THE BIGGEST IPOs OF THE LAST 15 YEARS HAVE ONE THING IN COMMON:
THEY CRUSHED THE PEOPLE WHO BOUGHT THE HYPE.
🇺🇸 Robinhood -90%. Rivian -88%. Lyft -79%. Coinbase -57%. Facebook -54%. Median max drawdown: -54% in year one.
Big brands. Big narratives. Big backing. Still brutal entries.
SpaceX has the same DNA: enormous hype, low float, early investors deep in the green and waiting to sell.
A great company isn't a great IPO buy. By the time everyone wants in, they are the liquidity.
🚨 THE US REGULATORY SYSTEM JUST BROKE
In 48 hours, SpaceX goes public at $1.77 TRILLION - the biggest IPO ever
I've been trading for over a decade, and I have never seen them rewrite the rulebook like this
Nasdaq, MSCI, and the biggest brokers in America all bent their own rules for ONE private company
That doesn't happen by accident
Let me show you exactly what they did:
First, Fidelity dropped its minimum account size from $500,000 to $2,000
A 99.6% cut
Think about that:
The most exclusive door on Wall Street, thrown wide open to millions of small investors - days before the biggest debut in history.
Ask yourself one question
Why do they suddenly want YOU in?
Because somebody needs people to sell to.
SpaceX reserved 30% of the deal for retail
THREE TIMES the normal share
And even then, most people didn't get a full allocation.
So to grab more at Thursday's open, they're dumping everything else TODAY to raise cash.
That's half of the selling you're seeing.
The other half? The smart money front-running July.
Here's the trick:
SpaceX doesn't join the Nasdaq 100 on day one.
It joins 15 days later, because Nasdaq cut its own waiting period from 3 months to 15 days
Just for this.
The moment it joins, every QQQ fund on Earth is FORCED to buy.
$22–27 billion in automatic buying.
Translation: imagine 50 buses all forced to pull into the same gas station on the same morning.
The funds know the stampede is coming.
So they're selling now to free up cash for it. Retail selling. Institutions selling. At the exact same time.
THAT is your selloff.
Now here's the part nobody will say out loud:
When the most connected money on the planet builds a $1.7T exit door and hands the keys to the smallest investors in the market…
That's NOT generosity
That's distribution at the top.
We've seen this movie twice:
➮ 2000 Dotcom
➮ 2021 SPAC mania
Insiders cash out at insane valuations while the crowd chases the hype.
The math ain't mathing.
So you've got two choices in the next 48 hours:
Chase the most expensive IPO in history at the open…
Or read the prospectus and realize you might BE the exit.
The next few days will be INSANE, but don't worry - I'll break down every move as it happens, like I always do.
Like it or not, I called every major top and bottom of the last decade publicly. I'll call this one too.
Many people are going to wish they followed me before June 12, 2026.
Soon, you'll understand why.
What the DUCK !!!!! I am getting multiple reports that Robinhood briefly posted today that AMC filed for bankruptcy. How can companies like Robinhood do this? So ludicrous, so wrong, so irresponsible. On Friday, we report Q1 earnings, and will announce our sizable cash position.
People are going to be crying “the market is crashing”.
No, it’s not.
It’s correcting after an unprecedented move to the upside that’s unsustainable.
Stay cool. 😎
Our U.S. AMC Theatres and overseas Odeon Cinemas welcomed 25.5 million guests in May 2026. Our highest attendance for a month of May in 7 years, better than any May since pre-pandemic 2019. Isn’t that just wonderful!
There are huge movies coming out in June and July too.
“Backrooms” just crushed it at the box office this past weekend. It was the 6th movie in the past 10 weeks to have a domestic opening gross above $75 million.
So, again, this is just shouting into a void.
But this is the most new lows within the S&P 500 $SPY on a day the index poked above a prior all-time closing high.
Ever.
Like EVER, ever.
We are now in the parabolic, melt-up phase. Where and when it peaks is anyone's guess. It's also the exit phase, not enter. Just remember, it's better to be a year too early, than a day too late.