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[Serenity @aleabitoreddit]

$XFAB (photonics + power semis) is an interesting long idea at $1.28B MC, that I took positions in.

Given EU CHIPS act 2 is today as the catalyst for European photonics players.

> 800 VDC power semi exposure to $NVDA push through $NVTS + $POWI

> Silicon Photonics / CPO exposure with $NVDA as evaluation stage for high volume manufacturing (optical transceivers/switches)

> The only high-volume SiC foundry in the US.

> One of the critical MEMS foundries

> ~1.29 P/B, which was around what $SOI was sitting at when I went long. Depressed valuations due to legacy drag

> ~6.5-8.5 fwd p/e 2028 personal est.

> backstopped by Government:

- EU CHIPS act, $128M Euros
- US CHIPS act $50M PMT (department of commerce).

With likely more coming (just signals critical importance to Western supply chains).

So at a certain point with all the grants, they’re just getting the capex funded by the Governments.

EU CHIPS act 2 is coming out this week, and I’m gonna go ahead and guess $XFAB might get included given they were before, and this package is specifically targeting photonics.

~$1.3B MC seems compelling to me if it can pull a Soitec reversal (low p/b, very high growth segments, auto legacy drag).

As for the $NVDA silicon photonics relationships it’s under “photonixFAB”.

Markets probably missed this silicon photonics relationship (like $TSEM when I went long) with Nvidia since XFab leads this… Just under a different name.

For power semis, XFAB is named for SiC + $NVTS. In PCN-22181, $POWI explicitly names XFAB as its foundry. 

Given its exposure to power semis and photonics as growth, low P/B, gov backstop (of course dyor, just sharing my personal thoughts)

Thought it personally seemed compelling.

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