Henry⚡️

Just a guy who wants to be judged on his ideas, not his credentials. Will debate anyone.

Geo-Politics
Geo-Economics
History
#Bitcoin

Co-Creator: @BowserModel

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

A lot of people on CT talk a big game with little to show for it.

I make my fair share of mistakes, but I'm better than your average 🐻, and I got the proof of work👇.

A) $700 -> $264K on $MSTR calls
B) Nailed the bottom on $GBTC
https://t.co/6dEn6RQ9X2

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

@dylanleclair I bot some $GBTC on Friday. It's a gamble, but couldn't resist the chance to get some 🌽 at <$10K/coin. If we get a chance to redeem, it's going straight to 🧊 storage.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

IDK, seems to me that if the game is about controlling resources and trade, the game board is the globe, and technology dictates the limitations in a given era, then it makes perfect sense that an Italian empire would dominate it's time.

The technology made the Mediterranean the trade superhighway of it's day. The water was calmer than the oceans and ideal for triremes. There is a huge amount of coastline with many deep water ports to facilitate trade. No other body of water on earth provides that kind of trade breadth without requiring bigger ships with more advanced propulsion. So, any government that could control the Mediterranean would naturally become the most powerful and wealthy empire of its day.

Now, if you looked at the map and started with "the dominant player will be the one who controls the Mediterranean," you'd quickly identify Italy as the best "start location." Greece and Tunisia would be next up. Sicily and Sardinia are obvious critical strongholds for zone of control.

It would therefore be unsurprising to find out that Italy and Tunisia end up in an epic war that begins in Sicily before becoming existential for both sides or that Italy ultimately prevails. It would also be unsurprising to find out Italian expansionism collides with a powerful Greek coaltion during the same era and that the simultaneous defeat of the Achean League and Carthage were the critical victories that propeled Rome to dominance in the region.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

@MichaelAArouet I presume you’re aware of what tends to happen in French history when the government attempts to suppress popular resistance by force…

As in the past, the ONLY solution is to address the underlying grievances causing the riots. Police suppression will only enflame the rioters.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

Bernie didn't exactly oppose Israeli expansionism and it wasn't a major campaign issue (to be fair to him, the temperature in Gaza and the West Bank was a lot lower then than it is today).

But, even so, Bernie supports what I said above. The elites closed ranks and effectively rigged the primary against him by collectively dropping out and endorsing Shillary and threatening to use super delegates, if necessary, to block his path. It would have been interesting to see what would have happened if Bernie had decided to put up more of a fight rather than falling in line, but I suspect it would not have mattered and only would have grown Trump's margin of victory.

In 2024, Dems shut down the primary altogether to block the possibility of a pro-Palestine candidate winning the nomination. There has not been a fair primary on the blue side since Obama won the first time in 2008, nearly 20 years ago.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

I guess if I'm absolving Western voters, that begs the question who IS responsible in the West?

And, I think the answer is pretty clearly the Western elites funding the lobby and buying up the media outlets pushing the propaganda, Intelligence Agencies, Pentagon, and elected officials serving on key committees or roles within the Executive Brach.

If justice is ever served here, the Epstein Class and a slew of high ranking politicians (including Trump, Biden, Blinken, Rubio, etc.) should all stand trial at the Hague. It is important that the propagandists and financiers are severely punished to discourage such behavior in the future.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

In the Israeli case, I think it's fair to say that most of the people are guilty. They are generally aware of the situation in Gaza/Iran and they have voted for it to continue over and over. If allowed (by their benefactors abroad), they will keep voting for the genocide and warmongering because they fundamentally do not believe they are in the wrong. Conversely, if the Israeli voters actually did oppose this, it would swiftly end. And, so, a great deal of the fault clearly rests on them.

I think it's different in the case of voters in Western Governments. Westerners have been subject to perhaps the longest running, most well funded propaganda campaign in history. You can call them stupid or gullible, but until very recently most Westerners bought the "a land without people for a people without land" line the Zionists have been shilling for decades.

On top of that, criticizing Israel was career suicide in the West once you reached a certain level. And, for most people, Israel was a low priority issue, so why burn your career over it? People didn't do any research and didn't want to be exposed to any research that might conflict with the zeitgeist, because they'd already determined it was best career-wise to stay out of it.

But, the real kicker (at least in America) is that it didn't matter if the median voter had cared about Gaza, because every election in our lifetime both candidates have offered unconditional support for Israel. To have charted a different path, voters would have needed to get active in primaries (not just presidential but congressional as well). You could certainly make the case that voters SHOULD be more active in primaries, but the American electorate never has been in a serious way.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

Agreed 💯. Never understood why this isn't done more.

You make Idris Elbra 007 and people will hate it. Make him 009 and he's perfect with the British accent.

Better yet, keep the same M and Q for both series and throw in a cameo where 007 and 009 cross paths at MI:6 to make the universe feel seemless.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

@MazMHussain Meanwhile, Iran is accepting bitcoin for payments through the Strait of Hormuz.

Bitcoin is the money of enemies, and the tool to escape the overbearing banking cabal. Gold is the only other form of money that even hated enemies can both trust not to be blocked/censored.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

@Geiger_Capital In a battle of socialists vs neocons, socialists will win.

To have a chance in '28, the GOP needs to ditch neoconservatism. After Trump campaigned against neocons and then joined them, trust is low. So, it will need to be someone w/ an unimpeachable record opposing foreign wars.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

True, but China's own entrepreneurs learned from the foreign tech and manufacturing experts who located in China thanks to business friendly policy.

Now, the students are the masters, and it's the Chinese who are the tech and manufacturing experts. But, they never get there without the accommodative policy that enticed Western tech/manufacturing leaders to locate in China.

Europe now finds itself in the old Chinese position where they're so far behind that they need to entice foreign companies to locate in Europe so their own entrepreneurs can learn and tech can be transferred.

Meanwhile, China (as the global leader) enjoys the luxury Europe used to have - they can regulate how they see fit, and their entrepreneurs have to play ball. Because, the cost of exiting the Chinese ecosystem and losing access to the Chinese market is far too high. Soon, they may even be able to impose their own regulatory standards on the rest of the world (as Europe used to do).

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

The problem is:

A) Trump campaigned on no new wars, so the people DIDN'T actually vote for this. Also, Trump didn't start a war with Iran in his first term and clearly didn't (and still doesn't) want any part of Ukraine.

B) The alternative was Kamala who was promising more of Biden who was offering unconditional support for the genocide in Gaza.

It's inaccurate to say people voted for this. At worst they were naive fools who believed Trump's lies on the campaign trails. And, the truth is more like it didn't matter who they voted for, but they tried to go with the change candidate only to wind up getting betrayed by him.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

It's way too late to save DJT's legacy. Tech right should be more concerned about not going down w/ this ship.

The GOP can be saved if they bail on DJT and pivot hard on supporting Israeli genocide, protecting Epstein Clients, and starting foreign wars. But, the window to act is narrowing fast.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

@Jason Elon enjoys a lot of support w/ Gen-Z, but he's allied w/ Zionists. If Elon is the collateral damage necessary to remove the Israel Lobby from Washington, get justice for Epstein's victims, and end the forever wars, I think young people will live w/ it 🤷.
https://t.co/HOrf81VBJq

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

Yes, AFAO is going to end MAGA and tech right needs to get on the right side of this ASAP.

The populists are coming for the billionaires. Either the socialists are going to win or AFAO is going to win.

If tech right gets grouped in with the Zionist billionaires and Epstein Class, that is going to be a disaster. Unlike some of these parasitic billionaires on Wall St, tech is one of the few sectors left generating real value for the economy.

Tech is meant to be the counter elite. We need you to lead AFAO against the legacy elites. And we need you to solve the affordability crisis (or at least provide a viable plan that the American people can get behind).

Tall task and an unfair ask, I know. But, if you do not, I fear that we'll get socialism instead.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

Yes. GOP elites want war w/ Iran. Dem elites want war w/ Russia. The American people don't want to be involved in either war, but one war is more tolerable than two. And, the MIC is only capable of supporting one war (on that scale) at a time.

This naturally pits the Israeli warpigs against the Ukrainian warpigs.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

Yes. It is remarkable that they never seem to learn from history (which is why history keeps rhyming...).

We're headed squarely for the proverbial guillotine if there is not a rapid course correction from the elites. In the end, the populists always win. Just a question of how much blood and pain comes first.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

@MacaesBruno People do read, they just don't read books. Young people prefer the twitter format or articles (like Substack) for anything requiring more detail.

If the article is long or they need to "digest" a book, they'll ask AI to summarize the author's thesis, evidence, and key points.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

It's not that complicated, but if you blame Trump you'll radically misunderstand the root of the situation.

The root cause is that Trump's coalition (a large swath of the American people) wants to bring the Ukraine war to an end and improve relations with Moscow. They are upset that Trump has not delivered on his promise to end the war on Day 1.

But, that begs the question, why do so many Americans want to end the Ukraine war and improve ties with Russia?

A) Most young Americans are tired of being the world police. They don't want to send foreign aid or weapons anywhere and certainly not to the other hemisphere. They want that money spent here in the US to solve problems for working class people.

B) They can see that this war (and the Iran War) are causing commodity prices to rise, and they care wayyyy more about that than who wins the war. i.e. The median American voter doesn't really care who wins these wars and prefers whichever outcome brings gas prices down the fastest. If that means Ukraine loses, so be it.

C) More and more young Americans do not view Russia as a threat. To the extent America is threatened at all, that threat comes from China. So, strengthening ties with Russia is viewed as a positive to, at a minimum, remove the force pushing Russia and China together (opposition to US hegemony).

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

IMO it's more than just knee-jerk moralism. The opposition comes primarily from Europe and those tied to old money benefiting from the old world order.

Many are "liberals" so they couch their position in moralism, but deep down they really fear the loss of power, influence, and capital.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

For real? Did you miss the $300B in dollar denominated stable coins?

Stable coins settle instantly for essentially no fee (compared to waiting two days for Visa and paying 3%). They require no bank to use. Anyone with a phone can use them (and they are all over the Global South). If we switched over to stable coins today for all transactions, we could cut the Visa fee out and reduce prices by ~3% (their fee) basically overnight.

And, it turns out that trading 24/7 and settling instantly for no fee is a big upgrade over the current backend for the NYSE too, which is why Blackrock is moving to tokenize all their assets - starting with USTs which they launched two years ago and have currently reached $2.2B in sales ($BUIDL is the token).

But, I still maintain that bitcoin is the biggest innovation of all. When governments start freezing assets and instituting bank controls, you want to be holding the asset they can't censor and can't confiscate (except via wrench attack). At a nation state level, this is why Iran was accepting Bitcoin to transit the Strait of Hormuz and at an individual level, it protects the person from an overreaching or collapsing state.

[Henry⚡️ @GoBlue1520]

@policytensor Agreed. The root problem remains the money is broken and debt is out of control - that is the underlying force driving the "tides of history." Or, as Dalio labeled it when he forecast this four years ago, "the end of the long-term debt cycle."
https://t.co/xAbAxifr12