may.crypto {🦅}

trading addict | growing capital in DeFi | prediction market visionary

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

https://t.co/bwvRMvMRzG

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

@Stitch3_ai Join the conversation - Stitch3-f94cbfe7-YWxlaWFobG9jaw

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

@polydao @BitgetWallet @Polymarket @bitget Yes, it’s very convenient. This is the first web3 company that’s so strongly targeting decentralization and succeeding in its actions 👍

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

Rumors about this integration were around for a while.

I was waiting for one feature. It boosts winrate 2-3x.

@BitgetWallet put @Polymarket right into the app.

Deposit, market, position, all in one window. No tabs, bridges, gas. Anyone can figure it out in a couple of minutes.

That feature is Smart Money Tracker. You see which top wallets went into which markets before the market moved.

Next to it, AI aggregates news and data on every market.

For a regular user the barrier to entry is on the floor. For those who know what they’re doing it’s an edge that will noticeably lift returns.

Any event can be traded now. NBA games every night, the World Cup around the corner, elections, the Fed. If you have a view, it has a price.
30 seconds, showing it from scratch

[Bitget Wallet 🩵 @BitgetWallet]

Say YES to predictions.

Aliens. Politics. Sports. Trade market outcomes with our @Polymarket integration.

ps. NO is also an option.

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

@OVGNFT @BitgetWallet @Polymarket

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

@Lolli_love_y0u @BitgetWallet @Polymarket Smart Money Tracker 🤫 It’s real edge, try it

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

An ex-OpenAI safety researcher told me something at a bar he definitely shouldn't have

It was in Austin. Some afterparty for a conference nobody remembers. I mentioned I was running prediction market agents. He stopped mid-drink.

"Which model?"

"Claude"

"Good. Don't use ours for this"

I asked why.

"GPT is optimized to be agreeable. Claude is optimized to be uncertain. Uncertainty is the entire edge in prediction markets"

He said his old team at OpenAI spent 18 months building internal eval pipelines. Confidence calibration. Multi-source verification. Structured reasoning before any output.

"Then Polymarket open-sourced the exact same architecture for free and nobody noticed"

He took my phone. Typed one link.

https://t.co/P8LbHP7ZsE

"RAG pipeline. 9 live data sources. LLM backbone. Autonomous execution. This is what a $200M quant desk looks like as a repo"

"Why are you telling me this?"

"Because I'm running it. I left OpenAI four months ago. This makes more than my salary did"

He said the agent scores every market on Polymarket every 20 minutes. Reuters. AP. Odds feeds. On-chain flow. Social sentiment. If the edge is above 12% it enters. Quarter Kelly. Exits in seconds if the thesis breaks.

"Worst month was -$800. Best was February. Three resolutions in one week. +$19,000"

I asked what his total was.

He showed me his wallet. Didn't say a word.

+$61,000. 5 months. One agent.

"OpenAI has 3,000 employees building GPT. I have a laptop and a repo that's better at finding mispricings than anything we built internally"

I set mine up that weekend. $750 in.

First week: +$340. Four agents running. 74% hit rate.

He texted me a week later.

"Don't post about this"

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

An ex-Anthropic engineer added me to a Signal group at 2am

No name, No description, 14 people

He worked on Claude's reasoning layer, Left 8 months ago

His first message:

"If you're not running agents on prediction markets by June you're mass"

Then a screenshot of his wallet

+$41,000 in 90 days, 340 trades, 74% hit rate

I DM'd him

"What's the setup?"

"One agent, Claude backbone, RAG pulling from 9 sources, News wires, odds, sentiment, on-chain flow, Scores every Polymarket position every 20 minutes"

"If the edge is above 12% it enters, Quarter Kelly, Hard stop if the thesis breaks"

"Worst week?"

"-$300, Best was +$4,200"

"Hedge funds pay 6 figures for this pipeline, They use 40 people, I use one repo and an API key"

https://t.co/8U2ik7p1iv

477 stars, MIT license, Built by Polymarket themselves, Full agent framework, RAG, LLM tools, Live data sourcing

"Clone it, Plug in Claude, Set risk params, Walk away"

"The model doesn't sleep, Doesn't second-guess, Just runs the math"

Then he typed one last thing

"Maybe 200 people run this stack right now, In a year 10,000, The edge compresses, Get in early or watch"

Set mine up that night, $750 in

First week: +$340

The group still has no name, But it has 23 people now

Bookmark this

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

I had dinner with someone from OpenAI last week

Group dinner in Dubai, Friend of a friend brought him

Quiet the whole first hour

Then someone mentioned Polymarket

His face changed

"How much do you know about market making?"

"Enough"

"Then you know the house always wins"

He showed me a bot, Not a prediction bot, A market making bot, It doesn't bet on outcomes, It sits on both sides of the book and collects the spread

Every trade someone else makes, His bot earns a cut

"How long?"

"Seven months"

"Starting capital?"

"$3,000"

He scrolled to his stats

+$37,000

"Market makers don't need to be right, They need to be present, The bot adjusts spreads in real time, Collects the gap between YES and NO"

I asked what happens when a market goes volatile

"That's when you make the most, Wider spreads, More volume, The bot eats"

The whole thing runs off a Google Sheet and a Python script he forked months ago

"Most people try to predict the future, I'm just taxing everyone who does"

He showed me the repo

https://t.co/yDUNaJ7Cwr

221 stars, MIT license, Full market making engine, WebSocket order book, Spread control, Risk limits

"Clone it, Set your spreads, Connect your wallet, Let it sit"

He finished his drink and said one more thing

"There are 14 market makers on Polymarket right now, 11 of them are running a version of this, None of them are losing money"

Went back to my hotel and didn't sleep

Set it up on a $5 VPS at 3am

Woke up to my first spread captured at 6

The edge isn't in predicting, It's in providing

Bookmark this

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

I sat next to a guy who built Claude at the airport.

He had 6 terminals open. Not code. Trading dashboards. Amber tickers. Live feeds.

I had a 3-hour layover. Couldn't help it.

"What are you running?"

He looked at me. Then at his screen. Then back.

"You trade?"

"Crypto."

He laughed.

"I used to."

He said he spent 2 years on the Claude team. Left last summer. Said he watched it solve benchmarks that were supposed to take quant teams months.

"If it can do that, it can price a prediction market better than anyone on Wall Street."

He wasn't wrong.

8 agents running on Claude. Each one handles a different edge on Polymarket. Crypto spreads. Election mispricing. Weather markets.

"Citadel has 400 quants doing this. I have Claude and a $5 VPS."

Started with $1,500 three months ago.

+$20,800.

"What's the catch?"

"Quant funds charge 2 and 20 for the same math Claude does for $12 in API credits."

He pulled up the repo. py-clob-client. Polymarket's own SDK. Orders. Positions. Market data.

https://t.co/XNSqHEfO5i

"Connect this to Claude. Quarter Kelly sizing. Don't touch the bets. Go to sleep."

My flight got called. I didn't want to board.

Built my first agent on the plane Wi-Fi.

It placed its first trade before we landed.

The terminal doesn't care about your résumé.

Bookmark this.

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

@cryptolegendny Thx 🙏

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

My friend called me at 2 AM crying.

"I lost everything on memecoins."

$4,000. Gone in one night. Some influencer shilled a token. She aped in. Rug.

I told her to come over.

She sat on my couch. Mascara everywhere. Laptop open on some Telegram group still pumping the next "100x gem."

I closed the tab.

"Let me show you something."

I opened the terminal.

+$9.40 captured
+$6.20 captured
+$11.70 captured

"What is this?"

Polymarket. Not memecoins. Not gambling. Prediction markets with real edges.

8 agents running different strategies. One copies whale wallets. One catches price delays on 15-minute crypto markets. One trades elections when the crowd overreacts.

"How much did you put in?"

$2,000.

She looked at the P&L.

+$15,471.

She didn't say anything. Just stared.

"Can you set me up?"

I built her setup on PolyTerm. Free. Open source. 81 commands. Whale tracking. Arbitrage scanner. Never touches your keys.

https://t.co/MsAj2Ns2am

$500. What she had left. Connected. Running.

She texted me a week later.

"I deleted Telegram."

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

@stacyonchain All that’s left is to delete Instagram - and boom, life instantly improves by 90%

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

@wladwtf ???

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

My girlfriend found $500 missing from our joint account.

She called me at work.

"What's the charge to Polygon."

I hung up.

Not because I didn't want to explain. Because I didn't know how.

Three months ago I couldn't sleep. 4 AM. Scrolling Twitter. Some guy posted a Polymarket screenshot. +$14K in a week.

Comments called it fake. His wallet was public. I checked. It was real.

https://t.co/gdqZdzlbgJ

Opened Claude. Typed one line.

"Take $500. Trade Polymarket. Three strategies. Don't ask me anything."

Then I forgot about it. Literally didn't check for two weeks.

Week three I opened my phone in the bathroom at work.

+$2,100.

The bot had split itself into three agents. On its own.

One trades BTC momentum. 15-minute contracts. 91% win rate.

One buys both sides when total cost drops below a dollar. Locks the spread. 87%.

One copies twelve whale wallets. They move, it moves. 88%.

1,284 trades in 90 days. I placed zero.

Worst day: -$120. Made it back by noon.
Best day: +$2,840. I was in a meeting about Q3 projections.

Sharpe: 3.41. I googled it. Hedge funds brag about 2.

I called her back.

"Check the balance."

Silence.

"There's... $10,700 in here."

"That was the $500."

More silence.

"Why didn't you tell me?"

Because I didn't believe it either.

She hasn't mentioned the Polygon charge since.

But she did ask me for the prompt.

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

My OpenClaw learned to make money off CZ's habits.

In 20 days it made +$3,400 without any input from me.

I asked it to explain. It sent back a complete strategy. Simple enough for anyone to replicate.

On Polymarket and predictfun you can bet on how many times CZ posts per week. The agent found an anomaly in his behavior. That's the edge.

Here's how CZ posts: a couple days of silence, then 10-15 posts in a single day. A conference, a livestream, a wave of hate - any trigger starts a wave.

When the event happens, prices on the market still sit flat for a while, and the agent recognizes the event and opens trades at better prices.

Not every trade hits.

CZ can disappear for 4 days - a conference, a vacation, a mood. You can't predict the human factor. But with an 83% win rate and RR of at least 2:1, it fits the system.

AI agents will take over prediction markets. People without agents will be exit liquidity

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

@milesdeutscher How is this combination better than a RAG system?

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

> open laptop
> bot made $340 overnight
> bought BTC contracts before Polymarket repriced
> close laptop
> next morning: +$280
> entry at 40¢. resolved at $1
> next: +$410
> next: +$195
> feed the docs to Claude
> he does the rest

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

A former Citadel quant fed his strategy to Claude.

Now he makes $12,000 a day on Polymarket.

I broke down his strategy. It's scary simple.

> $641K total
> $213K this month
> each trade lasts 5 minutes
> strategy is three steps

The bot checks the 1-minute BTC chart.
Sees movement before Polymarket does - opens a trade.
Kelly determines the size.
The stronger the signal - the bigger the position.

His profile: https://t.co/qPzZDbuNAp

Below - documents with all the formulas.
Feed them to Claude - he'll build you the same bot.

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

@krewdxbt In the docs there’s already a prompt for Claude!

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

A former Citadel quant fed his strategy to Claude.

Now he makes $12,000 a day on Polymarket.

I broke down his strategy. It's scary simple.

> $641K total
> $213K this month
> each trade lasts 5 minutes
> strategy is three steps

The bot checks the 1-minute BTC chart.
Sees movement before Polymarket does - opens a trade.
Kelly determines the size.
The stronger the signal - the bigger the position.

His profile: https://t.co/qPzZDbuNAp

Below - documents with all the formulas.
Feed them to Claude - he'll build you the same bot.

[may.crypto {🦅} @xmayeth]

@SolSt1ne