @boot15_vu]

Never has the phrase, “they don’t make ‘em like they use to” been so true.

My gast, is a flabber!!

Wow 😮

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

@TotherChris @thinkdefence I shouldn’t get so excited finding out more about a BV but I did not know that you can plug one into an Abrams!

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

@SnailTideway Saying nothing…

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

@jaglancy We’ve not done proper CNI contingencies for years. The people with the expert knowledge in how the infrastructure was built are retired. CNI not prioritised as no-one wanted to ask the question as to how much it would cost to build the necessary redundancies into the networks.

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

Can’t believe I’m going to agree with Dom on this one, but I wrote about the vulnerability of CNI and SCADA systems to attacks from state and non-state actors with both direct & cyber attacks in 2005… for my UG degree dissertation.
Mind blown CNI resilience still not a priority.

[Dominic Cummings @Dominic2306]

*The system is working as intended*
Well organised terrorists could collapse state infrastructure, it's another massively neglected area by both parties and Whitehall for decades.
Like my conversation with No10 security 2019, asking the question from my blog 2014: what systems do you have to stop drone attacks in Downing Street?
Official A: [nonsense babble]
Official B (military): he means - there's nothing, it's been totally neglected because it's hard & expensive & the Cabinet Office is a shitshow, if you want to force action it would be great.
Guarantee: this story will be forgotten in a week & & *nobody in Whitehall will turn to this issue systematically & force serious action*
Terrorists and state actors obviously WILL pay attention

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

@Mr_Andrew_Fox To be fair it’s the Hull Daily Mail and given their standard of journalism it probably wouldn’t have surprised me if it had been real…

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

War footing…
Ratcheting up defence spending…

[Beth Rigby @BethRigby]

PM puts Britain on war footing as he ratchets up defence spending. His closing statement. "At moments like these in our past Britain has stood up to be counted, it has come together and demonstrated strength. That is what the security of our country needs now and it is what we will deliver"

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

@MilitaryBanter Sorry I thought that was the pic taken of what happens when you eat the food 💩 💩

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

@B0ATsmith Pretty much don’t see the point in trying to stop terrorism these days if you’re going to end up with a judge telling you that you broke the law doing so.
Utterly batshit.

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

It’s still going to be fucked then.
Seriously no lessons learned from the last set of clowns running it.

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

@B0ATsmith Shocked. Shocked I tell you!

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

@FarRightSkip They’re bloody everywhere!

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

Goodness me the BBC coverage is insufferable. I’ve had to mute the volume.

[Gav Coates @Gav_Coates]

@FarRightSkip Yep. Primary School teachers are having to teach the kids how to use a toilet. Then getting grief from parents when they challenge the parents as to why their kids are still using a nappy.