Putin didn't invade Ukraine because of NATO. He invaded because Ukrainians were proving democracy works.
Historian and Pulitzer Prize winner Anne Applebaum puts it plainly: Putin looked at Ukraine's democratic movement and thought, "If they can do it in Ukraine, then people could do it in Russia. So I need to crush this."
That's the real threat Ukraine posed. Not missiles. Not borders. A working democracy next door.
Applebaum frames the war as a fault line between the democratic and autocratic worlds. Russia isn't just trying to take territory. It's trying to erase Ukraine as a nation, reduce it to a colony, and send a message to every country that the post-1945 rules of Europe no longer apply.
Those rules were simple: no invasions, no wars, borders don't change by force. Russia understood exactly what it was breaking when it crossed into Ukraine.
From Instructor to Participant: A Full-Circle Perspective | Strategic Competition and Russia
David Gioe reflects on his experience as both a former presenter and participant #AtTheMarshallCenter.
https://t.co/mtGsARnPK5
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The book examines underexplored crises, draws on new archival material, and includes fresh interviews with decision-makers such as Tony Blair & George Robertson.
Available for $35 if you order directly from Georgetown using the discount code TGUF.
https://t.co/PwpnyYfiYi 2/2
Another crisis in UK-US relations. How does the alliance survive repeated ruptures?
Greg Kennedy & I brought together 14 brilliant scholars to answer that in Transatlantic Storms in Anglo-American Relations: How the Alliance Weathers Crises.
Out today with @Georgetown_UP. 1/2
A fuller view of the long sweep of #military#history reveals, over time, that, once unleashed, the dogs of war frequently bite their masters. @washingtonpost
https://t.co/aYHDiiLG4p
In the past, Russia's hybrid war has focused on cyber and information operations. The Kremlin's shadow war is now kinetic — targeting critical infrastructure & harming civilians across Europe. @apolyakova explains why @nato needs a new theory about deterring Russian aggression. #MSC2026
How Russian military intelligence is recruiting young people online to carry out espionage, arson, and other attacks across Europe
https://t.co/fr64dMzuaV
Co-authored by Dr @GioeINT, this analysis explores the UK’s new Military Intelligence Services and its potential to improve Defence Intelligence.
🔗 Read more: https://t.co/LfzbhqA8gl
The UK is consolidating dispersed intelligence services under a new defence-led Military Intelligence Services construct to optimise performance. Read the latest #RUSICommentary from Professor David Gioe and Dr Will Styles. https://t.co/i5Mro1I8rG
Never a Truer Word Dept: “Whether MIS ultimately delivers meaningful change, however, will depend less on the MIS construct than on how deeply the reform alters incentives, culture and inter-agency relationships”.
My latest @RUSI_org commentary, with Will Styles, on the promise (and pitfalls?) of the UK MoD's new Military Intelligence Services (MIS):
https://t.co/GTkDB4JVm3 @DSD_Kings@warstudies@KCLSecurity
Without American support “Europe’s capacity to sustain high-intensity combat would evaporate in weeks” contend the defence experts. But “this does not mean Europeans would inevitably lose” https://t.co/85nlVspiro
“Any theory of victory for a NATO without American troops begins with an acknowledgment that Europe can fight a short war but not a long one,” write David Gioe and Doug Chalmers in a guest essay https://t.co/kQOi6ZcRgF
In a guest essay the defence experts argue that Europe is “far from helpless”, but has become “dangerously accustomed to American capability”. Discover why here https://t.co/bbbe08j1Ic
Professor David Gioe and Doug Chalmers explore whether Europe could militarily confront Russia without US assistance.
They argue that, without American support, “Europe’s capacity to sustain high-intensity combat would evaporate in weeks.”
➡️ https://t.co/bHslYxpUhL
“A short war without American troops is winnable, but only if Europe dramatically steps up preparation,” warn the defence experts in a guest essay https://t.co/FAeYV5KQDV