Henry Olsen

Senior Fellow, @EPPCdc. Host of Beyond the Polls and Conservative Crossroads podcasts -

[Henry Olsen @henryolsenEPPC]

This week on Conservative Crossroads - what limits should the government place on the number of foreign students and staff at US universities? @jaypgreene and @DanielDiMartino face off - listen!

https://t.co/i0RMw4sCwt

[Javier Blas @JavierBlas]

Interesting that @CENTCOM has not disclosed any overnight strikes against Iran for the first time in two weeks. Every night during the previous 13 days, US planes hit Iranian targets.

[Nowcast EU 🗳️ @Nowcast_EU]

🇮🇹 Italy | Nowcast seat projection under the proposed Stabilicum system

🟥 CSX: *44.2% | 220
🟦 CDX: 42.0% | 144
⬛ FN: 6.5% | 22
*️⃣ Az: 3.1% | 11

🟠 *42.7% excluding +E (second list below the 3% threshold)

Campo Largo leads by 0.7pts

[Jacob Rubashkin @JacobRubashkin]

Counterpoint: under the old order PB might have overperformed in IA and NH only to run into a roadblock in SC against a consolidated field. Now he could run in a wide open SC field and if he can hold enough among white college voters there, he can build momentum with IA and NH…

[David Weigel @daveweigel]

TFW the two states that put you into prez contention will now vote after South Carolina

[Eli Afriat 🇮🇱 @EliAfriatISR]

🚨🇸🇦🇾🇪 JUST IN | Saudi Arabia is currently carrying out extensive attacks on the port of Hodeidah.
The attacks are targeting Houthi targets there.

[Josh Hammer @josh_hammer]

Nationalism and populism are here to stay. But what will that look like after 2028?

@henryolsenEPPC joins to discuss.

Plus, Mamdani issued a blood libel and the predictable result: blood spilled.

@Rafa_Mangual joins to discuss hizzoner.

Today's show 📺 https://t.co/z7nCM3Qm42

[Kevin Robillard 🇺🇸 @Robillard]

Adding Virginia + Michigan to the mix could really change how campaigns approach 2028 -- they each basically have as many delegates as the SC/NH/NV triumvirate do combined.

New Hampshire 25
New Mexico 32
Nevada 36
South Carolina 55
Virginia 99
Michigan 115

[Shelby Holliday @shelbyholliday]

Bahrain and Kuwait secretly sent jets to attack sites inside Iran, their first such direct retaliation against Tehran and an indication of the difficult position Arab states find themselves in as the war grinds on, people familiar with the matter said. https://t.co/EV86bqxpjG

[InteractivePolls @IAPolls2022]

Notable endorsements – MI Dem Senate primary (El-Sayed vs Stevens)

ABDUL EL-SAYED
• Sen. Bernie Sanders (VT)
• Sen. Elizabeth Warren (MA)
• Sen. Chris Van Hollen (MD)
• Sen. Tina Smith (MN)
• Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (NY)
• Rep. Rashida Tlaib (MI)
• Rep. Ilhan Omar (MN)
• Rep. Ro Khanna (CA)
• Rep. Pramila Jayapal (WA)
• AG Keith Ellison (MN)
——
HALEY STEVENS
• Gov. Gretchen Whitmer (MI)
• Former Gov. Jennifer Granholm (MI)
• AG Dana Nessel (MI)
• Sen. Gary Peters (MI)
• Sen. Chuck Schumer (NY)
• Sen. Chris Coons (DE)
• Former Sen. Debbie Stabenow (MI)
• Speaker Emerita Nancy Pelosi
• Rep. Jim Clyburn (SC)
• Rep. Hillary Scholten (MI)
• Rep. Lauren Underwood (IL).

[Alex Thompson @AlexThomp]

DNC rules and bylaws committee tentatively approves this 2028 primary calendar.
SC Jan 22nd
Nevada Feb 1
NH Feb 8
NM Feb 15
Michigan Feb 22
VA Feb 29
Then a full week before Super Tuesday (different than 2020 which had Super Tuesday right after SC)

[Geoffrey Skelley @geoffreyvs]

2028 won’t be remotely this neat and tidy.

New Hampshire: ~Jan. 11 based on this timeline, if it follows state law.
Iowa GOP caucuses: ~Jan. 3 in this world

Fun times.

[Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 @PollTracker2024]

Breaking news: Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer endorses Haley Stevens

#MichiganSenate

[Geoffrey Skelley @geoffreyvs]

The narrative that Clyburn would have this much power in 2028 misses that South Carolina will be more of a winnowing state if it's going first in a competitive presidential primary race.

That is different from 2020, when it went fourth after IA, NH, NV.

[electionmapsuk @electionmapsuk]

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 26% (+2)
LAB: 25% (+1)
CON: 19% (-2)
LDM: 10% (-1)
GRN: 8% (-3)
SNP: 3% (=)
RES: 1% (-1)

Via @Survation, 22-24 Jul.
Changes w/ 10-14 Jul.

[Israel Elects @israel_elects]

🔴Yashar hits a new record high
🔵Likud drops to its lowest point this year

[Barak Ravid @BarakRavid]

Scoop: The U.S. and U.K. are discussing the convening of a high-level meeting in London next week that will focus on a potential international coalition to protect maritime shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, European diplomats say. My story on @axios
https://t.co/320dcRH5Gu

[Shane Goldmacher @ShaneGoldmacher]

NEW: The DNC's Rules Committee has now made its initial selections for the regional picks for the early window in 2028.

Northeast: New Hampshire
Midwest: Michigan
South: South Carolina
West: Nevada

They are about to do a roll call on which state goes first.

[InteractivePolls @IAPolls2022]

The Democratic National Committee has selected South Carolina as the first Southern state on the 2028 presidential primary calendar, choosing it over Georgia, North Carolina, Tennessee, and Virginia

[LeBron James @KingJames]

another championship.

I believe I can help make the Philadelphia 76ers a championship team and I am so excited to energize a new fan base and start this incredible journey one last time.  

Thank you LA. Miami I’ll forever love and Northeast Ohio will always home!

🙏🏾🫡👑

[Alex Thompson @AlexThomp]

At the DNC Rules and Bylaws committee, zero ppl voted for Iowa to represent the Midwest as a potential early 2028 primary state.
Michigan wins overwhelmingly.