Important piece by @HekmatAboukater:
Trump Is Reopening the Middle East’s Deadliest Sectarian Fault Lines
Washington is pressing Shiite groups to disarm while ignoring the real fears that keep them armed.
https://t.co/r2BLgK7joB
The White House is playing fast and loose with forces it does not understand, with potentially catastrophic consequences, writes Hekmat Aboukhater. https://t.co/yoMzjNjpjj
My latest for @ForeignPolicy: Trump is Reopening the Middle East’s Deadliest Sectarian Fault Lines
Trump is playing games he does not understand by floating sending Al-Sharaa's men into Lebanon/ Yemen, and when he pushes disarmament of Shia militias that fought ISIS.
In my latest @RStatecraft piece, I reflect on the state of the antiwar coalition from the front row of the Ron Paul Institute’s 10th annual conference in Washington.
Massie, Kent, Kucinich, Josh Paul, Ron Paul, and others offered plenty of reason for both hope and caution.
‼️@RepThomasMassie had audience in stitches @RonPaulInstitut conference Sat, though he clanged the alarms on the uselessness of congress in a way that seemed new. He was joined by equally determined ex-officials @joekent16jan19 and Josh Paul @anewpolicyorg https://t.co/JLaF4EEsVW
In the article, Yale economist Marnix Amand described Trump’s approach as “a man cashing in decades of American hegemony, drawing down long-term reserves of U.S. power, legitimacy, and security for short-term political aims.”
My latest for @RStatecraft
With Hormuz choked, and Bab el-Mandeb blockaded, what if a tanker is intentionally scuttled or beached in the narrowest part of the Suez Canal?
Our rainy day fund, the SPR, is already down to 311.4 million barrels. Trump is gambling with our Economic national security.
https://t.co/L3oIKvUUj5
Many thanks to @Rory_Johnston of https://t.co/YpeL4hxXwM and @Bob_McNally of @RapidanEnergy for helping me understand what a widening war would mean for tanker traffic, oil prices, market structure, and an already depleted SPR.
🚨If the next round of escalation sends oil prices surging, there will be a far less buffer for Americans and what they are paying at the pump thanks to Biden & Trump depleting the Strategic Petroleum Reserve. Important story. https://t.co/In16C7y3kx