Chinese student used AI from Anthropic to turn $1,000 into $1,500,000
He studies at Tsinghua University in Beijing.
His account is k9Q2m
In such a young age he already make a million simply knowing the right formulas and being able to use Claude
Result:
$1,430 → $1,550,750
44,364 trades
Win rate 100%
The biggest win $23,600 on a single bet
k9Q2m profile:
https://t.co/YlkCWCNhJG
How it bots work:
The bot runs 6 formulas hedge funds use simultaneously, every tick.
Most traders guess. This bot calculates.
Formula 1 - LMSR Pricing
Polymarket prices move on a logarithmic curve.
The bot knows the exact price impact before entering.
Market says 31¢ for BTC up in 5 minutes.
The model sees the curve is mispriced.
The bot enters before the correction.
Formula 2 - Kelly Criterion
Renaissance Capital uses it.
Two Sigma uses it.
Now your bot uses it.
Every bet is sized exactly right.
Never too big to blow the account.
Never too small to matter.
$1,000 bankroll. Consistent edge.
Kelly compounds it into something real.
Formula 3 - EV Gap Detection
The bot scans every BTC market looking for one thing:
- Where is the market price wrong by more than 5%?
- Market says 30¢. Real probability is 55¢. EV = +0.52. The bot enters.
Most people never see this gap. The bot never misses it.
Formula 4 - KL-Divergence
BTC 5-minute and 15-minute markets are correlated. When they drift apart - that's an arb.
The bot measures the statistical distance between them every second. When it crosses 0.2, it flags the trade.
This is how hedge funds extracted $100K+ on correlated election markets. The same logic runs here.
Formula 5 - Bayesian Updates
New block confirmed. Volume spike. Price movement.
The bot doesn't ignore signals - it updates.
Prior probability was 54%.
New data comes in.
Posterior jumps to 71%.
The bot re-prices in real time while the market is still asleep.
Formula 6 - Stoikov Execution
Entering at the wrong moment kills the edge.
The bot calculates the reservation price-the exact point where the risk-adjusted entry makes sense.
It doesn't chase. It doesn't panic.
It waits for the right tick, then fills
What this means in practice:
- Every few seconds the bot runs all six formulas in parallel.
- If LMSR confirms mispricing
- EV gap is above 5%
- Kelly says the bet size is justified
- Bayesian posterior agrees
- KL-divergence flags the correlated drift
- Stoikov clears the execution price
Only then does the bot enter.
Six filters. One trade.
This isn't a trading bot.
It's a hedge fund strategy running on a prediction market.
The edge is real.
The math is public.
The difference is most people never build it.
Just insert all these formulas into Claude and create your own bot
Add this post to bookmarks so you don’t lose it
Soon I will publish another bot with working formulas
Now you can read 100 books a week using NotebookLM + Gemini + Obsidian
Rather than watching 20 YouTube videos on the same topic use this framework.
Don't use AI as an excuse to stop learning, but leverage AI to 10X your learnings.
this russian guy found a way to learn anything 10x faster🚨
saved 1,460h
NotebookLM + Gemini + Obsidian
dumps any source > AI strips duplicates > keeps only what u don't know yet
20 YouTube videos on the same topic
each one repeats the same 20% of information
this bundle removes the other 80%
what used to take a month > 15 min
yt: zproger
Someone on Reddit asked why they can't make money on Polymarket. The top comment had one word: distinct-baguette.
No explanation. No link. Just a username. 47 upvotes. Thread deleted 2 hours later.
I searched. Found the wallet. $441,263 profit. 26,293 trades. Joined October 2025.
→ Account: https://t.co/Zc9nyM2PDP
66% win rate. Looked weak at first. Then I saw the profit curve. Straight line to the sky. No dips. No drawdowns. Just green.
Spent three days going through the positions. One trade made me stop scrolling.
December 16. BTC 15 minute window. Entry at 3 cents. Payout: $11,816. Return: 2,663%.
I went back to Reddit. Found an archived thread from a throwaway account. Someone explained what wallets like this actually do.
Here is the trick that broke my brain.
YES and NO should always cost $1 together. Basic math. But when news hits or panic spreads, the market forgets how to count.
YES drops to 48 cents. NO sits at 49 cents. Total: 97 cents for two outcomes where one MUST pay a dollar.
Buy both. Wait 15 minutes. Collect $1. Keep 3 cents. Repeat.
Three cents is nothing. Until you do it 26,000 times.
No predictions. No charts. No opinions on BTC direction. Just collecting money every time fear makes prices slip.
The Reddit thread had one last comment before deletion:
Stop asking how. Start asking who. Then watch what they do.
122,000 people now watch this wallet. Four months ago it had zero.
The math error still exists. The wallet still prints. The crowd still panics and sells both sides too cheap.
Some people read Reddit threads. Others become the thread.
Which one are you?
Trader made over $1,000 by betting just $48 on the weather on Polymarket
He has 1,420 predictions with a total winnings of $25,700 with a good win rate
This trader is like a meteorologist who controls the weather because he bets every day
His strategy is simple:
- Buys YES only below 10-15c
- Buys NO only above 40-50c
- Still risks <$1 per position
The most successful bets:
- $48 -> $1020
- $127 -> $1221
- $107 -> $1327
Small bets + small price = positive profit over time
profile: https://t.co/FEvo1aFyQI
39 -> $5,753 Predicting Temperature on Polymarket
This trader proved its real. Nowadays you can make money even on weather.
$197 -> $7,342 (+3,616%)
$86 -> $4,623 (+5,271%)
His profile: https://t.co/kj8qhWQV9i
Strategy is simple:
> Buy ultra-cheap weather brackets (0.3–3%).
> Track forecast shifts, price spikes as probability rises.
> Repeat across many brackets for consistent asymmetric gains.
I DID IT!!! Turned $12 into $100,000 (over 8,300x) by going all-in and doubling my bankroll 16 times in a row on short-term BTC moves - while sharing my bets and the reasoning behind them along the way.
This is only possible on @Polymarket !!!
It took a lot of work and real skin in the game, so if you’re reading this, a simple RT or comment would really mean a lot.
Huge shoutout to @shayne_coplanand @Polymarket team for building the best prediction market platform out there. And special thanks to @zscdao and @PolymarketTrade for the support🤝
Track my progress here: https://t.co/9MOdfR72Nd