@BramVGenechten@mjmauboussin What the hell is that. Financial analysis for toddlers ? lol my favorite part is putting a fat growth label on Oracle.. really all you need to know
@BramVGenechten You quoted operating cash flow which is misleading since FCF shows the bigger picture. FCF for GOOGL is negative atm but can be endured as revenue is hitting new all time highs and Gemini 4 seems to be a banger release.
If cheap open weights crush premium API prices, Anthropic offtake and high-end Gemini API margins compress, unused leased shells still come due, and those purchase commitments become awkward. Google can still fill a lot of that capacity with Search, ads ranking, YouTube, and internal agents — uses that do not need frontier sticker prices. Others like Anthropic, OpenAI or NVDIA will have a tougher time.
Dip-buying the hyperscalers? Cathie says not today.
$ARKK dumps ~$5.1M $AMZN and ~$13M $GOOG; Meta stake now larger than Alphabet (Motley Fool Sept. 19)
New addition to my Heretic’s Guide series on Substack, dropped at midnight EST . A must read this weekend. Part V to drop in a few days, and I have Part VI lined up.