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TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
Minnesota, USA
Joined January 2016
0
Following
16
Followers
548
Posts
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
Will a Republican Senate eliminate the filibuster?
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
Polling was completely wrong. It needs to be understood. Here's the raw data. https://t.co/2y3HVAMCWM
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
Polling was completely wrong this entire cycle. Public polls and exit polls. It needs to be studied.
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
@benchmarkpol
Does that include CD2?
Who to follow
Jon Levine
@LevineJonathan
WASHINGTON FREE BEACON ๐ฅ๐๏ธ๐ฅ
[email protected]
Danny Freeman
@DannyEFreeman
@CNN Correspondent in Philly. @NAHJ & @IRE_NICAR
[email protected]
Eitan Hersh
@eitanhersh
Political scientist at Tufts. Elections, civic engagement, American politics. Director, Center for Expanding Viewpoints in Higher Education
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
@HWAV_TJHalva
This seems early, but they may know something, or they may just be in it for the clicks.
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
@Yeggo
I'm not disagreeing, seems early to me as well.
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
Local media in Michigan is reporting Michigan for Clinton. https://t.co/v10Ymc8hwB
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
In most recent wave, Clinton up in CO, NM, MN, WI, MI. Trump up in AZ. https://t.co/qFLL9IjLU6
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
Clinton by 5 in PA based on exit polling. McGinty (D) by 4. https://t.co/QfYpwO2Mtz
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
Results overtime in Virginia from 2008.
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
Our regression gave Johnson 4.58% in California, but we don't allocate undecideds. https://t.co/ToWGpbNxnJ
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
Gary Johnson at 4% in Texas. This is important for his chances at the 5% threshold. California will be key, given larger population.
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
We're doing simple math based on gender from the exit polls. Its nothing complicated, but its generally accurate with some margin of error.
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
Contested senate seats so far based on exit polling. GOP: FL DEM: NH, NC, MO
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
Kander (D) with a 9 point lead based on exit polling in Missouri. Wow.
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
@itsWanda
Should be Hassan, switched the names, my bad.
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
@HWAV_TJHalva
Hassan (D) is up, not Ayotte (R). Transposed the names in my spreadsheet.
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
@maineiac13
Yep. My bad.
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
Rubio will hold seat based on exit polling. 50.31-46.7. https://t.co/K3jhzBQV3x
TJHalva
@HWAV_TJHalva
over 9 years ago
Ayotte (D) up in NH by about 5% based one exit polling. Dems should control senate. https://t.co/nMagSPIELr
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