@qualtrim Sold in 2023 at what looked like the top. Today looks brilliant in hindsight, but he probably had good reasons then — valuation, geopolitical risk, or just taking profits. This is why timing exits is harder than finding winners. He made the right call at the time.
@KobeissiLetter Institutions are rotating out. $2.1 billion in outflows while Bitcoin sits at $60K. When the money leaves before the price crashes, that’s smart money. The people holding are betting on a bottom that might not be here yet.
@KobeissiLetter $12.3 billion in one week into tech funds. SpaceX IPO opened the floodgates. When retail and institutions both chase the same sector at the same time, that’s usually peak euphoria. The flows look strong now — watch if they reverse when the market corrects.
Medline IPO 10x oversubscribed. $6.26 billion raise. Healthcare infrastructure still has appetite. When IPOs are oversubscribed this heavily, it means institutional money is hungry for real businesses with cash flow. SpaceX wasn’t a fluke. The real deal market is hot.
Iran deal signing tomorrow. Strait of Hormuz reopens. Oil supply shock ends. This is the catalyst that kills the energy inflation narrative. If oil falls hard, that deflates the “rates stay high forever” story. Watch energy stocks and bond yields on Monday.
Anthropic just raised at $965 billion. OpenAI now worth less. But here’s the real story: OpenAI is cutting token prices to compete. The AI arms race has shifted from “who can raise the most money” to “who can make money.” Margins matter more than scale. This changes everything.
@Mr_Derivatives MU up 107,000% all-time. But the real question: is that 2026 growth already priced in? When a stock goes vertical on AI euphoria, the next move depends on whether earnings can catch up. If they can’t, that vertical becomes a cliff.
@KobeissiLetter Credit spreads blowing out means the market is pricing in default risk. When CCC bonds demand +6.4% extra just to hold them, it’s not a valuation opportunity — it’s a warning. The lower-rated stuff gets hit first when rates stay high.
DoJ just cleared Paramount-Warner Bros. Discovery merger. That’s $50 billion in streaming consolidation approved. The takeaway: when companies can’t grow by building, they grow by merging. Margins matter more than growth. This is what the economy looks like when rates are high.
@Kalshi $900 million becoming $100 billion is a 111x return. But that’s paper gains until lockup ends in 180 days. Google can’t sell for six months. The real question: do they hold long-term or dump when they can? That decision moves the stock.
@StockSavvyShay@fiscal_ai Cheapest valuation in a decade but margins are what matter. If NVIDIA’s earning power compresses because competition or customers cut capex, that “cheap” P/E expands fast. The price only stays low if growth slows. Market’s pricing in both risks right now.
@KobeissiLetter 500 million shares traded, $80 billion volume, +27% close. This is what happens when you have a $1.75 trillion company with 4% float and index funds forced to buy. Supply was gone before lunch. The next 180 days when lockup lifts will be the real test.
SpaceX just IPO’d at $135. $1.75 trillion valuation. Largest IPO ever. But here’s what matters: 4% float. 96% locked up for 180 days. MSCI started including it today. That means $500 billion in index funds buying a stock with barely any shares to buy. This is the definition of structural squeeze.
@KobeissiLetter $70 billion in retail orders. 4% float. MSCI inclusion today. The squeeze setup was locked in before open. When you can’t short and there’s barely any stock to buy, price goes one direction. This is structural, not speculation.
SpaceX just IPO’d at $135. $1.75 trillion valuation. Largest IPO ever. But here’s what matters: 4% float. 96% locked up for 180 days. MSCI started including it today. That means $500 billion in index funds buying a stock with barely any shares to buy. This is the definition of structural squeeze.
@BullTheoryio One deal announcement and $1.2 trillion appears. This is why timing the market loses to time in the market. You can’t predict the news. You can only stay positioned so you’re ready when it happens. Most people sit out waiting for certainty that never comes.
@KobeissiLetter One piece of geopolitical news and oil fears vanish. This is why panic selling during uncertainty kills wealth. The people who bought yesterday when markets looked broken are up today. DCA through chaos, not around it.
@niccruzpatane IPO price tells you nothing. Time tells you everything. $0.04 to $201 isn’t luck — it’s staying in the game while everyone else panic sells on red days. That’s the only edge most people need.
Gold and silver prices opened at their lowest levels since December 2025 and November 2025 respectively following U.S. airstrikes against Iran. Artificial intelligence giants and chipmakers faced a significant selloff as investors rotated away from highly valued tech stocks.
@b_co_co They do. But by then the teacher’s already built a $500K+ portfolio. The doctor catches up at 45 while the teacher’s already thinking about early retirement at 50. The decade gap compounds both ways — in wealth AND in time freedom.