The Metascience Observatory (@MetascienceObs) has assembled a database w/ results from 8,307 replication experiments published in the scientific literature. We recently published a report on correlates of reproducibility. The results might surprise you. Link to full report ↓↓
@PeterZeihan can be completely correct about his predictions for the AI hardware and he will still be wrong about the Slowdown he predicts in the AI software. Kimi k3 proves that we're not even close to algorithmic efficiency.
then drop down to Terra 5.6 on xhigh to code the plan you just made and sonnet 5 on high taking over to do the audits and tests... the intelligence was all in the earlier plan. This has been very efficient for me /3
Audit the plan ruthlessly and pre-mortem issues. Taken to account blockers and dependencies. this is the part where I fully use @AnthropicAI and @OpenAI models to thier most. pro/max for both Fable and Sol. 2/
Just Spent my weekend refactoring @GuardSpine code with Fable and Sol. My new workflow is to have them both independently audit. Compare their audits MECE style & combine. use both to back and forth make a plan of action with gates. /1
If you've ever wanted to move a Python codebase to Lean 4 without rewriting everything at once, I made a kit for that. AST analyzer, stub generator, and a strangler-fig workflow so you migrate one file at a time. Open source:
https://t.co/A23ltrIzUo
Ever wanted to build your own AI agents without gluing ten tools together? the-agent-maker is an 8-phase pipeline that takes an agent from idea to trained model. Still rough in places, but it works. Poke around:
https://t.co/R1u9tCcxJg
@SpaceX 17/ And begin universal healthcare. A government that punishes crime at the top, invests the machine economy's gains in its people, rebuilds what's broken, and covers everyone when they're sick. That's the platform. That's 2028.
1/ My 2028 Democratic platform wishlist, a thread 🧵
It starts with one word: accountability. Americans can't trust their government if they believe crime at the top goes unpunished. Everything else flows from fixing that.