"OMG Killa, that's a 50% drop as invalidation!"
Yes. It is.
But what people keep ignoring is the other side of the equation. My target is an extremely modest $160K BTC. From my entry, that's roughly a 150% move higher.
So the risk/reward is approximately 3:1.
If you're trading on high leverage, then obviously this setup is terrible for you. A 50% invalidation and high leverage do not mix. That's not how I'm approaching this trade.
You have two ways to deal with that:
Use low leverage.
Or
Continuously add margin to defend the position.
I have zero interest in option #2. That's never been my style.
Instead, I'll be using extremely low leverage, which allows me to give the position room to breathe without constantly managing margin requirements.
I already hold enough spot BTC. The reason I want a long position is because it gives me the ability to delta-neutral hedge when BTC starts trending higher again.
Let's say we get rejected at $84K on the first attempt. Or maybe $100K. Maybe $120K.
With a leveraged position already open, I can hedge it, go delta neutral, preserve profits, eliminate directional risk on the position, and continue holding without stress.
Funding fees were also part of my calculations.
Looking at the 1Y average, funding costs are roughly 7-8% annually. During most of the bull market, funding has actually been more negative than positive. We only saw notable positive flips around $74K, $108K, and $124K a handful of times.
The majority of the rally wasn't dominated by positive funding at all.
So I'm not telling anyone to follow me.
I'm not telling anyone to copy my trades.
I'm simply explaining what I'm doing, why I'm doing it, and how I'm approaching this market.
You're free to analyze the market your own way and come to your own conclusions.
$BTC has printed 12, 6H red candles in a row since June started.
72 hours of straight annihilation.
If you know what happens on the 5thโฆ you know. ๐
WAKE UP. If you're blindly longing $BTC right now, you are practically begging to become exit liquidity. ๐จ
The 750-day post-halving capitulation isn't a theory, it's market gravity. I just overlaid the 2014, 2018, and 2022 bear market fractals onto our current chart. EVERY. SINGLE. ONE. points to a vertical cliff dive starting RIGHT NOW.
The cycle doesn't care about your feelings or your moon math. Structural support is completely exhausted. The 2026 bear market flush is programmed and the bloodbath is imminent.
Short the bounce, protect your capital, or get absolutely rekt. Your choice. ๐ฉธ๐๐
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoCrash #TradingView #BearMarket
WAKE UP. If you're blindly longing $BTC right now, you are practically begging to become exit liquidity. ๐จ
The 750-day post-halving capitulation isn't a theory, it's market gravity. I just overlaid the 2014, 2018, and 2022 bear market fractals onto our current chart. EVERY. SINGLE. ONE. points to a vertical cliff dive starting RIGHT NOW.
The cycle doesn't care about your feelings or your moon math. Structural support is completely exhausted. The 2026 bear market flush is programmed and the bloodbath is imminent.
Short the bounce, protect your capital, or get absolutely rekt. Your choice. ๐ฉธ๐๐
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoCrash #TradingView #BearMarket
$BTC May 2026 Top Setup ๐ฏ
The mid-month topping cycle is back. Every major leg has topped between the 9th-18th of the month โ and weโre right in that window NOW.
๐ Top zone: $82K โ $85.8K
๐ Expected drop: -23% to -33%
๐ฏ Targets: $66K โ $60K โ $55K
โฑ Bottom window: May 28 โ June 7
Pattern of escalating flushes:
โข Nov: -25%
โข Jan: -38%
โข May: ??? ๐
Trendline at $76K is the trigger. Lose it, and the cascade begins.
NFA. Just charts talking. ๐
#btc #SellinMaygoAway #bitcoin #analysis #charts
$BTC May 2026 Top Setup ๐ฏ
The mid-month topping cycle is back. Every major leg has topped between the 9th-18th of the month โ and weโre right in that window NOW.
๐ Top zone: $82K โ $85.8K
๐ Expected drop: -23% to -33%
๐ฏ Targets: $66K โ $60K โ $55K
โฑ Bottom window: May 28 โ June 7
Pattern of escalating flushes:
โข Nov: -25%
โข Jan: -38%
โข May: ??? ๐
Trendline at $76K is the trigger. Lose it, and the cascade begins.
NFA. Just charts talking. ๐
#btc #SellinMaygoAway #bitcoin #analysis #charts
@ZeroHedge_ Just did some research
Rule #1
https://t.co/40Yyc18aF6
Rule #4
https://t.co/yDmMiBkGfA
Rule #6(stock/crypto)
https://t.co/bWXYPYieJj
Rule #6(more like rule #4)
https://t.co/4VHu1rIx2K
Rule 6 in wicks rule book of trading:
โNever look at what you could have made. It will kill youโ
In trading itโs so more important to keep a healthy mind set.
With the CrossX Pro indicator on BTC monthly:
2015 โ BUY after 15 months from bear year
2018 โ BUY after 13 months
2022 โ BUY after 13 months
If the pattern continues, BTC could print its next BUY signal around OctโNov 2026 ๐
History doesnโt repeat exactlyโฆ but it sure likes to rhyme. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading
With the CrossX Pro indicator on BTC monthly:
2015 โ BUY after 15 months from bear year
2018 โ BUY after 13 months
2022 โ BUY after 13 months
If the pattern continues, BTC could print its next BUY signal around OctโNov 2026 ๐
History doesnโt repeat exactlyโฆ but it sure likes to rhyme. #BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #Trading
I was bullish all the way from 16k to 120k
Sold everything at 120k and shorted
Said 60k is next when BTC was at 120k
At 60k I said 79-85k is coming next
And this ladies, is the local top (80-85k)
The big crash towards 50k and lower soon