A new poll finds 40% of respondents believe in a baseless conspiracy theory that the coronavirus was created in a lab in China.
There is zero evidence for this. Scientists say the virus was transmitted to humans from another species.
https://t.co/GDTo2geUng
@DanHollaway , “Schrodinger’s Pardon” is a good one for the citizen podcast or @Drinkin_Bros . Bottom line: prosecute Fauci for his crimes and/or contempt of congress. You at least have him for perjury or contempt. He will have to pick one to mount a defense.
There is a critical problem with experts we need to discuss.
“I don’t believe in experts anymore. If you consider yourself an expert, that means you’re done learning.” Tim Robbins
“But we need experts to run things like the Hadron Collider.”
Fair. So let me tell you what real experts actually sound like.
I have worked on some of the most difficult and dangerous offshore projects in the world. My best friend from childhood runs the new X-ray collider lab in Switzerland. After he became the world’s top laser expert, we had a few long conversations about what that job actually requires.
But here’s is the thing: you cannot raise billions in funding & public support for a new collider, an ultra-deepwater well, etc, without projecting enormous confidence.
Nobody funds dangerous work led by a man who admits how little he knows. And every truly difficult, truly expensive project turns out differently than anyone predicted. Every single one.
The difference between what gets said behind closed doors & what true experts tell podcasters is certainty.
The more you know, the more you realize how little you know. The true experts I’ve worked with are the most humble, curious, relentlessly questioning people I’ve ever met.
They have zero confidence in the outcome. That is exactly why they build high-confidence safeguards, systems, and people into the project.
Their internal doubt is what makes impossible projects succeed.
But no project leader can stand at a podium and say, “This will be a success because I have no F’n clue what will happen.” You just can’t. But that’s the truth.
You also can’t tell bold-faced lies into the microphone. So you talk about the things you do have confidence in: the safeguards, the systems, the people.
The problem with COVID wasn’t that Fauci had no F’n clue what he was doing. No expert has a clue what happens when something as dangerous as gain-of-function research fails and spirals out of control.
The problem with Fauci wasn’t even that he expressed confidence about things he could not control.
The problem was that he overrode and dismantled the very high-confidence safeguards, systems, and people he should have been backing.
Again: the more you know, the more you realize how little you know. You fill those gaps by empowering people who know what you don’t, and by building systems and safeguards around them.
I’ve spent a lot of time in and around the Pentagon this past year. Let me tell you a secret: nobody has a F’n clue what will happen if Russia or China or North Korea or Iran or even Israel starts launching nukes.
No clue.
That is why we recruit the highest-confidence people on earth to command our ballistic missile submarines, and why we spend billions surrounding them with the highest-confidence equipment, engineering, shipbuilding, safeguards, and systems money can buy.
Fauci had to plead the Fifth because the truth is he had no F’n clue what he was doing.
But having no clue isn’t the crime. The crime is that he lied.
Ask a submarine captain what will happen during thermonuclear war and he won’t answer directly, because he doesn’t know. But he must project confidence or the entire system of deterrence collapses. So he talks about what he IS confident in: the training of his crew, the discipline of his boat, the procedures drilled ten thousand times.
Countless books and movies, from Crimson Tide to The Hunt for Red October, are built on one truth: catastrophe follows when captains undermine high-confidence procedures, people, and systems.
That’s why DEI & ESG are so dangerous, they undermine the people & processes.
That is what Fauci did. He spoke with great confidence about high-confidence things while quietly dismantling things like vaccination testing safeguards and child development and education experts behind closed doors.
What he should have done was speak with great confidence while empowering, not undermining, the truly expert dissenting voices.