On-Chain College

Class of 2017 | My analysis is supported by @Binance | Analyst at Bitcoin Live | I help you stay convicted through volatility using data @ OCC Newsletter ↓

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

If you remove #Bitcoin that hasn't moved in 10+ years, the percent of the supply in profit has recently reached all-time lows.

32.73% of the supply is sitting in profit, lower than all prior bear markets.

If bottoms occur during max pain, we are certainly there/close to it.

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

Normal, cyclical behavior for Bitcoin.

No, it’s not dead.

Yes, there will be brighter days.

Best advice I give to anyone going through their first market like this is to touch grass. I certainly have been.

More thoughts in a write up later this week.

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

@JVDubbz I’m waiting a bit more. Will be writing about it this week.

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

Bulls flinched. Now we wait to see where this finds support.

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

Bitcoin is compressing around multiple key on-chain levels.

Bulls want to see $75K hold.

Bears want to see price under $81K.

A market in equilibrium. Who will flinch first?

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

No more pennies and now a $250 bill #inflation

[Kalshi @Kalshi]

JUST IN: US reportedly designing $250 bill with Trump on it

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

Bitcoin is compressing around multiple key on-chain levels.

Bulls want to see $75K hold.

Bears want to see price under $81K.

A market in equilibrium. Who will flinch first?

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

Bitcoin is now BELOW the STHCB, which sits at $78.3K.

Weakness here shows a lack of follow through from the bulls. The 128DMA at $75.2K is the next point of interest.

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

@lourenco_vs @binance @BinanceResearch I agree

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

Bitcoin's price has dropped below the Long-Term Holder Cost Basis during all prior bear markets.

Currently, that level is at $48.6K and has not been reached yet.

Do you think BTC hits this level before reaching $100K+ again?

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

@ohmiebull1 @binance @BinanceResearch 🙏🏻

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

@ohmiebull1 @binance @BinanceResearch Very reasonable analysis

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

@Bitcapital_ch @binance @BinanceResearch I’m in the same boat

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

This tight Bitcoin range keeps tightening. We will have an answer soon.

$75K - $82K is mostly noise. Movement outside of this range is when the signal comes.

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

Bitcoin bulls will want price to stay above $78.5K (the STHCB)

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

Bitcoin's Funding Rates hit positive for a 3rd day in a row on Binance for the first time in over a month.

The move out of the $60Ks and into the low $80Ks was during an environment of mostly negative funding.

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

The longer Bitcoin stays above $78K, the more likely 6 digit BTC becomes...

Strong confluence around $78K with the True Market Mean and Short-Term Holder Cost Basis sitting at that level.

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

@JVDubbz @Sunshine0071234 😂😂

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

Bitcoin was rejected at the ETF Cost Basis, currently sitting at $82.1K, after being below it since January ‘26.

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

@SolanaCasinos Petition to remove AI accounts commenting abilities on X, who’s in favor? @elonmusk

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

@BobLoukas 🎯

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

@ajorgenseburner @BitcoinMagPro @binance Yes, during the initial leg out of the bear bottom funding will be largely positive, with negative funding signaling bull market corrections typically

[On-Chain College @OnChainCollege]

This rally above the short-term holder cost basis has been impressive and legitimate in my eyes due to funding being negative 🔴on Binance the entire time.

Funding has shifted positive 🟢over the last two days.

Possible weakness ahead for BTC if funding keeps leaning positive.