@LaschianMailbox@electionsjoe I literally remember his polling from then, I've been following him since 2018. He had some slip ups, but he's been far more right than wrong.
@davidslosttt I think the voters won't really have an issue with the "racism" but the populism will crush Rogers. I think AES will win by five or more. I love your site by the way.
@NoChildAbuse69@gubbypeltola@PollTracker2024 Hinson will lose Iowa, many right leaning independents like me will vote Turek, while Paxton will do better with them. Baris has Paxton doing better in his poll, he expects Hinson to lose.
@NoChildAbuse69@gubbypeltola@PollTracker2024 No, he's not. Baris's polling has Republicans far more motivated to vote for him than for Hinson. Base turnout will save Paxton. Remember, Texas went for Trump by 13 points. Even Republicans who despise Trump are saying they'd vote for Paxton.
@huntervhoffman@ZFlawles1s no because the economy and a bunch of corruption stuff will blow the lead even wider. The Dems are sitting on a bunch of stuff so they can release it close to election day
@gubbypeltola@PollTracker2024 His poll has Paxton holding on. He does livestreams and discusses the data. Paxton is more popular with the Republican base, while Hinson is an establishment stooge.
@ZFlawles1s Rich Baris, the pollster, is a very good pollster. He nailed 2016 (actually slightly underestimated Trump in Ohio), 18, 2020, had some slight misses in 22, and he nailed 24