🚨 Breaking: The Buss family have decided to sell their remaining 17.8% ownership stake in the Lakers to new majority owners Josh Kushner and Bob Iger, per @ShamsCharania
Buss family and the Lakers are officially done after 47 years ❌
I think this is a flawed approach. Forecasting capabilities should mostly be based on macro trends, not micro level stories. People rarely understand mechanisms well enough, and expert adjacent observers are especially prone to overestimating their comprehension. It’s more effective to use simple heuristics and extrapolate robust trends. Ray Kurzweil didn’t need to predict deep learning, transformers, or GPUs to foresee powerful AI in the 2020s.
This is consistent with Philip Tetlock’s findings on the poor forecasting performance of domain experts and the distinctive cognitive style of superforecasters.
I beg @NBA@NBAonNBC please stop with that aerial angle or drone angle whatever tf it is.
STOPPPPPPPPP
STOPPPPPPPPP
NO ONE AND I MEAN NO ONE WANTS TO SEE THAT ANGLE.