Grace Tang🇦🇺

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

@KobeissiLetter The president wants everyone to have a knee-jerk understanding that power is power

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

@zerohedge It’s not just total demand or supply, it’s an uneven distribution: which country, which sector, tanker route, time lag, when and where. The constraint isn’t just aggregate, it’s distribution, timing, and pathway.

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

@JesseCohenInv @Investingcom I think it's already peaked and will pull back next week

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

@ctindale @LukeGromen Different frames, they are sequential, I’m not arguing where dollar power comes from, I’m describing how it functions now, via swap lines.

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

@ctindale @LukeGromen So now the US is no longer extracting seigniorage from dollar dominance, it’s now subsidizing dollar dominance to prevent something worse, from beneficiary to underwriter

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

Time to watch the USDJPY move, closely

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

Australia is essentially a resource-based economy with a government attached, and a housing cult layered on top.

People blame politicians and big names, but miss the structure.

Peter Costello governed during a perfect tailwind: China’s boom, the commodity supercycle, a relatively young population with lower fiscal burdens. The 1999 CGT discount (under John Howard) tilted the system toward asset appreciation, especially housing.

Combined with negative gearing and a falling interest rate environment in the context of global QE, this had profound long-term effects. The result was a gradual diversion of capital away from productive sectors and into asset markets.

High wages, strong protections, clean environment, small domestic scale, distance from supply chains, you can’t have all of that and still expect globally competitive manufacturing.

It’s a classic case of Dutch Disease: resource exports drive strong income, the currency and property appreciation, migration-driven growth have been so effective, manufacturing becomes uncompetitive, and capital and talent shift into high-return sectors like mining, finance, and real estate.

No snowflake in an avalanche ever feels responsible, but that doesn’t make it innocent. At some point, it’s about trade-offs. Australia works, until it doesn’t.

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

@ctindale Trump promotes manufacturing for the nation, but his own sons operate in crypto and digital finance.

Industrial capacity is a national necessity, but not an individual incentive.

And that gap is exactly why rebuilding industry is so hard.

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

@MichaelPBento I trimmed tech and rotated into energy, I’m not a Robinhood kid, not an oil specialist either, I’m primarily focused on FX and global equities.

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

Last night was a good entry for energy names, I added after trimming tech. I don’t think tech has peaked, and I don’t think oil has either.

[Eduardo @_TheEduardo]

Fascinating angle. Most risk models still pretend a stop is just a truncated payoff, but once you introduce a barrier, you reshape the entire distribution. Variance collapses, higher moments explode, and tail geometry becomes path-dependent.

The industry keeps pricing stop-loss risk as if it were delta-only, when the real cost is the hidden convexity created by reflection, slippage, and barrier-touch dynamics.

Yeah! Stops don’t reduce risk; they transform it.

Looking forward to the full paper.😎

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

Right now, it could be a chance to step forward, not pull back..

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

Time to move on, for rotation play

[The White House @WhiteHouse]

In loving memory of Charlie Kirk, a fearless patriot & man of unwavering faith who dedicated his life to America.

"It's bigger than you, I want you to remember that... It's bigger than me - you are here to make somebody else's life better, the pursuit of liberty & freedom."❤️

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

RIP Charlie 🙏🙏
Pray for his wife and children.
Jesus Christ is my Lord.

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

The fourth quarter will be a truly beautiful quarter, and a great opportunity to make big money.

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

I still see more opportunities than risks, more upside than downside. Keep an eye on some mid-cap growth names. Wait and watch.

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

@great_martis Indeed I see the difference.

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

Focus on macro trading, that truly boosts valuation visibility, because the US has shifted the narratives from free market to state capitalism. It actually acts as a capital allocator, a strategic buyer through policy, subsidies, and procurement.

So policy maker - federal budget- market catalyst. I reviewed my trades, a stock might look overbought but still run for months if it’s riding a government-backed spending wave. So it’s not about picking up undervalued, now, the market is all about timing entry into Trump’s favored sector.

It’s like the story of the Pied Piper, once the flute starts playing, all the children in town follow along.

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

ETH broke out. Emotionally a bit hurt, maybe because my brain interprets" missed the extra profit" as a loss. Starting from this month, most of my position are locked in aapl goog tsla tqqq… profitable too but not so much as ETH.

[Grace Tang🇦🇺 @GraceTang66]

It’s almost impossible for ETH to find a support at current level. Target 2600.