Ethereum is mapping perfectly onto a Wyckoff Accumulation structure.
Where we are: Phase B consolidation, post-Selling Climax.
Where it's going: Phase C spring to sub $1,500.
When: Q3 2026.
That's where I go heavy.
The ETH staking ETF approval would be the SOS catalyst.
Multi-year markup begins after that.
🟢 Only 24% of Binance Altcoins Are Above the 200-Day SMA
When nearly 100% of altcoins trade above their 200-day SMA, it typically signals market euphoria — often aligning with Bitcoin cycle tops.
Conversely, when this metric approaches 0%, meaning most altcoins are below the 200-day SMA, it usually marks strong accumulation opportunities.
Right now, we’re still far from euphoria.
This could mean that the current altcoin prices represent one of the best times to accumulate before the next major move.
🔗https://t.co/LXjVuIqYEv
📊 As the PPI and CPI data are released today and tomorrow, STHs find themselves waiting, hovering near their break-even levels.
Today, their realized price fluctuates between $108 000 and $109 000, which translates to an average unrealized profit of around 3%.
The STH MVRV therefore stands at 1.03, confirming that STHs are currently in an uncomfortable position.
💥 The volatility that this important macroeconomic week could generate, right before the upcoming FOMC, may well tip the market one way or the other.
—💡 When STHs come under pressure, we often saw an increase in realized losses, which further pushes prices down.
This has often represented the final stage of the corrections seen in this cycle. —
Historically, this has proven to be an opportune time to enter BTC, and this indicator, which combines STH MVRV with their realized price, has just started flashing its first signals.
Record Stablecoin Inflows on Binance ahead of the next FOMC
“Binance has just recorded its highest net stablecoin inflow of 2025, with more than $6.2B flowing in on September 8.” – By @Darkfost_Coc
Full analysis ⤵️
https://t.co/80P2VHAUcn
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Taker Buy/Sell pressure is reaching equilibrium ⚖️
The market’s waiting for its next catalyst, likely the U.S. Jobs Report (Nonfarm Payrolls & Unemployment) this Friday.
Impulse move loading... 📈📉
It’s not just the tops.
Every “bear market” has ended precisely as red turned to green.
Every “ramp” has lasted as long as bars were green.
Every “hockey stick” has been marked by green flipping red (not the halving).
And yes, every “top” has been marked by a peak in red.
The business cycle’s dynamics are all that’s been needed to understand Bitcoin’s.
Even the profiles of the reds match the profiles of the bull runs ffs.
All I see is “this cycle is so different”, f*ck this cycle”, or “cycle almost over”…
What’s actually different?
Green has been longer, and thus the ramp has been longer - that’s all.
Red hasn’t even started. Doesn’t seem like most will be here when it does. Will you?
According to Token Terminal, BlackRock leads tokenized finance with its $2.4B BUIDL money market fund. Most issuers are incumbents partnering with crypto startups, while only a small share are purely crypto-native.
Who were the most profitable funds this past week?
Top 3 Smart Money funds:
- Pantera Capital: +$2.55M realized PnL
- LD Capital: +109.4K (although ROI was 0%)
- DACM: +$151K across two wallets
Defiance, OKX Ventures all booking steady gains
📉 BTC: Distribution in Progress | Wyckoff in Action
Billionaires don’t get rich only during uptrends. They build their wealth in two key moments: accumulation and distribution. And right now, Bitcoin’s chart is clearly showing signs of a short-term distribution, just as I’ve been warning about in the Alphractal group — the so-called “rug pull”.
Let me break down the Wyckoff distribution phases from points 1 to 13:
1️⃣ PSY (Preliminary Supply): First sign of institutional selling. Demand is still strong, but signs of exhaustion appear.
2️⃣ BC (Buying Climax): The peak of the move, with extreme volume — classic retail euphoria.
3️⃣ AR (Automatic Reaction): Sharp drop that defines the bottom of the distribution range.
4️⃣-5️⃣ ST (Secondary Test): Price retests the highs, but with weaker momentum and volume.
6️⃣-9️⃣ Typical sideways moves from Phase B. Volatility and volume confuse retail — but the smart money is in control.
🔟 SOW (Sign of Weakness): Strong breakdown with volume. Major signal of demand fading.
1️⃣1️⃣ LPSY (Last Point of Supply): A final weak attempt to rise. Thin volume — ideal place for short setups.
1️⃣2️⃣ Break of ICE (support): The main support gives in. Price fails to hold.
1️⃣3️⃣ Another LPSY trap — quickly followed by breakdown.
🧠 Meanwhile, market makers are already rotating into Altcoins, which are exiting their accumulation zones. Soon, we’ll see the mainstream media pushing bullish BTC narratives, trying to draw in late buyers — when in reality, the real opportunities are shifting into Altcoins.
Market makers are rotating into Altcoins, which are exiting their accumulation phases. Meanwhile, the mainstream media will soon flood the space with positive BTC news to lure in late buyers — but in reality, the smart money is already elsewhere.
📉 My view: BTC’s performance is likely to be weak or modest from here. It has entered a weekly distribution phase. Altcoins, however, are gearing up for a structural markup.
If you wait for media confirmation to buy Altcoins, it may already be too late. I believe that by the end of 2025 we’ll witness a full rotation from BTC → Altcoins → Fiat exit.
⚠️ Less than 1% truly profit in this market, while the remaining 99% stay stuck. And those who leverage? Less than 4% succeed.
✅ It takes years to understand this game. With screen time, Alpha-grade metrics, statistical frameworks, self-control and experience, you might just become one of the 1%.
☝️ And don’t worry — BTC will accumulate again soon. This phase will pass. Be patient. The market always rewards those who wait.