@NickTimiraos Rate cuts alone haven’t been enough to pull down the long end of the curve. To get meaningful moves there, they’d need to do it synthetically, that’s a much harder vote.
SF Fed study examines 150 years of U.S. tariffs and find that they lead to lower inflation and weaker aggregate demand (which raises unemployment) https://t.co/d7d9WmIHHJ
Interesting. But yields should fall in the short term if deflation hits, flight to safety and collapsing inflation expectations always drive that move first. The Fed would also almost certainly step in with QE to soak up the supply, which fixes the liquidity issue but blows out the deficit even more and risks stoking inflation later. Good post.
Rep. Roy: "The truth is, our whole budget has grown from about 3.6 trillion a decade ago to 7.2 trillion.
Now it's doubled and everybody wants to applaud themselves for $160 billion of reductions and increases? I'm sorry, I don't think that's good enough."
Elon Musk opposing the “Big Beautiful Bill” shouldn’t be a shock to anyone. He literally sat next to Donald Trump and explained we need to cut spending, not pass more spending
Elon Musk explains how to end inflation and drop interest payments forever
“Provided the economy grows faster than the money supply, which means you stop the government overspending and the waste and the output of real useful goods and services exceeds the increase in money supply. You have no inflation and you also drop the interest payments that people pay
The reason the interest payments are so high is because the national debt keeps increasing. So the government is competing to sell debt with the private citizens. This drives up the interest rate.
If you cut back on the deficit, you actually have an amazing situation for people because you get rid of inflation and you drop the interest rates.
That means people's mortgage payments go down, the credit card payments go down, their car payments go down, their student loans go down. Their life becomes more affordable and their standard of living improves.”
@dotkrueger You have no idea what you’re talking about. Yields at 9.2%? Lol. Even 6% yields would trigger a systemic collapse—they would never let yields spike that high. There’s already panic from the government with yields at just 5%.