Hexen Flow

[Palobar @panpalobar]

#Bitcoin #Crypto #Cryptotrading
Bitcoin made a low today at exactly $58k (see the original tweet below). We have a double professional A/D here. A decisive close under this level is the last thing many would like to see.

[Palobar @panpalobar]

@TheApeOfGoldST #gold #silver
Many weeks ago, I tried to warn everyone [again]👇

[Palobar @panpalobar]

#gold #cycles
As mentioned in several previous tweets, these dates are strong turning points that are derived from non-linear cycles. If you review ALL the dates that I have shared here on gold, you will see that in the vast majority of cases, they captured most of the YEARLY HIGHS and LOWS in gold.

In general, these dates will usually give any of the following:

a. change in trend (high or low)
b. acceleration of the prevailing trend
c. pause in trend (initiation of a consolidation phase).

In a post I made a few weeks ago, I explained how to read the price action in relation to these dates. Although this date captured an important SWING HIGH to the day, I agree that calling this high a major turning point was an exaggeration.
ps this date was initially shared in Oct'2025.

[Hexen Flow @HexenFlow]

@panpalobar Brilliant way of putting it.

Helps with constant moving of goalpost in your own mind and getting even deeper into red.

[Palobar @panpalobar]

#silver #TradingPsychology
Some thoughts.

🔷ACCEPT
1/ There is no guaranteed trade
2/ There is no perfect stop loss
3/ We [all] take losses = lessons
4/ Βest way to avoid a big loss is to take a small loss
5/ Every trade is unique. Anything is possible
6/ Be happy with "good enough" (profits) and "close enough" (entry)
7/ "If you want to catch the big fish, you've got to go deeper" - David Lynch
8/ The goal should be to make money, not to be right.

🔷KNOW YOURSELF
What triggers you most?
Review your past trades and find which P/L scenarios irritate you most (eg. taking a loss, leaving money on the table, letting a profit turn into a loss, closing a trade for a nice profit but watch the market go higher, missing a great trade waiting for the perfect entry etc).

🔷STOP LOSS / POSITION SIZE
We have to let the market show us first that we have a LOW in place and then decide where is the safest place to put our stop loss. The EGO wants to be right. Resist the urge to try and prick the low.

How much you will bet should balance all the (7) points mentioned above (see "Accept").

📌When you define the amount of ($) that you are willing to risk, you must [trully] accept that you have the possibility of being wrong and losing that amount. Make a contract with yourself and sign it. See if you are a person who honors his word (see attached image- extract from my trading journal).

🔷 HOW I WOULD HANDLE THE SITUATION
Is the situation worth the risk? Yes

🔹Investors / Long-term Traders
I would slowly scale in and buy into weakness as we start retesting the 1980/2011 highs.

🔹Short-term Traders
I would start with a small position. When the market shows that it has made a bottom and the trend has clearly charnged, I would press the gear.

🔷POSSIBLE SCENARIOS
Be open to various scenarios.
a. Silver does not test the $47-$54 area and turn up.
b. Silver tests that $47-$54 area and reverses.
c. Silver bounces from that area but turn back down

You must have a plan for each scenario.
Social media will only make the decision much more difficult.

[Palobar @panpalobar]

#gold #silver #preciousmetals #cycles
Price and Time cycles that expand and contract in a complex geometric fashion are in control here.
No endless tweets, only cycles of truth.

[Palobar @panpalobar]

https://t.co/S2XudGBoeb

[Palobar @panpalobar]

#Wheat $ZW_F #commodities
Wheat made a significant short-term high on May 14. Two days before, I noted that Wheat was showing signs of strength (see linked post). Going into the closing bell, I made the update below, noting that it was important to see price follow-through. We did not get that; instead, the price action that followed confirmed we had seen a significant high.

Speculative fund selling (long positions reduced by 2.3σ) and bearish seasonal forces have been pushing the price lower.

With the Strait of Hormuz being closed since late Feb and the US heading for its lowest Wheat output over the last 50 years, it is disappointing that Wheat failed to test at least the 2024 high ($720).

Conclusion
Short-term, a restest of the $528-$544 area is on the table. Long-term, I think we are in the early stages of a new bull market, and we will eventually see a new ATH here in the coming months.

[Palobar @panpalobar]

#DXY #USD #FX #Currencies
@SantiagoAuFund
Where are the bears?
I warned you about the FALSE move here👊. The USD reversed two days later.
Nevertheless, this is short-term noise. I explained this many times. The global "margin call" will come IF and WHEN the USD clears the 2025 April high.

[Palobar @panpalobar]

#DXY #USD #FX #Currencies
I have repeatedly noted the importance of the 2020 professional A/D. Notice where the USD reversed in January and where it found support. My friends, this is real support and resistance🧙.
ps I encourage you to read my article on this concept.

[Palobar @panpalobar]

#USD #DXY
@DVSignals, tell us what you see now.
🧙‍♂️There is more than meets the eye.

[Palobar @panpalobar]

https://t.co/6n5IvNq1JM

[Palobar @panpalobar]

#DXY #USD #FX #Currencies
We have been targeting the 2020 professional A/D for the past two years. The DXY bottomed exactly at the low of that range (see linked post).
PRICE levels that really matter. Shared well in advance, not after the fact. No selection of old tweets.

🧙‍♂️As always, pro gold/silver accounts will look away and never dare to share this analysis. They are busy posting that the USD is dead.

[Hexen Flow @HexenFlow]

@PierrePoilievre You cockolds will do everything but address the issue and deal with traitors 😂😂

[Palobar @panpalobar]

#sugar $SB_F
Sugar is a market I recommended a few months ago. Price bounced exactly from the upper level of our professional A/D ($13.67). We had a nice initial move, but the price pulled back again into the A/D. The lower level of the A/D ($12.87) should provide strong support.
Despite the noise, this trade did not provide any real value to my community.

[Palobar @panpalobar]

I want to thank you all for your warm wishes!!
We are back home. Μy mom is feeling better. When I told her that so many people from around the world sent her their wishes, she couldn't believe it. I explained to her how Twitter works. She smiled and said, "God bless you all".
🙏❤️

ps I will be back very soon.

[Hexen Flow @HexenFlow]

@RealKeithWeiner Agreed. But let's not pretend corrupt

capitalism has no inherent problems itself.

[Hexen Flow @HexenFlow]

@panpalobar She must be proud of son that takes care of her and has ability to influence so many other people around world. Blessings to both of you ! Get well and stay safe!

[Palobar @panpalobar]

#gold #silver #preciousmetals
"It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It was always my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!"

Quick Note>
1. There is NO pattern of "higher HIGHs, higher LOWs" in silver yet. These are NOT true highs and lows; that is why these same calls in February (and in the past) have failed.

2. The $95.56 level that I noted in February kept us on the safe side. Silver failed to close > that level and declined 37%. Above $95.56, the bulls are in control. Below $75, the bears will be in control.

3. My original idea was that the decline in gold and silver would most likely conclude by April. My max decline for gold was $4150-$4200 (spot). So far, this has been accurate.

4. The short-term situation in gold can be best described imo as "a lack of interest". (in terms of positioning).

5. In late February, I drew your attention to the Feb 17 low. Notice where the recent bounce was rejected. The high came exactly on April 17 (key date).

6. Gold has been forming "Lower highs and lower lows". The big boys are surely watching this. Under $4649, it gets into a tricky position. If we break the May low, it will attract speculative short positions.

CONCLUSION
In my opinion, the consolidation/correction is not over yet. A retest of the recent lows is still possible. I could be wrong (I have been wrong many times), but I think ~$3800s (gold) and $54 (silver) are still on the table.
This is a healthy correction after the massive moves we saw.
Long-term, much higher.

[Palobar @panpalobar]

#SoybeanMeal $ZM_F #commodities
Soybean meal has been at the top of my list since February. I initiated a long position again at $332.7.