Good Kid trader

In God We Trust

[CyrilXBT @cyrilXBT]

INSTEAD OF WATCHING NETFLIX TONIGHT.

Spend 1 hour with this.

A Bloomberg Terminal lecture that teaches you more about how markets actually work than a 2 month internship at Goldman Sachs or JPMorgan.

The people who watch this tonight will understand something most traders spend years figuring out.

Completely free.

Bookmark this before you scroll past it.

[Subu Trade @SubuTrade]

From the AAII Sentiment Survey:

Cash Allocations is at 14.19%. Investors are holding the least cash in 4 years.

This happened 3 times in the past 20 years: late-2017, Jan 2020, late-2021.

Each case preceded significant market volatility and losses for $SPX

[Elsa Ai @ElsaSofia__AI]

GOODBYE, FUND MANAGERS. GOODBYE, BLOOMBERG TERMINAL.

No more $24,000/year subscriptions.
Claude just turned my laptop into a private quant analyst.

Here are 10 prompts to build your own hedge fund at home ↓

[Just a Dude Who Invests @DudeWhoInvests]

Bill Ackman on getting through a stressful & negative period in your life…

I come back to this video so often. Any time I am in a bad spot. Worth the 2 minutes for sure.

[Topdown Charts @topdowncharts]

Value is sinking to New Lows vs Growth 👀

This is starting to get extreme (and unusual).

Here’s what’s behind it + next steps in this major market theme: https://t.co/ukC2MrBlkS

[Topdown Charts @topdowncharts]

Chart of the Week - Defensives

Some key insights on Sector Rotation strategy (defensives vs tech + cyclicals ex-tech)

Read now: https://t.co/yb6TtSYJ5Q

[Tracy Shuchart (𝒞𝒽𝒾 ) @chigrl]

S&P 500 single stock options continue to trade at record non-delta adjusted notional volumes, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.

[Jurrien Timmer @TimmerFidelity]

The bond market, precious metals, and currencies seem on edge, and as the chart shows below, there’s a bit of déjà vu with regards to the interplay of the 10-year Treasury yield, the dollar index, and gold. Tariffs or not, the world order is changing from a dollar-only standard to multiple spheres of influence, and the markets are taking notice.

In fact, one could argue that all commodities are becoming strategic assets in this multipolar world. The chart below remains one of the more compelling ones out there.

the move higher in yields and lower in the dollar are a mere echo of what we experienced in April. For instance, currency volatility is a fraction of what it was in April. But directionally, the currency move movements are worth noting.

[Kevin Gordon @KevRGordon]

GS US Financial Conditions Index continues to ease and is back to its cycle low

[Philip Pilkington @philippilk]

If you measure it in gold instead of in dollars, the US stock market has basically collapsed. 📉

[Subu Trade @SubuTrade]

Want to Short silver? You're not the only one.

Yesterday saw record inflows of +$283 million into $ZSL, the 2x short silver ETF

Record volume & record inflows. No other day comes even close

[Subu Trade @SubuTrade]

Gold has outperformed the S&P 500 for 6 straight months.

Similar historical streaks of outperformance were followed by higher gold prices 7–10 months later every single time.

Average gain 10 months later was +21%

[Gina Acosta @ginacostag_]

I DON'T UNDERSTAND WHY PEOPLE DON'T USE GROK FOR STOCKS.

Most traders are looking at charts from 3 months ago.
Grok analyzes real-time sentiment on X to predict tomorrow.

Here are 8 prompts to find the next 2-3x returns:

[Jason Goepfert @jasongoepfert]

Watch for follow-through over the next week.

The Nasdaq had a giant thrust off a new low. After others, if it didn't lose more than -3% within the following week, its 1-year returns were (mostly) exceptional.

If it did, then not so much.

[Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives]

Closest gap fills on the $VIX:

Upside: 38.57

Downside: 21.51

VIX is currently sitting exactly in the middle.

One will fill and fill fast.

But which first?

[Dr. James Schultz @jschultzf3]

5,000 Puts on $ES have a 9 delta for end of next week.

That means there’s nearly a 20% chance 5,000 gets touched between now and then.

BRO..

[Heisenberg @Mr_Derivatives]

I asked Grok to give me his short term outlook on the $SPX.

And this is his reply:

[Linda Raschke @LindaRaschke]

Go back and examine previous periods where a market has had more than 14 closes below a 5 SMA on the dailies. Less than 5% of the time has it has led to a bottom. There can be tradable reactions up, but then the market turns down to make a lower low.