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[Serenity @aleabitoreddit]

I now am the #1 most subscribed to account on the entire X platform!

After overtaking Elon Musk today.

Thank you everyone for helping me achieve my goal.

[Serenity @aleabitoreddit]

Europe is releasing its Tech Sovereignty Package, today June 3rd.

This includes, CHIPS ACT 2.0, which is expected to prioritize photonics.

Both $XFAB and $SIVE are highlighted in the Industry Policy Blueprints, which guides EU legislation.

This proposes sovereign backing with €30–500 million financing facilities per company and revenue demand incentivizes.

To bridge early European companies to volume production.

I personally expect my two thesis ideas to be large beneficiaries:

- $XFAB, given they're leading Europe's SiPH value chain, with Nokia and Nvidia evaluating them for photonics HVM.

- and $SIVE as Europe's leader for lasers in AI datacenters, scaling lasers to mass production in 2027.

More details will be announced today, but this is a structural tailwind to photonics critical to Western and especially EU supply chains.

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

#Bitcoin has not bottomed Out yet

The Bottom will be in Sep-Oct

The Bottom will be between 40-50k

Bulls and early buyers are Victims

[Serenity @aleabitoreddit]

- $AAOI at $12B
- $SIVE at $2B
- Foci at $2.8B
- Shunsin at $2B

Usually the best risk/reward to me currently. Lot of my answers before like $AXTI already 10x’d, so different lineup this time.

$AAOI due to absurd H1 2027 revenue projections from capacity ramp, doing everything from laser fab to assembly in America.

$471M/month… that’s in 2027, the TAM increases exponentially in 2028.

$SIVE is also ramping absurdly high, 77% revenue pipeline growth of the entire company’s history to ~$799M

Primarily from photonics… in a single quarter. And they’re projecting 60% gross margins off that.

Foci - $NVDA / $TSM primarily FAU supplier and bottleneck for COUPE. Genuinely not sure how this is $2.8B.

BOM share for their passive components + FAU are massive in 2028. Just a bit early H1 2026.

Shunsin - Legit you see Foxconn get CPO/photonics related orders over and over for $NVDA and others.

Just nobody knows the packaging/testing gets done by Shunsin.

A lot of contracts are also under Shunsin’s subsidiary too.. so markets/algorithms don’t know what’s coming imo.

Runner up is $XFAB, they’ll probably be central to EU CHIPS act 2 for silicon photonics at ~$1.5B MC.

And of course SiC/GaN foundries should go brr with 800vdc push by Nvidia.

Especially if they’re the only high volume one in United States per Dpt. Of Commerce.

And it’s such a low price/book ratio so you’re kinda getting the company upside for free, while US Gov/EU Gov subsidize their capex.

[Michael | Hypermarkets @itsmichaelluu]

President Trump is now investing billions into drones.

He is replacing Chinese technology in military.

Here's 7 companies with 10x-20x probabilty:

1. $ONDS — Iron Drone Raider
→ Autonomously intercepts hostile drones mid-air using a net (no jamming)
→ Customers: Middle East military, UAE, NATO Europe, U.S. public safety
→ Revenue up 555% YoY. $14.4M in defense orders in 2024 alone.

2. $AVAV — Switchblade 600 + Puma
→ Tube-launched kamikaze drone that destroys armored targets on impact
→ Customers: U.S. Army, Marine Corps, Italy MoD, NATO allies, Ukraine (via FMS)
→ $874M Army contract + $990M Switchblade IDIQ. Scaling to 1,200 units/month.

3. $KTOS — XQ-58A Valkyrie
→ High-subsonic combat drone that flies alongside F-35s as a loyal wingman
→ Customers: U.S. Air Force, U.S. Marine Corps, Space Force, international militaries
→ $231.5M Marine Corps contract + $1.45B Pentagon prime. Revenue $1.3B (+19% YoY).

4. $AVEX — Group 3 OWA UAS
→ 3D-printed one-way attack drone built for GPS-denied environments at scale
→ Customers: U.S. Air Force
→ $18.5M Air Force contract (May 2026). Just raised $320M in April 2026 IPO.

5. $UMAC — NDAA-compliant drone components
→ Not a drone maker — they're the supply chain. Motors, FPV systems, flight controllers that replace banned Chinese parts.
→ Customers: U.S. Army, Red Cat Holdings, DoD Blue UAS approved vendors
→ $12.8M Army component deal. Florida motor factory coming online.

6. $RCAT — Black Widow + FANG FPV
→ Soldier-portable recon drone + FPV strike drone for platoon-level ops
→ Customers: U.S. Army (Program of Record), NATO, Air Force Special Ops
→ Army acquisition target: 5,880 Black Widow units over 5 years.

7. $DPRO — Flex FPV + Commander 3XL
→ Tactical FPV drones deployed with active U.S. Army units — they also teach soldiers to build them in the field
→ Customers: U.S. Army, Dept of War units, Asia-Pacific military, Babcock International
→ Production scaling from $5M to $100M capacity in 2026.

♻️ RESHARE this post and write 1 comment, I'll DM you my top 2 drone companies to be bought by Trump.

[Serenity @aleabitoreddit]

$XFAB (photonics + power semis) is an interesting long idea at $1.28B MC, that I took positions in.

Given EU CHIPS act 2 is today as the catalyst for European photonics players.

> 800 VDC power semi exposure to $NVDA push through $NVTS + $POWI

> Silicon Photonics / CPO exposure with $NVDA as evaluation stage for high volume manufacturing (optical transceivers/switches)

> The only high-volume SiC foundry in the US.

> One of the critical MEMS foundries

> ~1.29 P/B, which was around what $SOI was sitting at when I went long. Depressed valuations due to legacy drag

> ~6.5-8.5 fwd p/e 2028 personal est.

> backstopped by Government:

- EU CHIPS act, $128M Euros
- US CHIPS act $50M PMT (department of commerce).

With likely more coming (just signals critical importance to Western supply chains).

So at a certain point with all the grants, they’re just getting the capex funded by the Governments.

EU CHIPS act 2 is coming out this week, and I’m gonna go ahead and guess $XFAB might get included given they were before, and this package is specifically targeting photonics.

~$1.3B MC seems compelling to me if it can pull a Soitec reversal (low p/b, very high growth segments, auto legacy drag).

As for the $NVDA silicon photonics relationships it’s under “photonixFAB”.

Markets probably missed this silicon photonics relationship (like $TSEM when I went long) with Nvidia since XFab leads this… Just under a different name.

For power semis, XFAB is named for SiC + $NVTS. In PCN-22181, $POWI explicitly names XFAB as its foundry. 

Given its exposure to power semis and photonics as growth, low P/B, gov backstop (of course dyor, just sharing my personal thoughts)

Thought it personally seemed compelling.

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

#SP500:

The Yield chaos is starting exactly as I called it in September 2025, when I said it would begin May–June 2026. Weeks ago, I finished accumulating my SP500 short at an average entry of 7000, everything is ready now. The market will do the rest!

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

I was bullish all the way from 16k to 120k

Sold everything at 120k and shorted

Said 60k is next when BTC was at 120k

At 60k I said 79-85k is coming next

And this ladies, is the local top (80-85k)

The big crash towards 50k and lower soon

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

#Bitcoin: These are the last days and if you are lucky the last few weeks above the 80k range, the area of 50k and below is calling and the big crash is a matter of time

[Serenity @aleabitoreddit]

This is actually my favorite $SIVE TA setup.

I name this:

"Transferring ownership of the company from Swedish locals to American investors/institutions."

Good timing right before US Nasdaq listing and hyperscaler 2027 volume ramp.

Special thanks to the media over there.

[Serenity @aleabitoreddit]

It’s still funny that there’s so many:

“If you invested $10K into ____ you would have ____ today!”

Then they’re all the stocks I was the original thesis poster on from $AXTI to $IQE.

Wait 6 months and you’ll probably see the same thing with $SIVE and my other bottleneck thesis posts.

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

The bottom for BTC was not in

More and more down we go

Expecting targets below 50k

The bear leads with full strength

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

Gold has lost 10% in the recent days. This 10% equals the entire Bitcoin market cap. This tells you how small BTC is compared to other assets, and that’s why I will buy big again once the bottom is in. My biggest bet for the next years remains Bitcoin!

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

#Bitcoin: The rule is very simple

Bitcoin has not bottomed out, 40-48k is coming

Potential of an upside move in the short term

For this reason, placed short orders at 79-84k

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

$BTC: Prepare for a historic CRASH

Much worse than COVID crash

Stocks, BTC, all of assets

You have been warned

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

#Bitcoin – What’s Next?

The Big Sunday Report: All We Need to Know🚩

TA / LCA / Psychological Breakdown: Since September 2025, I have been sharing my outlook and expectations for Bitcoin and how things would unfold over the coming months. At the short entry of 115–125K, I first gave a target of 100K, which was reached just a few weeks after my prediction. After that, I clearly stated that a sideways move would follow before a drop to 60K. Back then, this was hard to believe, yet it played out exactly as expected a few weeks later. At 60K, I said we would enter a sideways range, with a box between 57K–87K. Bitcoin recently moved up to 76K, and just a few days later dropped sharply back to 68K. Is this the bullish trap I have been talking about? Yes, it is one of the traps in this region before continuation to the downside.

My strategy is very simple. I sold the Bitcoin I bought two weeks ago in the 68K region and I am only holding my larger short from 115–125K. I am willing to add more shorts in the 79–84K region with x5 leverage, and these orders are already placed. We are in a big bear market scenario, not only for Bitcoin but also for the overall stock market. Back in September, I pointed out significant liquidity stress in the repo market, as well as the increasing RISKS on the Fed’s standing repo facility. In addition, we are seeing ongoing manipulation in silver and gold markets, where futures prices are becoming increasingly disconnected from physical supply, which continues to be drained. Oil prices are rising, aligning with the analysis I shared two months ago when I entered Chevron, currently one of the biggest winners from these developments. AI and data-related stocks are heavily overinvested and overbought. I shorted these sectors, and the positions were shared in premium back in November. Many of them are already down 30–40%, including stocks like PLTR, MSFT, and Coinbase. All my short positions are currently in profit. I am short Bitcoin, stocks (especially AI-focused), and indices in the UK, Germany, and Japan.

What am I bullish on? Only a few assets: Chevron stock, physical metals, and Oil. I am also holding a long on oil, which I shared two weeks ago in premium at an entry of $84. That is my current portfolio positioning. I expect the bear market to dominate most assets while only a few selected ones remain strong. Bitcoin is currently in a weak position and lacks clear direction, which explains the ongoing sideways movement. However, the next major move is still likely to the downside. Market makers are attempting to push the price higher to capture liquidity above, before driving it lower. At the same time, based on current data, they appear more cautious due to the macro and geopolitical environment which is also for them a high risk to make any big moves for now.

For this reason, I have slightly adjusted my short entry zone to 79–84K, where my orders are now placed. Until then, I continue holding my core short from 115–125K. A few days ago, I mentioned XRP. I entered a position, and it moved 16% higher shortly after. However, I took profits and publicly shared that I closed the trade with around 5% gain. The reason is simple, the risk-reward is no longer as attractive as it was a few weeks ago, and this with considering the potential for a broader Bitcoin move. This is also why I am no longer holding spot positions in Bitcoin. The next major downside move is only a matter of time. I am not ruling out another fake move before that happens, and if we do see it, I will use it to add further short positions, but overall we are heading to TARGET 3 which is showed on the chart.

The FOMC last week gave us another great insight into where we are heading. The next rate cut is now expected in December 2026, much later than the market anticipated. I remember when I announced the last rate cut in December 2025, and people were saying we would see another one at the next FOMC meeting. They were wrong. Now watch the fear in the markets unfold, no rate cuts in place, while inflation is increasing based on the latest PPI and Core PPI data. Scary, right? Do you know that your left eye is connected to the right side of your brain, which is the center of emotions? Some people really need to become pirates to trade without emotions. And now is the time to have ZERO emotions at all. Market makers are playing with emotions and the mind , prepare for heavy manipulation ahead before the next major downside move. Liquidity stress is building, and a repeat of 2008 is getting closer. I didn’t call for a correction in September 2025, I called for a major crash, and that is exactly where we are heading. I am fully prepared and there are no buy orders between 57-60k, and only short orders at 79-84k in case market allows to visit.

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[Serenity @aleabitoreddit]

The upcoming CPO / Silicon Photonics Bottleneck Cheat Sheet:

$SIVE, Sumitomo, $LITE, $COHR, $AVGO, $MTSI, $AAOI - Light Source (CW DFB Lasers)
$TSEM, $GFS, $UMC, $TSM, $INTC - SiPh foundry
$NOK, $CIEN, $CSCO, $COHR - DCO
$HIMX, FOCI (3363.TWO) - Micro-lens + Fiber Arrays
$POET - Optical Interposers
$SOI, $AXTI, Shin-Etsu - Substrates
$FN, $ASX, Innolight, Eoptolink - Optical Packaging and Assembly
$MTSI, $SMTC, $MRVL, $MXL - Analog/Mixed-Signal ICs
$LWLG - Speculative Modulator Materials.
$GLW, $APH, $TEL, $FIT, Fujikura - Connectors and Fibers
$FORM, $KEYS, $VIAV, $AEHR- Test & Measurement
$BESI, $SMHN, $ONTO, $CAMT - Advanced Packaging & Hybrid Bonding

Many are private companies from Lightmatter, Ayar, Ranovus and others.

Now... Everyone is asking... How do you profit?

If you look at the forecast for CPO TAM, it's a straight line up, and next year is inflection point for CPO mass deployment.

The alpha is capturing the rotation:

From the current EML bottlenecks ( $LITE, $COHR type) to SiPh / CW DFB architectural winners for CPO.

Highest upside potential are the ones that aren't included in current cycles.

But that are in the next.

Companies like $SOI, $SIVE, or $AEHR are perfect examples.

Ride the current pluggable bottleneck like $AAOI.

But the alpha is frontrunning institutions with the next CPO bottleneck.

The capital rotation is inevitable.

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

The Global Financial Crisis is starting. Everything I said in the last 8 months is now happening in front of our eyes. Think back to what I said when nobody saw it coming. While 99% was bullish, I publicly announced entering big shorts on stocks and BTC. Holding the big short!

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

I am buying #Bitcoin at $68,600

Expecting a fake pump to 78-88k

Big downside move afterwards

[Doctor Profit 🇨🇭 @DrProfitCrypto]

The bottom for #Bitcoin is not in, and we will see lower and lower prices in the coming months! For now, we are sitting inside of the sideway box I explained in the Sunday report. My ultimate bottom target is somewhere in the region of the 40s, expect it to hit in Sept-Oct