6/6
5 The failure case
What would make my thesis wrong?
If I can't clearly explain the downside, I don't understand the investment well enough yet.
Research isn't about proving yourself right.
It's about finding out whether you're wrong.
1/6
I've been thinking about what actually makes a crypto project worth researching.
I've realized that price is probably one of the last things I should look at.
Here's the framework I'm using 🧵
A good investment thesis should survive disagreement.
If your thesis only makes sense when everyone agrees with you,
you're probably holding a narrative, not an analysis.
One thing I'm learning about markets:
Being right isn't enough.
You also need the patience to wait, the discipline to manage risk, and the humility to change your mind.