Hankaro

#BTC | 💎🙌 | 🚀 | 🍻 |

[Hankaro @Hankar0]

@sharbel The biggest risk is not AI, but how people are using it and what happens if they use it wrongly … you can use a hammer to build stuff or you can use it to destroy … educating people on it, understanding what it can and can’t do is key

[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: Elon Musk says AI and humanoid robots will "eliminate poverty" and "make everyone wealthy."

[Alex Krüger @krugermacro]

Spot the AI bubble

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

The wait is over!

Introducing... 🥁

Bitcoin Quantile Model v2.

You’re going to want to bookmark this post—and follow for regular model updates.

After months of research and development, I’m very proud of this model—my flagship quantile framework.

I’m confident it’s one of the best—if not the best—long-term Bitcoin investment frameworks available.

As a full-time, unpaid Bitcoin researcher, I’m often asked how people can best support my free content.

Simply bookmark, repost, and comment on my posts :)

Thanks for all your continued support!

— PlanC

Key Features & Improvements:

1. Quantile lines never cross—mathematically impossible.

2. Cycle-length agnostic.

3. 133,000+ data points and 1,500 lines of code.

4. Fits and stores 999 quantile levels (τ = 0.001–0.999 in 0.001 steps) and identifies which level the last price is closest to.

5. Fits the two leading decay functions (stretched exponential decay & exponential decay) and selects the better fit via quantile-appropriate AIC.

Uses Akaike weights to identify the best-supported model.

Akaike weights (AIC-based):
Stretched exponential decay: 96.4%
Exponential decay: 3.6%

6. Piecewise Quantile Regression — Linear + Stretched Exponential Decay (Nonlinear).

[Koroush AK @KoroushAK]

This is the most profitable strategy for 90% of you;

-Own mostly $BTC, some $SOL or $ETH
-Put 0.1%-10% on altcoins from one niche of the market you've researched well.
-Take profits regularly and don't try to time tops.

That's it.

[Sminston With 👁 @sminston_with]

Many have asked, and so here it is: FULL re-post of Smitty's Bitcoin Retirement Guide 📙
- - -
Paginated, 600 DPI, $50k - $1M USD annual expense scenarios, assumed future 7% average annual inflation, and does not account for taxes.
- - -
BOOKMARK this so you can always refer back to it!

Download, save, print-out, share 🧵👇

[Hankaro @Hankar0]

@AndreasSteno @AndreasLSteno Done 🫡

[Caleb Franzen @CalebFranzen]

You must align with the trend.

Then manage risk in the event that the trend changes.

The only way to do that is to have quantifiable metrics to determine the trend & its invalidation.

If you do this and then manage your psychology, you'll outperform other traders quite easily.

[Jason Ai. Williams @GoingParabolic]

If Bitcoin breaks $150,000 by tomorrow at 4pm EST, I will give 3 random followers 1 whole Bitcoin, 1,000 shares of MSTR, and an all expenses paid trip to Myrtle Beach. Must be 21 or older and currently hold at least .1 BTC to qualify.

Must like and retweet to be considered.

[Paul Guerra @paulguerratv]

🚨 The American Dream is dead.

This isn’t opinion. It’s a pattern that’s been repeating for 100 years.

Everything you were told… was a lie. [🧵thread]

[Sminston With 👁 @sminston_with]

A couple things to clarify on the Bitcoin Retirement Guide, for those who are missing these key details:

1. There are many annual spending scenarios in this 'e-book,' ranging from $50k/year --> $1M/year; choose whichever suits your lifestyle
2. The annual spending is inflation-adjusted in future years, meaning each year in the future the annual spending is increased to compensate for 7% annual inflation
3. This is modeled on an annual conversion of enough of your stack to 'buy' the needed amount of USD for a given year's expenses (I am *not* recommending this, this is just the basis of the retirement guide so you 'know you have enough' to do so)

How much corn will you need to retire?

[Ray Dalio @RayDalio]

Credit can be a great tool when used productively. In an advanced economy, credit does more good than bad. But it’s important to remember that borrowing creates cycles — and if the cycle goes up, it eventually needs to come down.

I explain why this is particularly important today in my new book, How Countries Go Broke. Preorder today here: https://t.co/Dhz3HKVepZ

But if you’d like more context on how all of these pieces come together, I recommend you watch my 30-minute explainer “How the Economic Machine Works” on YouTube here: https://t.co/61QLvTiPCo

#principles #howcountriesgobroke #economics #credit

[Alex Krüger @krugermacro]

it's not how you start, it's how you finish

[Ray Dalio @RayDalio]

In order to understand the full picture of how the world order is changing, I would urge you to watch this five-minute clip, or the complete 40-minute animated video called "Principles for Dealing with Changing World Order." And if you want an even more complete explanation, you can check out my book of the same title.

#principles #politics #economics

[Hankaro @Hankar0]

@raventitan812 @elonmusk @realDonaldTrump … as long as you are not an immigrant …

[Hankaro @Hankar0]

@endlibtyranny @CalebFranzen Having my doubts that this will be achieved with tariffs, which are normally inflationary. Let’s see

[Hankaro @Hankar0]

@donalt So much for freedom of speech…

[Brian Roemmele @BrianRoemmele]

Point of view.

[Edgy - The DeFi Edge 🗡️ @thedefiedge]

Hackers stole $1.4 billion worth of Crypto in the 1st half of 2024.

If you want to improve your Crypto security, read this:

[Plan C @TheRealPlanC]

#Bitcoin

I have completed coding the final design and layout for the zoomed-out model version. Next, I will focus on the zoomed-in version, which features a 1-year rolling forward model projection. Following that, I will start providing updates every Tuesday and Saturday, sharing updates for both versions.

Make sure you're following and have notifications turned on. 🔔