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p(doom) is easily above 50% right now.
Nuclear weapons are partially contained cuz 1. can't use them without people noticing, 2. if used there's enough time for retalation => mutual assured destruction.
Problem with malicious, human-controlled AI: 1. Likely to be undetectable, hence 2. limited risk of immediate retaliation, 3. potential to take control of defence systems, thus neutralizing threats of retaliation.
In geostrategy, 1. if there's a risk your opponent take the upper hand and subdue you, you *must* strike before them, even if you're not sure what their intention was. Also, 2. if the interest/security of the nation is engaged, regulations are disregarded. That's so sad, but that's just how it works. So as of now, doom -for a big part of humanity- is the natural path our system is leading us to.
p(doom) is not a 100% because there are ways to disarm the system. But we're currently focused on the wrong strategy: regulations, though useful, are *not* the main path to realistically reducing p(doom).
@amasad In both cases, silence is the only option and you're stuck in an impossible situation.
'Hopefully' none of these options are real. I'd rather have it be an ego move or an over-reaction for poor internal communication among board members.🤞
Thrilled to announce the launch of Kyutai with @Xavier75 & @ericschmidt, the 1st European AI research lab. Researchers & entrepreneurs will have all the resources they need to shape our future. Excited to delve into use cases for transport & logistics. Join us in the AI journey !
A very promising first step on regulating AI in autonomous weapons. This would be a big deal if it materializes this week…
“In a landmark agreement set to be announced at Wednesday’s much-awaited bilateral meeting, Presidents Joe Biden and Xi Jinping are poised to pledge a ban on the use of artificial intelligence in autonomous weaponry, such as drones, and in the control and deployment of nuclear warheads, two sources familiar with the matter confirmed to the Post.”
https://t.co/ep83QIDtR0
Today, we're launching OpenVC Flow, a new deal sourcing experience for VCs and Angels. 🎉
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The Coming Wave is producing new inventions that are increasingly beyond our ability to comprehend or control...
Previously creators could explain how something worked, why it did what it did, even if this required vast detail. That’s increasingly no longer true.
Many technologies and systems are becoming so complex that they’re beyond the capacity of any one individual to truly understand them. Despite advances in explainability, AI remains a black box. Quantum computing and other technologies operate toward the limits of what can be known.
A paradox of the coming wave is that its technologies are largely beyond our ability to comprehend at a granular level - yet still within our ability to create and use.
It makes the challenge of preventing harmful proliferation all the more complex.
https://t.co/ih7nr2TYGR
Today we’re proud to announce that working alongside the White House, we are partnering with other major AI labs, to take a proactive and precautionary approach to the development of the very largest AI models.
This announcement is a small but positive first step, but let’s also be honest, the project of making truly safe and trustworthy AI is still only in its earliest phase. Concrete progress on technical safety and societal oversight needs to keep up. We see this announcement as simply a springboard and catalyst for doing more.
Today’s commitments include the following:
Challenge and red-team everything. Our internal Safety team continuously pressure tests our models for risks, and works with outside experts on comprehensive red-teaming of our technologies.
Go public, be honest. We maintain a public list of known limitations to our product, and have a forthcoming paper exploring the safety of our systems in more detail.
Share information. We will share key findings regarding trust and safety risks, dangerous or emergent capabilities and attempts to circumvent safeguards with companies and governments.
Read about our AI safety commitments here:
https://t.co/qB6v8ZFo7T
@mustafasuleymn I'd say 20yrs to complete the transition but crazy macro impact already in the next few years.
To answer your question: if the world turns okay and we're living in "the good scenario", I'll join a real life pokemon chasing competition. I want to be Sasha.
@RTErdogan Hey Turkish friends! Watching the election with a foreigner's eye.
I get that a lot of you like Erdoğan's vision for Turkey. Is it fair to say that you'd rather have E in its democratic version? If so, how do you perceive the methods used to count votes tonight? Thanks 🙏👍
"Making a device that changes how you brush is an ambitious bet. But it’s clear Willo has made a lot of effort to tackle this challenge. The team has filed over 50 patents, 30 of them granted so far."
Congrats @HugoDeGentile@ilan and the @letswillo team on today's launch! 👏👊👍