eric shu

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

Michael Burry 重倉，以 11% 倉位做空 $NBIS，今天卻遭遇 30% 暴漲。

在這種毀滅性的軋空之下，MB 決定進一步加大做空倉位。

現在最大的問題是：

還能繼續提供無限彈藥嗎？、

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

@ruihanmeimei01 人的大腿肉

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

@anandragn You rare crazy to short this stock $aaoi

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

@anandragn You will be short sqeeze to the space

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

@TheSkayeth It say nebius

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

$NEBIUS (https://t.co/tv5VEzt4B8)$ $crwv CoreWeave美股盘前直线拉升，现涨近9%。报道称英伟达投资20亿美元于CoreWeave A类普通股。

[CK Capital @CKCapitalxx]

On Friday I Took a Large Position in $NBIS - Here's Why

While most investors are sleeping on $NBIS at $95, I was buying. Let me explain why Nebius is one of the most asymmetric AI infrastructure plays in the market right now.

The Revenue Inflection Nobody's Pricing In

2025 Full Year: $500-550M revenue, $900M-$1.1B ARR
2026 Guidance: $3.45-7B revenue, $7-9B ARR
2027 Projections: $7.8-9B revenue (analyst consensus)
2028 Projections: $14B+ revenue

That's 521-1,400% YoY growth from 2025 to 2026. This isn't a forecast. This is contracted revenue from Microsoft and Meta multi-year AI infrastructure deals worth tens of billions.

$NBIS has a $20B+ backlog of unfilled orders. More than half of 2026 projected ARR is already contracted in advance.

The Recent Catalysts

AI Cloud 3.1 Launch (January 2026): Integrated Nvidia Blackwell GPUs with proprietary features like Capacity Blocks, real-time dashboards, and advanced compliance tools. This positions $NBIS as a top-tier full-stack AI cloud platform, not just GPU rental.

Capacity Expansion: Increased 2026 target from 1 GW to 2.5 GW contracted power capacity. This is the physical infrastructure that enables the revenue scaling.

Microsoft & Meta Contracts: Multi-year, long-duration contracted revenue (not usage-based). These are the hyperscalers that matter, and they're buying from $NBIS.

The Analyst Targets

Northland Securities: $211 price target (122% upside from $95)

Citizens JMP: $175 price target (84% upside)
Average analyst target: $157.83 (66% upside)
Consensus: Strong Buy (5 Buy ratings, 1 Hold, 0 Sell)

At $95, $NBIS is trading 40% below the average analyst target and 55% below Northland's $211 target. The pullback from October highs ($141) is a gift.

Price Targets Based on Revenue Achievement
Here's what happens if $NBIS hits their revenue targets:

If 2026 Revenue = $3.5B (low end):

At 10x P/S (growth tech multiple): $140 per share
At 15x P/S (premium AI infra): $210 per share
If 2026 Revenue = $7B (high end):
At 10x P/S: $280 per share
At 15x P/S: $420 per share
If 2027 Revenue = $9B (analyst consensus):
At 8x P/S (compressed multiple): $288 per share
At 12x P/S (AI growth premium): $432 per share

From $95 today, that's 47-343% upside depending on revenue achievement and multiple expansion.

The Valuation Compression Story

Current valuation looks expensive on 2025 numbers: ~50x price-to-sales

But here's what happens when revenue scales:
2026: 50x 2025 sales compresses to 7-13x 2026 sales (using $3.5-7B revenue range)

2027: Compresses to 4-5x 2027 sales (using $9B projection)

That's growth into valuation. The multiple isn't the risk. Execution is. And $NBIS is executing.
The Numbers That Matter

Q3 2025: $146.1M revenue (+355% YoY), core infrastructure +400% YoY

2025: $500-550M revenue, $900M-$1.1B ARR

2026: $7-9B ARR target (7-9x current ARR)

2027: $9B revenue projected (analysts), $5B+ EBITDA projected

Backlog: $20B+ unfilled orders

Power capacity: Scaling from 1 GW to 2.5 GW in 2026
Cash: $4.79B (fully funded growth)

Why I Bought Friday

$NBIS pulled back from $141 to $95. The thesis didn't. Revenue guidance was raised(capacity target up to 2.5 GW). Contracts were signed (Microsoft, Meta). Backlog is $20B+. Analyst targets are $158-211.

The market is giving you 66-122% upside to analyst targets on a company scaling revenue 7-14x in 2026 with $20B in contracted backlog and a net-cash balance sheet.

If they hit low-end 2026 revenue ($3.5B): $140-210 per share If they hit high-end 2026 revenue ($7B): $280-420 per share If they hit 2027 revenue ($9B): $288-432 per share

I took a large position Friday. This is the AI infrastructure trade for 2026.

Still accumulating $NBIS.

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

投資人一個建議， $NEBIUS (https://t.co/tv5VEzt4B8)$ 是一個未來的AI巨人，他的潛力無窮，不是只有算力公司這麼簡單！如果看好其實就應該分批買進漲也買跌也買就慢慢累積他的股票未來兩年三年絕對有實力上300甚至更高500！他有強大的AI軟件應用公司還有強大的AI基礎架構的公司在業界根本很少見

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

$NEBIUS (https://t.co/tv5VEzt4B8)$ 100以下都是甜甜價懂的人就會大力買進...當然也有很多人把黃金當垃圾拼力唱衰，時間會證明一切的，我們要謝謝那些錯把黃金當垃圾賣掉的人，我們才有便宜可以撿漏

[Max Crypto @MaxCrypto]

🇺🇸 PRESIDENT TRUMP JUST POSTED THIS !!

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

$NEBIUS (https://t.co/tv5VEzt4B8)$ 市場情緒都是一時的好的時候看非常好不好的時候又拼命唱衰！只要確定公司基本面是好的未來展望也是正面的！剛開始當初買進的理由如果沒有消失就應該勇敢抱著，如果只是盲目者跟著大家一起買想要賺一點買菜錢就跑那卻你還是離開股市好了

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

$NEBIUS (https://t.co/tv5VEzt4B8)$ AI才剛開始，公司算力能賣的全賣了股價跌是給你買不是賣！如果基本面都不懂趨勢也不懂跟人家做什麼股票！每天看新聞追高殺低那你不如把錢放銀行好了

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

$NEBIUS (https://t.co/tv5VEzt4B8)$ 別恐慌，我就直說了：這2日淨流入如此之高還大跌的原因是：
1.操盤手左手倒右手，右手是承接盤，不是追價盤，所以股價會一直殺，流入資金變超高，目的是觸發停損來收籌碼，或嚇跑小散戶

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

$nbis Nebius美股盘前巨震，股价一度跌近8%，现微跌；公司计划发行不超过2500万股A类普通股，此外，将在未来5年内向Meta提供价值约30亿美元的人工智能基础设施。

[Sam Badawi @Sam_Badawi]

$MSFT IS UP 4% AFTER OPENAI AGREES TO BUY AN ADDITIONAL $250B OF AZURE SERVICES

So who will help supply this demand?

$NBIS $IREN $CIFR most likely.

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

$nbis 利好
微软盘前快速拉升，现涨近5%。消息面上，微软与OpenAI签署新协议。OpenAI签约购买额外2500亿美元的Azure服务，而微软将不再拥有成为OpenAI算力提供商的优先选择权。OpenAI现可与第三方联合开发产品，与第三方合作的API产品仍为Azure独占，非API产品可部署于任何云平台

[Gen Z Investor @genZinvest0r]

When I say that the management team and engineers at $NBIS are their biggest asset and moat, it is NOT an understatement.

When $NBIS CEO Arkady Volozh made the decision to split from Yandex and Russia in 2022, he brought with him around a thousand Yandex engineers. one thousand of the best engineers Russia had to offer. Many of whom already had 10, 15 or even 20 years of experience under their belt.

Yandex was not your ordinary run-of-the-mill Russian company, they were a national POWEHOUSE often referred to as the Google of Russia. At their peak they had a market cap of $30B and handled around 60% of Russia's entire web traffic.

- They created the Uber of Russia, Yandex Taxi.
- They created the DoorDash of Russia, Yandex Delivery.
- They created the Google Maps of Russia, Yandex Maps.
- They created the Spotify of Russia, Yandex Music.

And the list goes on... (like literally, they have like 25+ different branches and extensions)

If you don't believe that the AI-hype is real, thats fine.
If you don't believe that the demand for power will continue to increase, thats also fine.

But if you believe that a company filled to the brim with hundreds upon hundreds of the top engineers in class, with decades of experience working with AI and ML will not be able to turn $NBIS into the AWS of AI infrastructure... then we unfortunately do not see eye-to-eye.

My conviction in $NBIS and their ability to succeed is second to none and I will be following this journey until the thesis becomes reality!

To finish off, I would like to add two quotes I found from people who have had direct or indirect relations with Yandex and their team:

"I’ve worked with ex-Yandex engineers at a FAANG company and they are the most hardcore software engineers I’ve ever met." - verywellmanuel (Reddit)

"I’m from Russia and I confirm that. Yandex team did so many phenomenal products. Those are elite level engineers, but more importantly they used to work together for many years." - oleh88 (Reddit)

[Mark Hogan @MB_Hogan]

For those who don’t understand the recent $NBIS selloff, data indicates that many weak-handed retail investors panic-sold for no rational/structural reason. But the selloff was manufactured, institutions were quietly accumulating shares in volume and using call options to hide their buys. Institutions took some retail to the cleaners, taking their valuable shares at a massive discount.

Congrats to all $NBIS bulls who HELD due to reason-based conviction. Always do your own research. Always know what you own and why. You can’t borrow conviction.

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

$Nbis Nebius Group N.V. ("Nebius Group" or the "Company"; NASDAQ: NBIS) will release its third quarter 2025 financial results on Tuesday, November 11, 2025, before market open.
Nebius Group will also hold a conference call to discuss its results at 8:00 a.m. Eastern Time

[eric shu @Hsubinyang]

@Sandeman52 @OGCapital25 Dude Its $cifr not $nbis!