GrainCast

The most accurate yield forecasts in the market. Friend of farmers and #agtwitter
Newsletter:

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

The FINAL GrainCast 2022 #corn yield forecast is 170.1 bpa. Good luck with harvest, everyone!

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

@KeithDohrman Sure

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

Corn will make above trend, also be nice to arlan

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

@ArlanFF101 On second thought, August temp matters but you don't need to measure seed size, can just look at observed temps

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

@ArlanFF101 Statistics on total acres mitigates this factor. What's the p value?

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

Well you have all had an eventful week now, haven't you?!

Haven't done a forecast in a while but if I did one now I bet it would be big.

I bet you can just ask the AI now and get a pretty good forecast.

Good luck out there! 🤞

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

@bamwxcom SE MI, think they'll preemptively cancel school thursday?

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

@GoddessofGrain How about the superior 2001 halftime show

Britney Justin Aerosmith Mary j Blige run DMC etc

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

@coloradotravis Mila C still not handing over their phone number, still restricted, 🫡

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

@HarvestTrader @MStankowicz 🥳

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

@HarvestTrader @MStankowicz Getting there, not final yet but we might see it move down a little more

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

171.9 today, and average adjustment from October to January final is 187mbu or about 2bpa

[Karen Braun @kannbwx]

U.S. #corn yield falls 0.6 bu/acre from last month's forecast to 171.9. Illinois is expected to tie it's prior record, though lower yields in the Plains - Nebraska, South Dakota, Kansas - brought down the average.

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

@ajfox620 @ottoscholl Yes

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

@RCortesB R-squared 0.99

I do update the acreage after the June report. I do not update the acreage after the June report, although arguably I should since NASS updated it in September this time.

Weather in the late part of the season does not improve the accuracy of the model.

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

The FINAL GrainCast 2022 #corn yield forecast is 170.1 bpa. Good luck with harvest, everyone!

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

Sounds like these magic seeds are really going to mess up the yield model

[The Associated Press @AP]

To combat rising hunger, Bill Gates argues for what he calls "magic seeds," which are modified to increase yields or resist pests. But some experts warn the technology is too slow to develop and conflicts with goals to reduce emissions. https://t.co/CAFPIMtfvz

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

@schuelkecorn @HarvestTrader and to your comments about your crop, yes, i agree, long way to go. our model is based on data about the nationwide crop over 30+ years. it can't predict an individual crop or a state level result. but it's good at filtering out the regional variations to get a national number

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

@schuelkecorn @HarvestTrader appreciate you and we miss your hair pics. good luck this harvest

[Pro Farmer @profarmer]

Crop Consultant Dr. Michael Cordonnier cut his corn yield forecast by 3 bu. to 170 bpa amid the continued decline in crop condition ratings, persistent dry conditions in areas of the western Corn Belt & confirmation of lower yields from recent crop tours, including ours.

#pfnews

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

@schuelkecorn @HarvestTrader The more precise thing to say is that adding more data from the late part of the growing season doesn't really improve the forecast model

[GrainCast @GrainCast]

@schuelkecorn Great to know the answer early, isn't it?